I fancy a punt on Isco @ 67. He has 8 goals in 9 apps since the start of 2017 and Spain are bound to go deep in the tournament.
World Cup Betting Thread
- Thread starter Samid
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I fancy a punt on Isco @ 67. He has 8 goals in 9 apps since the start of 2017 and Spain are bound to go deep in the tournament.
Also on Isco. I fancy Spain to go all the way and he's going be a regular starter, so should get plenty of opportunities. Muller maybe worth a look at 33/1 but can't see much else that grabs me.
Spain and Belgium are my 2 picks for the cup.
Spain and Belgium are my 2 picks for the cup.
Stuck a £1 on Giroud to be top scorer
I've had £30 on Edinson Cavani to be top scorer @25/1 
Griezmann, Lukaku and Falcao to be top scorers for their countries, treble pays 35/1 with victor.
16 x £30 bets on each first round game to draw, simply because they're all so shit scared of losing the first. £480 seems a lot for a poor person like me, but I don't actually expect to lose much, or win much, it's just for the interest.
Other than that, tempted to back Belgium as value.
Other than that, tempted to back Belgium as value.
I got on Isco a few weeks ago, too. Great value I think. Had a little bit on Lukaku, too. As for the winners, I can't see past Spain.
Is this for real? £100 million is a ridiculous prize money and even though its hard, predicting just the win/draw/lose for every game isn't impossible.
Actually less, 48 games with 3 outcomes and the remaining 16 with 2 outcomes
Only 5.227573613486e27 possible outcomes.
Even if chances of predicting each game are 80% (in reality, it is lower than it), chances of predicting all 64 of them would be 6 in a million.
6/1,000,000 are some absurdly good odds for a £100m prize though.
Indeed. But prob for each game is less than 0.8 though.
An accumulator on the shortest priced outcome of each of the 48 group matches works out at about a 460 billion to one chance according to my calculations.
It's early, but I'm starting to research the following bets:
To Qualify
Morocco +400
Have enough quality to trouble Portugal and could get an advantage over them if they earn a point against Spain playing defensively with it being Spain's 3rd game and maybe them playing some reserves or if Iran can nullify Portugal to a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.
To Not Qualify
Australia -550
Literally have never heard of any of their defenders and while Mooy isn't bad there just isn't enough quality here to get 4 points against Peru and Denmark or trouble France
South Korea -350
+1 GD in 10 games in a group with Iran, Syria, Uzbekistan, China and Qatar is terrible and assuming Germany makes it I don't fancy them to finish ahead of both Mexico and Sweden, 2 basically competent sides that offer a completely different playing style. Maybe the Koreans beat or draw one, but tough to see them getting 4 points.
Other
Portugal to finish bottom of group +1100
Unlikely, but great odds considering they've sputtered in group twice in the last 4 times, Spain are great and Iran only conceded 2 goals in qualifying and Morocco are decent. If Spain beat Portugal on matchday 1 and then Morocco and Portugal draw or Morocco wins, this bet can be hedged anyways.
Tunisia to finish bottom of group +170
Everyone has Panama finishing bottom but Tunisia don't look so great and it might come down to goal difference and how many Belgium batter these sides by. Seems like it's worth the odds of a small Panama upset over Tunisia or a draw and GD going my way
Switzerland to finish bottom of group +400
Brazil goes through, Serbia and Switzerland should fight for 2nd but Costa Rica aren't that bad and they play a 5 man defence that looks decent and has some aerial strength. The Swiss might not score more than 1-2 goals with Seferovic up top.
Australia to finish bottom of group -125
See above, and Peru aren't so bad and Denmark are probably even decent.
Australia not to win a group game -138
I think I like this one even better. A draw against Peru or Denmark or both and I still win.
Senegal to win a group game -250
Steep-ish odds, but Japan, Colombia and Poland are 3 very different opponents stylistically, Mane and Koulibaly 2 of the better players in the group, they're not overly reliant on extreme youth or old legs and their athletic Prem midfielders are not pretty to watch but do all work their socks off. Seems like enough for a group win.
Top Goalscorer
Lukaku +1800
Panama and Tunisia could be romps and I'd back him to score against England too. De Bruyne, Meunier, Mertens and Hazard should be looking for him a fair amount.
Mitrovic +15000
Playing well and starting upfront for a team with an apparent $100M #10 in SMS to supply him and Kolarov to hit crosses and set pieces. Serbia's height might give him a decent matchup or two on those set pieces.
Ozil +10000
Obviously Muller and Werner will probably outscore him, but he's got 22 in 89 at International level and it doesn't seem crazy to think he could get 4-5 in 6 games and be up there with a shout to win it in the final
To Qualify
Morocco +400
Have enough quality to trouble Portugal and could get an advantage over them if they earn a point against Spain playing defensively with it being Spain's 3rd game and maybe them playing some reserves or if Iran can nullify Portugal to a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.
To Not Qualify
Australia -550
Literally have never heard of any of their defenders and while Mooy isn't bad there just isn't enough quality here to get 4 points against Peru and Denmark or trouble France
South Korea -350
+1 GD in 10 games in a group with Iran, Syria, Uzbekistan, China and Qatar is terrible and assuming Germany makes it I don't fancy them to finish ahead of both Mexico and Sweden, 2 basically competent sides that offer a completely different playing style. Maybe the Koreans beat or draw one, but tough to see them getting 4 points.
