2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

Status
Not open for further replies.
Absolutely this has just murdered Trump. They’re now in damage control but he’s fecked. Absolutely they have just screwed the pooch.
This isn't even the worst thing that's happened during a Trump campaign, he'll be fine unfortunately.
 
We're now at the stage where it's one of two things:
1. A comfortable Trump victory
2. A massive polling error

Personally I just have to bury myself in soft, fluffy clouds of the latter.

Imo those blaming Harris just don't understand enough about American politics, and how Trump's popularity has bounced. In just over 100 days she has gone from being completely underwater on favourability to massively ahead of Trump. She certainly isn't a generational change candidate - like Obama (or Sanders would have been) - but she is an intelligent, qualified, 'safe pair of hands' that can manage the most powerful nation on Earth at a very uncertain time. She's also non-white and female - if she is elected that in of itself is hugely significant. If she were the leader of any random European nation no-one would bat an eye.

If Trump wins - and wins like the polls suggest, hugely - no Democratic candidate could have beaten him. That's result of the media ecosystem above all things.

The only positive I can draw from this is that the status quo has to change from the perspective of actual democracy. A Trump victory built off the back of pure disinformation should see some kind of reaction. Of cousre, his actual Presidency coverage will also be part of that - when he inevitably fails to deliver literally any benefit to his voters and tariffs are either blocked by people that understand economics or go through and ruin the economy.

I've posted before that I'm not sure how incumbents win in today's media space. There is no longer a collective memory, or even desire to understand the chain of events that lead to the current moment. You can get elected simply by attacking what is - whether true or not - and there is no push back on how you would realistically change it. It reminds me so much of high school elections: if you run a campaign of stopping homework, no school on Fridays and pizza everyday you will win.
The polls have been hopelessly gamed due to the Republicans "flooding the zone" with dubious polls. The aggregators are saying they are not weighting those polls as much as more reputable ones, but they should not be weighting them at all. The mere act of allowing that data in corrupt the results.

I think Harris will win. Trump's hardcore base loves him, but everyone else hates him. He has done nothing to make inroads into groups that shunned him in 2016 and 2020. In 2016, he faced a uniquely unlikable candidate who also had James Comey dropping the bomb on her days before the election. Trump at that time was a novelty act.

In 2020 everyone knew what Trump was all about. Biden won and built a coalition of union, blacks, etc., and despite losing some of those numbers, they are not moving in droves to Trump. Democratic registrations are up and Democratic voters outnumber the Republican ones by several million. The ground game this time far surpasses what we saw in 2020. The only indicator that this is a close race is because the dubious polls thrown into the mix.
That's the same thing really. $15 is half the price from $30, with the .99/.88 to make it seem less. It just seems like a reach to me. Some people have these number things on their mind way too much. (Can't do 18 either: that's AH.)

I'm obviously not interested in defending Liddell, but I hate how the idiots get to take over everyday stuff like specific numbers, and then 'we' let them by hunting for their occurrence. If we don't do that, this shit doesn't get the air time and its impact is much less.
I have never seen a product advertised with .88 at the end. Never. And when you have a $14 at the front, it actually is a dog whistle for those so inclined.
 
Absolutely this has just murdered Trump. They’re now in damage control but he’s fecked. Absolutely they have just screwed the pooch.
Trump 2016 had grab them by their p*** news come out few days before the elections and nothing happened. Nobody cares anymore. Post 2016, the bar is really low.
 
The reason they are flooding the zone with garbage polls is to sow the seeds for claiming the election was rigged. They will say "look how the polls had Trump up everywhere", and they will hoping someone less honest than Brad Raffensperger is in charge this time.

I truly believe Harris has this in the bag.
 
Absolutely this has just murdered Trump. They’re now in damage control but he’s fecked. Absolutely they have just screwed the pooch.

What worries me is that to come out and be blatantly racist like this infront of the whole world, they must be very confident they already have this election in the bag.

Or can the Trump campaign just not control their herd?
 
The polls have been hopelessly gamed due to the Republicans "flooding the zone" with dubious polls. The aggregators are saying they are not weighting those polls as much as more reputable ones, but they should not be weighting them at all. The mere act of allowing that data in corrupt the results.

I think Harris will win. Trump's hardcore base loves him, but everyone else hates him. He has done nothing to make inroads into groups that shunned him in 2016 and 2020. In 2016, he faced a uniquely unlikable candidate who also had James Comey dropping the bomb on her days before the election. Trump at that time was a novelty act.

In 2020 everyone knew what Trump was all about. Biden won and built a coalition of union, blacks, etc., and despite losing some of those numbers, they are not moving in droves to Trump. Democratic registrations are up and Democratic voters outnumber the Republican ones by several million. The ground game this time far surpasses what we saw in 2020. The only indicator that this is a close race is because the dubious polls thrown into the mix.

I have never seen a product advertised with .88 at the end. Never. And when you have a $14 at the front, it actually is a dog whistle for those so inclined.

Agree on the polls. IDK why aggregators are allowing them in. Real Clear Politics dont weigh them.
Hope you are right re who is going to win.

Shitting on Puerto Rico could really hurt them in the next week. I hope Bad Bunny gets more vocal about it. The guy has major influence.
 
What worries me is that to come out and be blatantly racist like this infront of the whole world, they must be very confident they already have this election in the bag.

Or can the Trump campaign just not control their herd?
I think they’re not self aware about it. They do not see themselves as racist and do not hear racism when someone says what was said today.
 
This isn't even the worst thing that's happened during a Trump campaign, he'll be fine unfortunately.
Hillary lost because dems didn’t vote… they are certainly voting this time and he’s just pissed off a huge group of people who he needs to win.

It may be the most ironic thing in the history of his political career that the words that sink him didn’t come from his mouth.
 
