It’s likely Trump. I think there’s still 117k absentee votes to count - plus whatever else comes in as they accept all postal votes after election until next week provided postal date was election date or before.
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
- Thread starter Raoul
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You and the markets, mate
I have bought GBPUSD at 1.286 on Sunday, with view of Biden winning and positive brexit.
Lets just say I'm studying and listening to it more then the Muppets on here
AMERICAN. MADE IN USA!
ABSENTEE BALLOTS FFS
You're not allowed mention Betfair here.
Trump is going to win by a few tens of thousands of votes again.
Green Bay about to announce
I think this is a major problem.
Maybe also why the polls are recently so inaccurate, voters who don't engage with traditional politics, news outlets, polling companies etc. Are being influenced digitally to come out and vote by clever digital marketing. This digital marketing is rarely factual, but often effective.
It is
The odds have wildly flung all over the show as things have been reported and yet still people will think they actually mean anything.
The stream on their website is also a fair few minutes behind the live TV coverage (at least here in Belgium).
If Green Bay is usually red, this will go down to the wire in WI.
Biden is far more likely to extend his lead in Wisconsin.
You can turn off your capitals. You can also go back and read my posts to see that I fully understand that.
The point is outside of Milwaukee, no one knows what % of outstanding votes to be counted are mail vs on the day.
I had the same issue
Not only that..."its the only data that matters"
CNN just said that Brown County has 32k absentee votes still to count. So far 95k votes have been counted there. Now if that is Green Bay, which went for Hillary last time, he might even increase his lead.
I’m watching in WI on YouTube TV and same here. Just think they are slow playing it to prevent Trump doing to them what he did to Fox/Arizona
I wish Transfer deadline day was this exciting, I'd like to ship in Jim White as he'll be better than the Hobbit trying to use that screen at least
For me at least it's the most accurate portrayal of the current state of play
its bound to fluctuate a lot in in a tight race as the information trickles through and momentum swings back and for
Fecking shouting guy on CNN has woken everyone up.
Wish we'd him earlier instead of John king
Wish we'd him earlier instead of John king
Betting Markets are the equivalent of Franzisko Romano. They just follow what is happening, yet people are convinced that they know something more.
Can't make this stuff up.
How dare you. The King is a national treasure.
Great.
Trump is a United States problem, not a problem for the rest of the world. The United States has always been a complete shitfest when it comes to meddling in international affairs, spying, starting wars, throwing governments, pretending that this current administration is one of the worst ever is bizarre.
John King is a treasure. Clear, precise and knows exactly what he's talking about
Whats the latest? Evens now?
Biden is winning this now.. Unless something really goes wrong.
Should've had it wrapped up by now.. but still favorite.
All depends on how informed the betting population is. In the case of an election, chances are not very.
Time to chill and wait for the counts to be done over the next day or so.
Going to be very close, that is the only thing that is certain for the moment.
Going to be very close, that is the only thing that is certain for the moment.
I yearn for the day when a left winger can debate without calling the contender a right winger.
Again, you are implying that every Trump voter is homophobic. I’m saying that,s not true.
Go to google, write “gays for trump” and tell me if they are homophobic
I fell asleep and had a dream that I beat trump in the presidential race. Then I jolted up when I heard my laptop cnn stream say Biden took the WI lead
Whats the summary on PA?
Whats the summary on PA?
What? Are you saying that the odds change according to how much money is bet on the different options?
That can't be true as that would make them reactive and useless in predicting future outcomes.
Trump 4/5 - Biden 11/10
Who cares go back to sleep!I fell asleep and had a dream that I beat trump in the presidential race. Then I jolted up when I heard my laptop cnn stream say Biden took the WI lead
Whats the summary on PA?
If WI ends up being a narrow win for Biden, will Trump contest it?
No they're just selfish people who have found a niche they can make money/get exposure from.
They are just acting to news and making necessary adjustments. The fact that Trump went from twenties to seventies, to now back to even odds tell me that they do not know anything more than the polls.
Yes
Indeed, if you're taking a quick look and don't want to understand the detail they're a decent indicator thats about it
In that case you shouldn't be talking about things you don't have any in-depth knowledge about.
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