2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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WI_Red said:
You bring up an interesting question. If a Bama fan had to pick between Jesus, the Bear, Trump, or the inventor of the AR-15 to have dinner with, who would they pick? My vote is actually for their sister/wife.
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Not a Bama fan so Eugene Stoner is the easy choice.
 
calodo2003 said:
I’d want to put Plump on it as well, but I doubt the spacecraft could attain escape velocity with both onboard.
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If we fire Trump away from Earth as fast as physically possible the redshift will make him look even more orange than usual. Do we really want that?
 
Raulduke said:
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They really are shitting it right now.

Did the campaigns have any input as to what the specific topics were going to be? Did they sign off on them?

Surprised they didn’t bring up the fact that Welker was in a photo with the Obamas.
 
Early returns in Florida show the electorate is skewing younger than in 2016

The preliminary returns in Florida show that the electorate is skewing much younger than four years ago when President Donald Trump ran against former Sec. Hillary Clinton.

“In ballots returned before in-person voting opened on Monday, Florida voters under 65 years old accounted for about half the ballots cast, marking a 12-point uptick in their share of the early vote compared to this time in 2016,” CNN.com reported.

Previously, the share of the Florida electorate that is over 65 was as much as 64 percent. Now, they’re just 52 percent. Older voters should be the ones voting by mail and voting early given the dangers of the coronavirus pandemic. But it appears that younger people are the ones turning out instead.

“This boost in early turnout among younger voters may reflect nationwide organizing efforts to mobilize young people to vote early, while seniors in the state may already be accustomed to voting early in previous cycles,” said CNN.

In fact, the March for Our Lives movement, which started in Parkland, Florida after the mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School inspired young voters to turn out and support candidates who will make school safety a priority while in office.

Despite the support among older voters in previous years, Republicans are experiencing a significant decrease.

“In 2016, Trump won about 57 percent of their vote, according to exit polls, which helped boost his one-percentage point victory in the state,” said CNN. That lead has been eliminated this time around as the COVID-19 pandemic has become a top issue for seniors.
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Trump Appears to Cut Into Biden's Lead in Pennsylvania: Reuters/Ipsos Poll

Went from +7.1 a week ago to +4.4.

Trump got the late boost in 2016 as well.
 
Raulduke said:
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Yeah Im sure the Commission will get right to that after using a letter like that as a political prop rather than being serious for a sec and leaving the childishness aside.

Just tell Donnie to hold his own thing and let Biden criticize him for being a big whiner again who needs to have everything go his way.
 
MrMarcello said:
What the hell would bounce him positively in the past week???
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Don't worry about it, it's one poll and Biden is anyways at 49% even in that poll, which means Trump would need every single undecided voter to win among that sample. Even Trafalgar Group is showing Biden leading in Pennsylvania in the same time frame as the above poll, which says a lot.
 
SinNombre said:
Trump Appears to Cut Into Biden's Lead in Pennsylvania: Reuters/Ipsos Poll

Went from +7.1 a week ago to +4.4.

Trump got the late boost in 2016 as well.
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I'm following Nate Silver's advice and looking at polling averages rather than individual polls. That's the end of my rationalisation anyway...

On another note, wasn't Clinton in 1992 predicted to win by much more than he actually did?
 
Frosty said:
I'm following Nate Silver's advice and looking at polling averages rather than individual polls. That's the end of my rationalisation anyway...

On another note, wasn't Clinton in 1992 predicted to win by much more than he actually did?
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Long time ago but I seem to remember Ross perot got a sizable chunk of the vote (just under 20%) and that made some of the poling a little more difficult than the usual binary legitimate options in the USA

Clinton got around 43% which i think is the lowest for a winner since 1908 yet he still got well over the 270 votes in the electoral college
 
Even that paragon of integrity & journalistic ethics, Fox News, passed on the laptop abortion...

 
sun_tzu said:
Long time ago but I seem to remember Ross perot got a sizable chunk of the vote (just under 20%) and that made some of the poling a little more difficult than the usual binary legitimate options in the USA

Clinton got around 43% which i think is the lowest for a winner since 1908 yet he still got well over the 270 votes in the electoral college
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No electoral votes for Perot. Clinton won the electoral substantially. Odd election definitely, though.
 
Very reassuring numbers, especially in very small margin seats Trump won last time in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Michigan and perhaps even Florida.
Georgia looks very tight though.

 
Sad Chris said:
Not surprised. The highlight of her life and career was a talking baby. Makes sense to stick to it.
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I'm choosing my next surgeon the same basis. What could possibly go wrong?

But wait. Hasn't he got feck all done. Tanked the economy and been directly responsible for many of the 220,000 American dead from SARS-CoV-2, got indited and generally been a corrupt Mafioso of a President?
 
sammsky1 said:
Very reassuring numbers, especially in very small margin seats Trump won last time in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Michigan and perhaps even Florida.
Georgia looks very tight though.

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What strikes me the most when looking at that, even if I knew it already, is that after all he’s said and done over these last four years, well over 40% will still vote for him.
 
sammsky1 said:
Very reassuring numbers, especially in very small margin seats Trump won last time in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Michigan and perhaps even Florida.
Georgia looks very tight though.

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The clustering of the rust belt and the sun belt in the latest polling is truly remarkable, from a mathematical and political perspective.
 
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