2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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supposedly Nate Silver said on the ABC stream that "he'd tell close friends that this election is over"
 
InfiniteBoredom said:
Larry Sabato gave her 93%, Nate Cohn gave her 85%, Silver gave her 71%

Should all of those people shut up about politics? At least he ate a bug as promised and didn’t play the pundit.
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Silver came out of that with the least worst credibility hit. Sabato is a relic of the past these days.
 
Kaos said:
If it reaches .5 then its outside of recount territory right? I'm guessing that's what the media outlets are waiting for before calling it outright.
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I believe it has to finish about .5 .

You can just tell CNN are itching to call it because they are making a lot of effort in explaining why they haven't yet, but are talking on air as if Trump can't come back in PA.
 
Nothing is wrong with not calling it yet. People should just relax.

We have a lot more shite coming up. Need energy for it.
 
Raoul said:
Silver came out of that with the least worst credibility hit. Sabato is a relic of the past these days.
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That relic of the past got 48/50 states this cycle, closer than any other models.

The fact is Silver/Cohn/Wasserman/Enten work for major media outlets, so their work by default got more credibility with the public, even though a big part of it is just punditry, while academics like Sabato/Wang/McDonald actively provide public good with their less heralded work and smaller audience. Rachel Bitecofer (albeit a clout chaser) got all of the house races right in 2018 and she isn’t lauded anywhere near the former group, because her method stands in stark contrast with their DC sentiment that moderates do better in elections and persuasion of the tiny 5% independents and soft partisans is the way to go. Guess what, 70 millions down the drain for the Lincoln project and Trump won more Republican votes than 2016 (93-7 vs 90-9)
 
Jon Ralston on NBC talking about how Trump "just can't catch Biden in any way based off current trends"
 
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