I quite like your posts normally mate but I think this is so overly generous it needs correcting and I'll explain why.
It's like Brendan Rodgers saying they've lost less games in all competitions than City. All well and true but when you've only just scraped past Bournemouth courtesy of huge luck, got spanked by West Ham and your arch enemies United, drawn with Norwich in a dire game and nearly exited a cup to Carlisle, it absolutely overwrites everything else. No cheap stat or hypotheses can gloss over the glaringly obvious.
Re; Rooney - the same law applies. Such performances that to call them "poor" is too kind in the majority of those games you're using as a sample does not overrule the hypothetical projection because he whooped Club Brugge upside the head and a ball bounced off his knee in a favourable direction on the weekend. He has still been absolutely awful. The lad has barely had a shot on target, offered nothing to United away from home since March 2014 and has been playing so horribly for the majority of this season that he's actually been detrimental to our attacking phases.
As a side note, let's break these same stats you've used to generate your hypothesis down a bit shall we...
- Rooney has been bad in 6 of 8 games - 75%. For the sake of 25 hypothetical goals across all competitions, would you really take over 33 of those 45 games being anonymous and detrimental to the team to justify that?
- Then factor in where the majority of those goals have been scored. 1 in 6 appearances in the Prem so far. That equates to just under 6 and a half goals so lets be generous and say 7. Are you still saying that if Rooney misses no more league games, completes the full 37 available, you'd take 7 goals as a satisfactory return? RVP got 10 in 27 for context and was called "past it" left, right and centre. What makes Rooney immune to that?
- Now add in how 0 goals or shots on target were against Liverpool and Spurs, the toughest teams in that run. Would you carry on that hypothetical projection vs Chelsea, City and Arsenal home and away?
I'm not trying to have a pop at you here but I just needed to put into context how grossly inflated that was. If you're using hypothesis and projections of form to justify anything good from a player, you have to acknowledge the negatives too. When it comes to Rooney since March 2014, there has been far too much to let that post slide without a response for me.