2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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For fecks sake, before you all start clutching your pearls just look at the percentages reported in key counties, particularly suburbs and cities. It’s not all doom and gloom.
 
Can't see Arizona happening now. It had similar polls to Florida and Trump has taken that and comfortably.

It's just all depressing now.

Depends on Cuban vs non-Cuban Hispanics.

Have non-Cuban Hispanics swung Trump's way?
 
Given republicans track record does anyone actually believe this is a free and fair election :lol:?
 
Wonder why no coverage on any possible democratic swing states that Trump can steal.

For an outsider, seems it's more difficult for a Republican to be President in general.

Typically it's the other way around.

The Electoral College massively helps Republicans.
 
I have Biden needing 61 from Arizona(11), Minnesota(10), Nevada(6), New Hampshire(4), Pa(20), Wisconsin(10), Michigan(16), Maine(4)

Anyone know the situation in Michigan?

Most of the Michigan numbers are not from the early vote apparently (which will probably favor the Dems).
 
Given republicans track record does anyone actually believe this is a free and fair election :lol:?

Yes. As fair as the previous ones.

People here don't want to concede that a lot of the population has different priorities than them.
 
In Ohio, say CNN, the proportion of early/mail-in votes to be counted will rise as the night progresses - which favours Biden.

Maybe, but as of now, even a small change in votes counted percentage is leading to huge shift towards Trump.
 
I've just woken up. Still catching up, but I'm confused. It obviously looks like Trump is winning Florida, but Biden is ahead in the Rust Belt - why is Trump therefore now massively the favourite on betting websites?!
 
I have Biden needing 61 from Arizona(11), Minnesota(10), Nevada(6), New Hampshire(4), Pa(20), Wisconsin(10), Michigan(16), Maine(4)

Anyone know the situation in Michigan?

He doesn't need Arizona if he takes Michigan, Wisconsin and PA from Trump. But he needs all 3.
 
Yes. As fair as the previous ones.

People here don't want to concede that a lot of the population has different priorities than them.
Don't know if those people should has votes though when they don't let other's has votes.
 
Wonder why no coverage on any possible democratic swing states that Trump can steal.

For an outsider, seems it's more difficult for a Republican to be President in general.
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.
 
I think posting betting odds is pointless because unlike some think they're not smarter than other estimates and just follow perception of momentum.
But it's quite rich of Mods the likes of @Raoul who spammed the thread for months with meaningless tweets and general polls to ban them in this chaos of posts during this night.

Polls in the lead up to election are fair play. Inundating the thread with betting odds tweets while the actual election is taking place is a bit over the top. There's probably a thread for that elsewhere.
 
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Trump is winning GA, NC, FL.. He needs Arizona and one of PA, WI or MI to win this
 
Better off looking at the markets than the betting odds tbh.
 
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Haven't a clue on how US elections work, though there’s a big betting odds swing in favour of Trump here.
 
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.
I think it's more accurate to say the Republicans would need to reinvent themselves in that case. Saying they would never win again is a bit silly - they'd never win in their current guise, with their current focus.
 
Typically it's the other way around.

The Electoral College massively helps Republicans.
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.

Makes sense. Seems like Democrats need to breach into Republican swing states. Interesting stuff.
 
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