The Oracle
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- Jun 22, 2020
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In deciding where to place Erik ten Hag as a manager, I have put together the criteria that I believe separates the Top Tier Elite level managers from the 2nd and 3rd Tier level managers:
Top Tier Elite level managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a league title in one of the top leagues in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won a Champions League Final
- Won multiple Cup competitions in the same season when managing a team from one of the top leagues in Europe
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Champions League position (in one of the top leagues in Europe).
2nd Tier managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a league title in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Won a domestic Cup competition in an elite league in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won multiple Cup competitions in the same season when managing a team from one of the inferior leagues in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Reached a Champions League Final
- Finished in 2nd place in an elite league in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won the Europa League
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Europa league position (in an elite league in Europe).
3rd Tier managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a domestic Cup competition in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Won a league title in a far inferior league in Europe (Türkiye, Scotland, Belgium, and Norway)
- Reached a Europa League Final
- Won the Europa Conference League
- Finished in 2nd place in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Europa Conference league position (in an elite league in Europe).
Based on the criteria I have put together, Erik ten Hag arrived at Manchester United as a 2nd Tier level manager (he had won a league title in an inferior league in Europe), and he has continued to be a 2nd Tier level manager (he won the Carabao Cup last season meaning that he had won a domestic Cup competition in a top European league).
It is my opinion that to have any chance of being a Top Tier Elite level manager, you have to be able to react to what is happening during a match. Erik ten Hag doesn’t.
For example in yesterday’s match against Brighton, for the first 15 to 20 minutes we were playing well, Brighton then changed their shape and we didn't react to it, we went a goal down and we still didn’t change anything.
Half time came and went without a substitution being made. He then waited for the hour mark to pass by before he made his first substitution – something that he habitually does, which is predictable to any manager he faces. He then waited until there were just 5 minutes left of the 90 before bringing on the attacking threats of Garnacho and Pellistri – far too late to have a realistic chance of getting back into the match.
Yesterday's example of Ten Hag's inability/reluctance to address what is happening during the game, is something that we have witnessed multiple times from him previously.
My view is that Ten Hag’s inability/reluctance to affect a live match, through him not being able to (or not willing to) adapt his tactics to what is happening on the pitch, and not making a substitution when it is necessary; are obvious flaws that he possesses that will mean he will only ever be a Tier 2 level manager.
Where do you place Erik ten Hag, and if you agree that he isn’t a Top Tier Elite level manager, do you think that he ever will be?
Top Tier Elite level managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a league title in one of the top leagues in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won a Champions League Final
- Won multiple Cup competitions in the same season when managing a team from one of the top leagues in Europe
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Champions League position (in one of the top leagues in Europe).
2nd Tier managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a league title in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Won a domestic Cup competition in an elite league in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won multiple Cup competitions in the same season when managing a team from one of the inferior leagues in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Reached a Champions League Final
- Finished in 2nd place in an elite league in Europe (England, Spain, Italy, or Germany)
- Won the Europa League
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Europa league position (in an elite league in Europe).
3rd Tier managers have achieved one of the following:
- Won a domestic Cup competition in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Won a league title in a far inferior league in Europe (Türkiye, Scotland, Belgium, and Norway)
- Reached a Europa League Final
- Won the Europa Conference League
- Finished in 2nd place in an inferior league in Europe (France, Netherlands, or Portugal)
- Operated with a minimal budget (compared to the rest of the teams in the division) and finished in a Europa Conference league position (in an elite league in Europe).
Based on the criteria I have put together, Erik ten Hag arrived at Manchester United as a 2nd Tier level manager (he had won a league title in an inferior league in Europe), and he has continued to be a 2nd Tier level manager (he won the Carabao Cup last season meaning that he had won a domestic Cup competition in a top European league).
It is my opinion that to have any chance of being a Top Tier Elite level manager, you have to be able to react to what is happening during a match. Erik ten Hag doesn’t.
For example in yesterday’s match against Brighton, for the first 15 to 20 minutes we were playing well, Brighton then changed their shape and we didn't react to it, we went a goal down and we still didn’t change anything.
Half time came and went without a substitution being made. He then waited for the hour mark to pass by before he made his first substitution – something that he habitually does, which is predictable to any manager he faces. He then waited until there were just 5 minutes left of the 90 before bringing on the attacking threats of Garnacho and Pellistri – far too late to have a realistic chance of getting back into the match.
Yesterday's example of Ten Hag's inability/reluctance to address what is happening during the game, is something that we have witnessed multiple times from him previously.
My view is that Ten Hag’s inability/reluctance to affect a live match, through him not being able to (or not willing to) adapt his tactics to what is happening on the pitch, and not making a substitution when it is necessary; are obvious flaws that he possesses that will mean he will only ever be a Tier 2 level manager.
Where do you place Erik ten Hag, and if you agree that he isn’t a Top Tier Elite level manager, do you think that he ever will be?