Haha, I know that mate. I was just going off on a rant. Hope you're ok
Can’t beat a good morning rant! Never been so bored in my life but can’t complain, hope things are good with you too!
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
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Can’t beat a good morning rant! Never been so bored in my life but can’t complain, hope things are good with you too!
Because they frame Trump through personal relationships and not the policy lens the opposition would like him to be framed through.
Nicklaus was the one who referred to himself as just a guy from Ohio.
Trump should not have won the Republican nomination; he should not have won in 2016 Presidential race (against anybody); he should not win in 2020 against a nice man like Joe Biden....?
Even whilst still in office and certainly in retrospect, Trump may well be remembered as the worst President in the modern era, but when he leaves office more books will be written about this guy and his 'gig' as President; how he won it; how he tweeted his way into more trouble (actual and self induced) direct from the Whitehouse and in so doing sidelined the majority of the press in the USA as 'opinion formers'; how he change the Supreme Court from left to right; how he built 'walls', real and mythical around borders and within segments of the population of the Country; how he survived impeachment; how he was first US President to walk on North Korean soil, how he got more Middle-Eastern countries to recognize the State of Israel in four years, than any of his predecessors had done in four decades.
Donald will be gone, but not forgotten ... or will he?
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You are clearly a fan but anyway.
The Supreme court was right even before Trump. Conservatives had a 5-4 majority, now they have a 6-3 majority. And this has everything to do with McConnell, and feck all to do with Trump.
There is no way a lead of > 10 points nationally does not translate to an EC win, right....right?
Not really, but there are so many Trump opponents on here thought I would try to restore the balance!
True, but surely a 6-3 result is better than 5-4 (think of the goal difference?
)It would have been more accurate to have said he has moved it further right with his appointments... I stand corrected
Probably not... but you never know. Theoretically, it's absolutely possible. The American election system is just bizarre, really.
This could easily have been written by some German patriot in the late 1930s. That sentence about not focusing on the stuff Trump says and tweets is a disgrace and disgusting.
A+ Pollster
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A+ Pollster
Inject.
Oh well - the only people who care about what Jack Nicklaus thinks about politics were likely already voting Trump anyway.
Golf is a shit elitist sport anyhow.
FL polls are thankfully now more in line with my analysis and predictions here of the last few days. That was a bit clutch. Trash pollsters aren't good for nerves.
That's a shame. (not that you disagree, but that he's not respected in the legal sphere) - I assume Roberts is broadly respected? What of the other conservatives? (I know RBG respected Scalia, but nothing else)
That's a shame. (not that you disagree, but that he's not respected in the legal sphere) - I assume Roberts is broadly respected? What of the other conservatives? (I know RBG respected Scalia, but nothing else)
Correct. Statistically it'd be like getting 5/6 numbers in the national lottery.
A+ Pollster
Stupid question here, but Biden winning the popular vote in Florida would not necessarily mean him winning the state right? It would still come down to districts etc.?
True. Trump didn't even know who John Boehner was in 2015 so I doubt he even knew the names of the three nominees until it was mentioned to him.
The country club class are a pack of ***** so it really isn't suprising.
No. Who wins more votes, wins the state (and all its electoral votes).
Great, thanks. Looks pretty good for Sleepy Joe then!
Popular vote wins the state.
Stupid question #2 Does the Ossoff race go to a runoff if it's close, or only the special?
This should explain everything you've always wondered about on the GA Senate races.
https://faq.georgiavoter.guide/en/article/georgias-2020-us-senate-races-explained
What a mess. Looks like 2 runoffs then, and we won't know how strong the D senate advantage is until January. It's a shame about the runoff; can't see him [Ossoff] winning without trump on the ticket.
It says one is a normal Senate race and the other is a special.
Well, that's good to hear.
8.5 million votes already cast in Texas, which is 94% of the total vote in 2016.
Could the massive turnout be helping Biden?
Could the massive turnout be helping Biden?
Same pollster has Trump +1 in Ohio, and Biden +5 in PA (which are both very normal sounding results). That said, the pollster doesn't have a 538 rating, so take it with a pinch of salt.
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+9 in Texas, the problem with this type of poll is that rather than making me feel good and hopeful, it instead makes me worried.
Is it more believable that Biden is really polling that far ahead in Texas, or is it more believable that this questions the wider polling results so far altogether?
Cheers.
We had a +17 in WI yesterday as well. When in doubt, go by the polling average.
It says this too:
The first Senate race is between incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue, Democrat Jon Ossoff, and Libertarian Darrell McGuire. This is the type of race you're probably used to. Senator Perdue's six year term is up, and you have a choice of three candidates. Whoever wins in November will be sworn in as one of Georgia's U.S. Senators in January for the next six years. If no one wins over 50% of the vote, the race will go into a runoff on January 5th, 2021.
There's almost no way it could help trump at least. I've been harping on about turnout for the last week.
Data was wrong. It's a 3 point lead.
https://github.com/GetCitizenData/VoteByMail/blob/master/VoteByMail-Texas/Modeling/October/Corrected Texas VBM Toplines 10_29_20.pdf
Edit: this is the most shocking part....
(Removing image as it's fecking huge, but it shows Conryn and Hegar neck and neck. That's insane)
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I know, and thank you. I am just trying my best not to get my hopes up like I did last time...
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