xG under Ralf

Nish115 said:
Do find it interesting you've used two sources which tbh i've never heard of before, but ignored the top xG sources most people refer to which all have it in Arsenals favour.

http://www.soccer-blogger.com/2022/...-expected-goals-stats-afc-3-1-mufc-shots-map/

https://understat.com/league/EPL



Equally, interesting how much xG varies from sources.
Click to expand...


Fbref have it closer as well. 2.2 - 2.1.

They are simply better sources than the ones you've posted. Here is another one, using opta:

 
bucky said:
Fbref have it closer as well. 2.2 - 2.1.

They are simply better sources than the ones you've posted. Here is another one, using opta:

Click to expand...

The Elanga chance where he was fouled by Tavares never registered as a shot, did it?
 
Nish115 said:
Do find it interesting you've used two sources which tbh i've never heard of before, but ignored the top xG sources most people refer to which all have it in Arsenals favour.

http://www.soccer-blogger.com/2022/...-expected-goals-stats-afc-3-1-mufc-shots-map/

https://understat.com/league/EPL



Equally, interesting how much xG varies from sources.
Click to expand...

XG philosophy is a shit account from a guy who blatantly rips off other people's work if I recall correctly. Got "famous" off it and wrote a book. But notable that none of the main xG people follow him. Your best bet is fbref or Caleys numbers on twitter. Understat isn't as good of a model but they log everything and have a nice formatting so like using them.
 
The fact that there's 6 or 7 different sources above, and every one is different is a bit strange. I understand xG is complete accuracy, but some are way different.
 


Significant difference in defensive line. Does anyone know what line height qualifies as a low block?

Some thought that under Ralf and without Maguire we’d be playing a high line but it appears we’re still in a fairly low block. Goalkeeper issues most likely. Brighton play with a modern keeper in Sanchez, incidentally he keeps DDG out of the Spain squad.
 
FiveThirtyEight now model United as only the 30th best team in Europe and 9th best team in the Premier League, below Brighton, Aston Villa and Crystal Palace. Shite results and shite underlying performances.
 
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