I love that Vance tells Tapper “he wasn’t talking about Americans” with the “enemies within” comment, and then Trump comes out tonight and clarifies that yes, that’s exactly who he’s talking about.
 
Fecking hell, the tweets from that rally are something else. I know this has probably been said about things related to trump more than a few times, but the excerpts from this rally in particular, I’ve never seen anything like it
 
Tbf comparing anything to 2020 and it would fall short.

The cocksure confidence before the election, the utter despair seeing Florida results rolled in, the glimmer of hope when the needle moved blue for Georgia, the budding confidence when PA mails started trickling in, and the euphoria when Milwaukee dropped 150k votes to give Biden the lead in WI, then 'Maricopa incoming' and 'Fulton/Cobb report' were just cherry on top.

This year people are just primed for disappointment in general, plus all the anger and bad feelings from Gaza, there won't be the unified anticipation and joy of last cycle.
My 270towin map was very accurate, I was really proud of it :lol: I had a weird feeling about Georgia. We also had the flaming penis by @calodo2003 and the weird photos people kept sending to Trump on Twitter with the creepy message. Flipadelphia and four seasons.
 
Has Tony Hinchcliffe ever been funny though? Kill Tony sucks and I’ve never laughed at him once. Bad comedians like to claim people are too sensitive at their “shocking” jokes when they should be asking is this even funny.
 
A madison square garden rally where the campaign goes harder than ever before on the racist and vitriolic rhetoric, talking about the enemy within, promising to use the military against politicial opponents and denigrating immigrants extensively.

I can't put my finger on it, but that sounds very familiar.
 
Fecking hell, the tweets from that rally are something else. I know this has probably been said about things related to trump more than a few times, but the excerpts from this rally in particular, I’ve never seen anything like it

It should be the end of his political career. He just straigt up held a Nazi rally in New York using the same rethoric and talking points as the Nazis did in the same place in 1939.
 
The Harris campaign needs to flood all types of media with these MSG rally clips. I’m not convinced it will make a huge difference, but everyone needs to have seen it.
 
Has Tony Hinchcliffe ever been funny though? Kill Tony sucks and I’ve never laughed at him once. Bad comedians like to claim people are too sensitive at their “shocking” jokes when they should be asking is this even funny.
The bar is quite low for standup comedy these days, it seems. And there will be always be an audience of teenage boys for this kind ‘edgy’ material.
 
Some funny shit if Trump's campaign bombs because of things other people said at his rally.
 
Hey I know one candidate just held a literal Nazi rally where speakers promised to cleanse the bloodlines and purify America, but has anyone seen how stiff Harris' answers on the economy are?

I'm still on the fence. Think I just need to do some of my own research.

FFS.
 
Ah yes, but he’s going to be better for the Palestinians, don’t you know?
The same was said in not many different words here by people who probably describe themselves as very anti-Trump. Racism against Palestinians and Arabs is hardly exclusive to the MAGA crowd.

And usually, the argument is that there won't be much difference.
 
Some funny shit if Trump's campaign bombs because of things other people said at his rally.
That’s the thing with Trump. I wouldn’t have that much of a problem with him individually (given the options and political context)…I think the Trump who spent a few hours on Rogan’s podcast the other day is essentially him. The main problem I’d have is with his acolytes and there’s a well represented assortment of nut-bags there.
 
Last edited:
The same was said in not many different words here by people who probably describe themselves as very anti-Trump. Racism against Palestinians and Arabs is hardly exclusive to the MAGA crowd.

And usually, the argument is that there won't be much difference.
As with many Trump issues, the problem is saying the quiet part loud.
 
Ah yes, but he’s going to be better for the Palestinians, don’t you know?

I mean….multiple people have said the same here, including people that would class themselves as democrat/ labour voters.

More importantly, I think at this point beyond a few nutters, few think they’ll be better for the palestinians. More that the difference between the two parties on the conflict is relatively negligible , in terms of the eventual end effect on the ground . In that circumstance, even with the fascistic tendencies of the orange scum, they’re more likely to then decide to vote on domestic issues that matter to them. And as generally conservative Muslims/ Christians, they’ll have certain views on , for instance , LGBT issues which are more in line with the GOP than democrats.

The fact that a large portion of the MAGA base would probably deport them tomorrow if given the chance is just left by the wayside through cognitive dissonance I imagine.
 
That’s the thing with Trump. I wouldn’t have that much of a problem with him individually (given the options and political context)…I think the Trump who spent a few hours on Rogan’s podcast the other day is essentially him. The problem I’d have is with his acolytes and there’s a well represented assortment of nut-bags there.

Didn't he try and steal the last election?
 
Some funny shit if Trump's campaign bombs because of things other people said at his rally.

I've never heard of a campaign rally where speakers and their speeches weren't vetted beforehand. For something this big, everyone will have to have sent in their stuff to the Trump Campaign for approval. Everything followed the same theme too, so it wasn't exactly out of left field.
 
I've never heard of a campaign rally where speakers and their speeches weren't vetted beforehand. For something this big, everyone will have to have sent in their stuff to the Trump Campaign for approval. Everything followed the same theme too, so it wasn't exactly out of left field.
It's hilarious watching Republicans backtracking on what Hinchcliffe said...he seems to have made the mistake of singling out a single country rather than keeping to the Trump script of just calling out "They...."

Replace the word "they" in Trump's speeches with any nation or specific racial/religious group and it shows it for the racist dog whistle that it clearly is.
 
Whatever your opinions on Trump not actually being a fascist, or being a shock jockey with no real implementation abilities, I think it's pretty evident that 4 years of him in a final term could easily pave the way for an actual functioning fascist. America seems pretty ripe for it at this point, to the level where I don't think the stuff coming out of that rally will make an iota of difference.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.