2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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Texas will eventually go blue, whether it's in this Election cycle would be a huge bonus.
 
Don’t shoot the messenger. I see Hunter Biden trending on Twitter. I’m not discounting the possibility (yes, I actually used the word ‘possible’ and didn’t speak in absolutes) this could impact the election.

A Trump win is not a popular prospect on Redcafe. But it could happen nonetheless. No amount of cognitive dissonance by any of us is going to change that.

It's easy to get something trending on Twitter without that being any indication of general public opinion. Russian/Iranian bots + Qanon Trump fanatics can get something trending on Twitter without that having any impact on 90% of the population (how they co-opted save the children hashtag). Also, I'm still waiting on you posting evidence to back up your view that the BBC is as biased Fox News.

BTW do you even live in the US? No one gives a shit about Hunter Biden.
 
It's easy to get something trending on Twitter without that being any indication of general public opinion. Russian/Iranian bots + Qanon Trump fanatics can get something trending on Twitter without that having any impact on 90% of the population (how they co-opted save the children hashtag). Also, I'm still waiting on you posting evidence to back up your view that the BBC is as biased Fox News.

BTW do you even live in the US? No one gives a shit about Hunter Biden.
I do. These last few weeks he has become my Dan Balzarian (except he's probably not an absolute cnut) and I would definitely enjoy an evening on the town with The Hunter. He got so high he flew across the country to swim in the Delaware Bay using his laptop as a floaty and then brought it to a blind computer repair man who has a crazy ex mayor on speed dial.
 
Conservative New Hampshire paper breaks 100-year tradition of GOP presidential endorsements with nod to Biden

In it’s first Democratic endorsement in 100 years, a conservative New Hampshire newspaper is breaking tradition by backing Joe Biden for president.

The New Hampshire Union Leader released a statement in their publication on Sunday defending their decision.

“There is no love lost between this newspaper and President Donald J. Trump. The Union Leader was very quickly dismissed by then-candidate Trump after we failed to bestow on him our endorsement in the Republican primary four years ago, “the statement said. “We were hopeful with Trump’s win that he might change, that the weight and responsibility of the Oval Office might mold a more respectful and presidential man. We have watched with the rest of the world as the mantle of the presidency has done very little to change Trump while the country and world have changed significantly.”

The statement continued, “President Trump is not always 100 percent wrong, but he is 100 percent wrong for America… We may be turning a corner with this virus, but the corner we turned is down a dark alley of record infections and deaths. Mr. Trump is a self-proclaimed expert on a wide variety of topics, but when pushed on basic topics he doesn’t want to discuss, he very quickly feigns ignorance.”

The statement then took a turn to Trump’s “weaponization” of social media.


“Donald Trump did not create the social-media-driven political landscape we now live in, but he has weaponized it,” the statement continued. “He is a consummate linguistic takedown artist, ripping apart all comers to the delight of his fanbase but at the expense of the nation. America faces many challenges and needs a president to build this country up. This appears to be outside of Mr. Trump’s skill set.”

The statement continued, “Biden was among the most moderate in the crowded 2020 Democratic primary field, proposing some of the lowest new spending among that increasingly left-leaning group. We are hopeful that this is a sign of the thoughtful and pragmatic public servant President Joe Biden will be. Sadly, President Trump has proven himself to be the antithesis of thoughtful and pragmatic; he has failed to earn a second term. Our endorsement for President of these United States goes to Joe Biden.”
There was this caveat at the end of the statement: *While Joe Biden is the clear choice for president, it would be a disservice to the country to send him to the White House without a backstop. We suggest splitting the ballot and electing a healthy dose of GOP senators and representatives. The best governance often comes through compromise. The civility of the Biden administration will help foster such compromise, but a blue wave would be nearly as disastrous for this country as four more years of Trump. It would result in a quagmire of big government programs that will take decades to overcome.
 
Conservative New Hampshire paper breaks 100-year tradition of GOP presidential endorsements with nod to Biden
If that’s the actual story, the writer & the editor need to be placed on leave due to the second word of the piece. Embarrassing.
 
They may not be sure bets but I do think both will win.

If I had to put money on it, I’d back both. I’d say both Gideon and Kelly are favoured at this point, so that’s your 4. (+1 probably in GA) need 1 or 2 more for a real progressive agenda to offset dinos like manchin. (You’re from AZ aye? Have you ever had a senator less popular than Mcsally?)

(point was, they are favoured but he could be more useful in NC than GA right now. Ga isn’t even gonna be a tipping point)
 
If I had to put money on it, I’d back both. I’d say both Gideon and Kelly are favoured at this point, so that’s your 4. (+1 probably in GA) need 1 or 2 more for a real progressive agenda to offset dinos like manchin. (You’re from AZ aye? Have you ever had a senator less popular than Mcsally?)