Other
Portugal to finish bottom of group +1100
Unlikely, but great odds considering they've sputtered in group twice in the last 4 times, Spain are great and Iran only conceded 2 goals in qualifying and Morocco are decent. If Spain beat Portugal on matchday 1 and then Morocco and Portugal draw or Morocco wins, this bet can be hedged anyways.
Tunisia to finish bottom of group +170
Everyone has Panama finishing bottom but Tunisia don't look so great and it might come down to goal difference and how many Belgium batter these sides by. Seems like it's worth the odds of a small Panama upset over Tunisia or a draw and GD going my way
Switzerland to finish bottom of group +400
Brazil goes through, Serbia and Switzerland should fight for 2nd but Costa Rica aren't that bad and they play a 5 man defence that looks decent and has some aerial strength. The Swiss might not score more than 1-2 goals with Seferovic up top.
Australia to finish bottom of group -125
See above, and Peru aren't so bad and Denmark are probably even decent.
Australia not to win a group game -138
I think I like this one even better. A draw against Peru or Denmark or both and I still win.
Senegal to win a group game -250
Steep-ish odds, but Japan, Colombia and Poland are 3 very different opponents stylistically, Mane and Koulibaly 2 of the better players in the group, they're not overly reliant on extreme youth or old legs and their athletic Prem midfielders are not pretty to watch but do all work their socks off. Seems like enough for a group win.
Top Goalscorer
Lukaku +1800
Panama and Tunisia could be romps and I'd back him to score against England too. De Bruyne, Meunier, Mertens and Hazard should be looking for him a fair amount.
Mitrovic +15000
Playing well and starting upfront for a team with an apparent $100M #10 in SMS to supply him and Kolarov to hit crosses and set pieces. Serbia's height might give him a decent matchup or two on those set pieces.
Ozil +10000
Obviously Muller and Werner will probably outscore him, but he's got 22 in 89 at International level and it doesn't seem crazy to think he could get 4-5 in 6 games and be up there with a shout to win it in the final
If you somehow made it to the final game, I wonder if they will try and make a tempting offer
What does this -125 and +15000 mean? And on what platform did you find the bet on Australia to not win a group game?
Positive figures state the winnings if the stake is 100 dollars (or whatever currency you're using). Negatives state how much you have to bet to win a 100 dollar profit.
I don't understand why everyone doesn't just use decimal odds. It's as simple as it gets.
I've an accumulator of
Group A: Uruguay Winner
Group B: Spain and Morocco to qualify
Group C: France and Denmark to qualify
Group D: Argentina Winner
Group E: Brazil Winner
Group F: Germany Winner
Group G: England and Belgium to qualify
Group H: Columbia and Poland to qualify
@ 429/1 - £5 returns £2145
Group A: Uruguay Winner
Group B: Spain and Morocco to qualify
Group C: France and Denmark to qualify
Group D: Argentina Winner
Group E: Brazil Winner
Group F: Germany Winner
Group G: England and Belgium to qualify
Group H: Columbia and Poland to qualify
@ 429/1 - £5 returns £2145
Paul Pogba top scorer isn't out of the question. He'll surely play further up for France than United play him and he'll have a ridiculous team (Griezmann, Kante, Mbappe etc) around him.
Agree. Fractional and the very weird American odds are so convoluted. Guess it's what people are used to I suppose, like the old metric vs imperial debate.
I always work with decimal odds though. Easier to visualise.
I’m on him and Uruguay as outsidersI've had £30 on Edinson Cavani to be top scorer @25/1
Cristiano will make you cry, again...
Well he hasn't before. I've got the same on with Portugal to qualify, though only returns £299 from £5Cristiano will make you cry, again...
To be honest, it all looks good, but personally I think the problem with this type of accumulators is that some team always messes up.
At a guess Morocco and Poland in the one you posted.
You're right, that's the issue with trying to predict it all. Low stakes though for a bit of fun
Spain are my winners against France in the final, which is not what I picked before deciding on what the result of every game should be.
Germany knock England out in the quarters
Germany knock England out in the quarters
Isco to score over 1.5 goals @ 1.90
Since I'm backing Isco as a long shot for the golden boot I also have to fancy him to achieve this.
Since I'm backing Isco as a long shot for the golden boot I also have to fancy him to achieve this.
Where can you do accumulators? I find that most of these only works for singles
Where?
Will he? He's played in a midfield two with Kante a lot of times. That was mainly his role at the euros.
Unibet.
I used skybet to place this acca
Some interesting million pound acca-type promos at BetVictor and Coral. Lookiong forward to some more interesting offers and stuff too.
Actually less, 48 games with 3 outcomes and the remaining 16 with 2 outcomes
Only 5.227573613486e27 possible outcomes.
It's 3 outcomes for every game. It ain't happening. It's not impossible, of course but a fairer prize would be more like £500BN.
From the knockout stage you only select the wknner?
Do you? I haven't actually seen the Ts and cs or the offer, just saw the add which said win, lose or draw. Even so, don't think it's gonna make much difference to the staggeringly huge odds of success!
I'm hoping BET365 do a load of their free bet offers for the World Cup...
Hmm, think they are all customer-specific these days so if you bet with them a lot and don't hit their weak lines you probably will get a few.
I've had the last few, FA Cup, Champions LEague, etc...but I only get £25 instead of the £50...