Are people surprised about the delelopments with Kavanaugh/Roberts? This has been predicted for weeks as the likely Rep strategy.
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
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They need the shock of being relegated for 2nd spot in the world stage to get their act together. Roger Aisles and Phyllis Schiller must be in hell being ass raped by a 800 pound gorilla every day for eternity for all the damage they done.
I don't disagree, I just think China isn't the solution. Nor is Russia, but they're on the way out (despite all their posturing). Let's hope for India. Brazil surely ain't it.
Modi ain’t it chief.
What about the EU?
The best of the rest.
" American democracy. Lets show those third world fecks how its done!"
Yeah. Let's root for the totalitarian country with zero civil rights. Go China!
(This means changing it to me)
FML
:No way Ohio goes. If Texas does then its time to break out the good stuff. Can't see either personally, better spent on required states.
I think you Yanks are going to secretly miss Donald T when he's gone! You don't see many TV broadcasts of people around the world burning the stars and stripes in their streets , or shouting anti-American slogans, could this be Trump's influence, or simply because of the Covid pandemic?
When Donald notices this he will no doubt get around to telling everyone in the next few days how peaceful its been for the US abroad, whilst he's been in power.
Alright there is an election on just now, but I cannot remember (I am over seventy!) when an American President got so much ongoing regular exposure in the media not just in the States but across the world, even at the height of the Cuba crisis, yes for a short period Kennedy was on show daily! Perhaps the only time the coverage that might compare was when Nixon was inpower and the Watergate thing was unravelling.
What's the betting, will Joe Biden even last four years, can the Democrats take that risk, especially with the Supreme Court now fixed as it is?
When Donald notices this he will no doubt get around to telling everyone in the next few days how peaceful its been for the US abroad, whilst he's been in power.
Alright there is an election on just now, but I cannot remember (I am over seventy!) when an American President got so much ongoing regular exposure in the media not just in the States but across the world, even at the height of the Cuba crisis, yes for a short period Kennedy was on show daily! Perhaps the only time the coverage that might compare was when Nixon was inpower and the Watergate thing was unravelling.
What's the betting, will Joe Biden even last four years, can the Democrats take that risk, especially with the Supreme Court now fixed as it is?
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Covid. Look how few mass shooting there has been in the last few months.
100%
Also another reason is Trump has pandered to all the rogue states and countries. They all love him as they can get away with whatever the feck they like and face no repercussions. All the while he's been pissing off and alienating the USA's allies where people don't tend to protest and burn flags as much.
I'll let you all draw your own conclusions, but turnout is way up in WI imo. Polls projected 10-13%~ early in person voting, there's already over 350k cast with an additional 200k projected by the end of the weekend. That;s in addition to the 1.45M mail ballots (which seem to be slowing)
WI turning in 2016 was a touch under 3M. Voters are polled to - 10-13% early vote, 35-40% mail vote 50% in person vote.
WI turning in 2016 was a touch under 3M. Voters are polled to - 10-13% early vote, 35-40% mail vote 50% in person vote.
Here's something for you. "Early Voting" in WI is not true early voting. Essentially it is just absentee voting where you fill out and put your absentee ballot in a box at your polling station. We just moved here and were disappointed to find this out when voting yesterday. So basically early voting and mail voting are the same thing here, so take that for what you will (SCOTUS
)The overnight violence in Philly isn't good news for early voting.
Here's something for you. "Early Voting" in WI is not true early voting. Essentially it is just absentee voting where you fill out and put your absentee ballot in a box at your polling station. We just moved here and were disappointed to find this out when voting yesterday. So basically early voting and mail voting are the same thing here, so take that for what you will (SCOTUS
This is really crazy! I'm correct in stating that WI doesn't start counting early aye? So there are essentially expected to count up to 2.5M ballots in a single day. Is on the day counting electronic, or are they used to doing this manually?
Absolutely wild altruism from Bloomberg, so confident he won’t expect anything in return from a Democrat Presidency.
Let’s hope everyone else planned a little better.
with regards to the polls what % turnout were most of them expecting as reports seem to indicate there could well be the highest turnout for a number if years (assuming people still turn up to vote in significant numbers on election day)
I am assuming this means a lot of people who were thought less likley voters will vote and as such what impact will that likley have on the end results?
(Im still assuming trump simply declares himself winner in the night and tells the proud boys to burn the counting stations to the ground and the police to stop any antifa terrorists who get in their way) but wondering if the higher turnout might make it a little closer than polls suggest )
I am assuming this means a lot of people who were thought less likley voters will vote and as such what impact will that likley have on the end results?
(Im still assuming trump simply declares himself winner in the night and tells the proud boys to burn the counting stations to the ground and the police to stop any antifa terrorists who get in their way) but wondering if the higher turnout might make it a little closer than polls suggest )
It's going to be madness.