(point was, they are favoured but he could be more useful in NC than GA right now. Ga isn’t even gonna be a tipping point)

McSally, Gardner, Tillis, and Collins seem the top tier candidates to lose.

2nd tier would be Ernst, Daines, Loefller, Perdue, Graham
 
If I had to put money on it, I’d back both. I’d say both Gideon and Kelly are favoured at this point, so that’s your 4. (+1 probably in GA) need 1 or 2 more for a real progressive agenda to offset dinos like manchin. (You’re from AZ aye? Have you ever had a senator less popular than Mcsally?)

(point was, they are favoured but he could be more useful in NC than GA right now. Ga isn’t even gonna be a tipping point)
Are you factoring a -1 for Jones? Campaigned and voted for him in 18 so fingers crossed, but it is Bama.
 
It's easy to get something trending on Twitter without that being any indication of general public opinion. Russian/Iranian bots + Qanon Trump fanatics can get something trending on Twitter without that having any impact on 90% of the population (how they co-opted save the children hashtag). Also, I'm still waiting on you posting evidence to back up your view that the BBC is as biased Fox News.

BTW do you even live in the US? No one gives a shit about Hunter Biden.
Germany. I think Libano might want to be a little more careful with their sources. I mean, claiming that a character attack-by-proxy (through Hunter) on Biden will bring new developments at this point in the race while his opponent is Donald effing Trump seems like not very accurate reporting.
 
McSally, Gardner, Tillis, and Collins seem the top tier candidates to lose.

2nd tier would be Ernst, Daines, Loefller, Perdue, Graham

The fact Loefller and Graham aren't odds on to lose their seats after everything they have done says it all about what is wrong in the USA.
 
Are you factoring a -1 for Jones? Campaigned and voted for him in 18 so fingers crossed, but it is Bama.

Was assuming they lose Jones yea, (so assumed they'd need 4+the vp)


though it'd be amazing to see him win because Tuberville is just well.... Tuberville. It would be priceless.

McSally, Gardner, Tillis, and Collins seem the top tier candidates to lose.

2nd tier would be Ernst, Daines, Loefller, Perdue, Graham

You're right sorry. Forgot Gardner. I'd have Ernst in the top tier though, and Daines/Perdue in the 3rd/dreamlist tier.

Graham I really have no idea. He's a very edgy case.
 
FiveThirtyEight have Trump holding steady at 13%.

He is now favourite for Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Georgia and ME-02.

This is far too high a chance for me. My nerves won't be calmer until he is down below a 5% chance.
 
The 60 Minutes Trump interview airing right now is brutal. They threw in all the arguing they did behind the scenes. Makes Trump look like a total unhinged toddler.
 
The 60 Minutes Trump interview airing right now is brutal. They threw in all the arguing they did behind the scenes. Makes Trump look like a total unhinged toddler.
Not viewing it right now. You think they would have had less of the BTS stuff in it if he hasn’t have preemptively aired the entire interview?
 
The 60 Minutes Trump interview airing right now is brutal. They threw in all the arguing they did behind the scenes. Makes Trump look like a total unhinged toddler.
Car crash television.

Media are going to hate him getting the arse because they'll actually to report on important issues rather than focusing on what bullshit comes out his mouth.
 
The fact Loefller and Graham aren't odds on to lose their seats after everything they have done says it all about what is wrong in the USA.
That’s S.C. for you. Can’t tell you how many folks I’ve seen say “I hate Graham, but I can’t vote for a ‘Dumbocrap’”.

Harrison is learning into that though and has actually been running ads promoting the Constitutional Party candidate as a true conservative that supports Trump more than Graham does.
 
Odd, especially as they have a tonne of cash on hand. Even if they were not going to win Texas, I thought they would continue a lot of ad buys to force Trump on to the defensive.
Miami-Dade turn out is well below 2016, they will probably try a blitz next week there.

 
That’s interesting. On a quick glance, I think that almost all of these counties went heavily red in 2016, Sarasota may have been somewhat close.
Yeah those are all traditional GOP strongholds, the thing is even as D turn outs are high there, we are still looking at a roughly 150k votes deficit going into Election Day. Need Miami-Dade and Broward to do the heavy lifting as usual and the former is lagging behind.

With that being said, Biden is doing better than Clinton with seniors and whites, so who knows?
 
I haven't gone into the specifics of the 538 presidential race but they have Trump to win in only 12 scenarios out of 100. This number has remained thereabouts for a while. That snake thing however shows how tight the margins are and is getting redder.
 
Yeah those are all traditional GOP strongholds, the thing is even as D turn outs are high there, we are still looking at a roughly 150k votes deficit going into Election Day. Need Miami-Dade and Broward to do the heavy lifting as usual and the former is lagging behind.

With that being said, Biden is doing better than Clinton with seniors and whites, so who knows?
Just can’t see M-D going red this election, whatever Latino gains Plump gets down there should be offset by seniors. As is usual in Florida, it might boil down to the uneducated white male thumpers again.
 
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