It seems like the right time to make a first judgement (as the first season phase came to an end), but at the same time it kind of doesn't feel right. All those injuries massively affected ETH choices, Ronaldo saga, and game every 3 days basically eliminates any possibility to work on any new different game-plans. How much the team spent on training ground in the last 2 months?
Results-wise, I think we're really good staying in touch with TOP4. Goal Difference is truly terrible, but we had some extreme results so I'm not really bothered. Europa League was simply a lot of bad luck to finish second, and we have a decent chance in EFL Cup with some big teams already out.
Performance-wise.. I guess we can divide the season so far in two phases, before and after Antony's injury.
When Antony was fit I thought we're really progressing with each game, we could hold to the ball, worked left right center, and although we did not create many good chances, we were definitely moving in the right direction. Not only we could control the game better then ever before, but we also limited opposition to half-chances and kept them under pressure. I felt excitement for the next game and I really though time is all that this team needs to score more goals.
The last few games since Antony was out I felt like this is Ole ball rather than ETH system. We had little control over the game, little patience and forcing a lot of early balls to Ronaldo, we seemed happy to give the ball away and then chase it back to catch opponent in transition. That is a fine tactic, but do we need to have Eriksen and Casemiro starting every game to execute that tactic? Because I have not really seen any alternative but I'll come to that.
The positives:
- all of our players are contributing with goals and assists, that is a very good prognostic for the future once we have an actual striker
- Shaw, Rashford, De Gea back in good form
- Dalot and Garnacho look like proper players
- we seem to grind out results which is a huge boost for mentality
- we no longer look fragile defensively when starting a game
- all of our new guys have been very good and are already core of the team from back to front
Indifferent/hard to judge:
- handling Ronaldo situation - I think ETH had no other option than to play him recently, although he did play him too often and the captaincy was bollocks
- playing Dalot and Bruno 3 days in 3 days out - especially Bruno I think should get more rest, not only because of fatigue but also because he is very hot and cold and forces us to play certain way; that said, it was a default setup and considering there was no time to train I think it's justified to put everything on one card (paid off in the end I guess)
Negatives:
- it seems like we don't have a plan B for midfield, but Eriksen and Casemiro have been playing way way too much. I definitely prefer mixing them up with McTominay (who is having a good season) and Fred (who looks like a decent midfielder every now and then, but for sure needs a run of games first) than to run our main midfield duo into the ground with a justification "there's no alternative". I do not agree with that, it's a question of squad management. Again, did we really need to start Eriksen Casemiro against all of Omonia, Everton, Sheriff, West Ham and Aston VIlla in EPL, especially with so many hard games in between those? Also, if our tactic is to play long ball from defence to attack, what was the case in a few games recently, and then trying to get the ball back when opposition is transitioning to attack, wouldn't it make sense to use McTominay and Fred a bit more? That doesn't seem like a tactic made for Casemiro and Eriksen duo.
- some of his tactical choices are weird. Starting van de Beek high up the pitch when we already have Ronaldo and Rashford plus Eriksen - Casemiro midfield looked like suicide mission and it kind of was. Going for one runner (Rashford/Garnacho) up front when we are in low block (West Ham, Real Sociedad) is another one. Too many times the team lost any shape after subs. I think we can do better.
- stubbornness to play Bruno at all cost. What a bizarre idea that is, he doesn't bring us balance, we exploit him even more than needed (and he's already playing like 97% of the possible game time), he is not a threat on the counter starting from the half line, it's just bizarre. He adds energy but you can already see he's tired so even that isn't a positive factor. Elanga is a poor footballer, but if playing him makes it possible for us to rest Bruno and shape into a more 4-3-3 with fullbacks and #8's pushing higher, then I think this makes more sense than Bruno the Right Winger.
It is a bit worrying that when we lost Antony we look pretty average again. Although it has to be said, we did create a number of chances playing more pragmatic way than before when we tried more controlled/possession based style.
Overall I'm happy with Ten Hag so far, once again I think this is a very difficult season to re-build a team because of how little time is spent on a training ground and a lot of choices are automatic because of players needing rest / out due to injury. I am a bit worried that we don't have a plan B to 4231 system with Bruno as the link and Antony on RW, but it has to be said Ten Hag is getting the results. Some of those results seem a bit better than the actual performance suggests, so I'm not overly ecstatic, just happy with the season so far.
I'm very impressed by his signings which have been truly excellent for us (this shows even more with Antony missing). This is much better than I expected. However, I expected us to do better in terms of implementing a system and I'm surprised ETH has taken a more pragmatic approach recently, so maybe we're not playing great football, but we are getting the results so that speaks of manager flexibility. I feel in the end we will need to combine those two approaches to find a balance which is not quite there yet.