1. Normally 6% of votes are mail/absentee. This year 60-80%
2. BY LAW these ballots must be counted on election day after polls have closed and not before. They can no even begin removing them form their envelopes.
3. State guidelines demand that poll workers can not stop once they begin counting, which means they will need to work through the night and into the 4th without stopping.
what happens if they stop?
and what counts as stopping - because that sounds like a very simple process to disrupt if somebody wanted to
China would be way way worse. There is not even a comparison.
The political system of the US needs to be overhauled. The other parts of the country are swell.
Polls are quite consistent that 45-55% will vote in person on the day. So they are either wrong on that point, or on turnout.
The reasons to suspect it's on turnout. Yougov is kinda trash, but its the latest one and suggested 35% have already voted with 21% still to come before election day. If 35% is 1.7m (poll was yesterday, so we use yesterdays turnout data as opposed to todays) then total turnout is over 4.8M (and we start to see why yougov is kinda trash) - but it also means that there's another million early votes to come, for a total of 2.7m - If those kinda numbers are anywhere near correct, trump is absolutely fecked.
shouldn't these be marked as false now?
Yea, it's probably a mixture of both in reality. Far higher turnout than expected + resurgent covid forcing changes of plans. Either way, I think it'll be very difficult to steal WI even if turnout is only up by say 500k.
It might be to just piss off Trump.
Isn't it clear already they are totally going for the third option now? I take no comfort at all in comments from the GOP that there will be a proper transition of power. They are never going to let it get there, helped by the current SC.
Why not both, plus a mandatory retirement age? (Pretty ridiculous to have SC members in their 80s...)
This is great post.
Beers at my place! (Social distanced and everything. Maybe in summer. Anyway.)November 4th....
Probably so but I also was stuck in limbo - was I, as uniformed service, remaining in Florida or moving to Texas by October, and dependent on either was I still a Georgia resident (still hold valid DL through March 2021) or would I need a new DL. What state was I technically still aligned to for voting purposes?
After asking the questions in September I was told that I'm still a registered voter in Georgia until I officially change, and was eligible for an absentee ballot. Was too late to claim Florida (or Texas if I indeed relocated there) and still be able to ensure a vote by the 4th. That said, Georgia will likely cast my ballot out once they see I voted Biden, assuming I receive it. Checking with the PO this afternoon to see if any held mail has not circulated, which I suspect may be the issue. I've been out of state frequently this month.
Hang on isnt biden 77 ... wont he be 78 in November - wouldnt he actually be in his 80's for the majority of his term if he wins election - and he has the authority to unilaterally launch nukes and kill the planet - yet a judge on a panel cant be in their 80's
Should apply to both of course, Trump is also only a few years behind Biden.
Just like there should be some sort of security checks on presidential nominees, its funny Trump wouldn't actually be allowed to do any other job in government apart from the frickin presidency. He's too high risk
Yup. The ruling to some degree is what you expect from a conservative-lead court. The Kavanaugh/Gorsuch bits were kinda insane, which is why Roberts wrote something about it. The problem though is that with Barrett joining the court, you have two batshit crazy SCOTUS, 1 slightly less batshit but still crazy, 2 relatively crazy and 1 conservative SCOTUS. So even if Roberts at times sides with the Democrats, as long as the other five loons vote the same, it is a bit fecked.
This means that Roberts needs to convince one of Gorsuch, Kavanaugh (or less likely Alito) to not do insane things. In cases, when Roberts himself thinks that something is insane. Which is not always.
In other words, Dems should pack the courts, give statehood to DC and Puerto Rico, in order to prevent GOP from gaining control back in 2024 (they won't be able to do so in 2022) in case they get a unified Democrat government. Otherwise, the GOP-ruled SC is gonna make the life of every Dem president a bit of hell. But to do so, Dems not only need to win the senate, but probably need to have 52 votes (just in case Manchin and Sinema decide to be 'civil' and work with Republicans).
Term limit and age limit for SC justices aren’t necessary if the process of picking them is apolitical. The thing is when the current system of government was set up, there were a very limited pool of white men qualified enough for office in general, so the whole shebang of president naming nominations and Senate ‘advise and consent’ were all they could come up with anyway, since they all knew each other or ran in overlapping social/professional circles. It got outdated pretty fast as population grew and party politics became dominant.
Having appointments decided by an association of pre-eminent judges, constitutional scholars and lawyers would instantly solve much of the current issue with the court, no party would acquiesce to that though, since they’ve wised up to the Court’s power in shaping public policies.
Having appointments decided by an association of pre-eminent judges, constitutional scholars and lawyers would instantly solve much of the current issue with the court, no party would acquiesce to that though, since they’ve wised up to the Court’s power in shaping public policies.
The Court is named after him - I am sure he doesn't want his legacy to be tarnished.
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