I'm more sure than before Rams. T-Mobile had a golden opportunity on Friday. Armstrong was totally isolated, but Ullrich still wouldn't/couldn't attack him. We all know Ullrich simply can't drop Armstrong as long as he insists on using a huge gear, so that basically means Armstrong has to blow or Ullrich has to beat him in the TT's... in other words Ullrich has no chance of beating a healthy Armstrong. Vino on the other hand can drop Armstrong, but he needs a hell of a lot of time in hand before Saint Etienne. As long as Ullrich isn't riding for Vino that simply won't happen imo. As for Basso, he has the raw talent but the Giro took a lot out of him. True the Tour is nothing like as arduous but he needs to beat Armstrong, not just hold his wheel. I doubt he has enough left in the tank to both drop Armstrong and still hold the pace for the remainder of the Tour.
As for Discovery letting Armstrong down, that is the key point isn't it. They didn't blow, they didn‘t get dropped, they just got caught out by a lack of concentration and ended up on the wrong side of a split. If they blew then Armstrong would have serious cause for concern, but this will just serve as a wake up call. You can bet your life they won't get caught out en masse again. For me that is why I'm so scathing of Ullrich, not even trying to attack Armstrong when he had such a golden opportunity. He has been talking big about having a final chance to beat Armstrong, but he didn’t look remotely interested at the best opportunity he has had for a couple of years.
Armstrong shouldn't have any problems tomorrow. It should be a pretty easy day for him until the final climb. Assuming they operate on usual policy Discovery will crank the pace up over the Roseland to wear down the field and then control things with ease until Armstrong attacks on the final climb. Tomorrow is just about holding Armstrong’s wheel imo. He’ll want a big buffer before the Pyrenees, especially given how tough the two mountain finishes next weekend could be.
The real test for Discovery(assuming the Tour isn't all but over) will come on Wednesday. The Galibier is an absolute bitch. If Armstrong has any domestiques left at that point then Discovery will be in an incredibly healthy position.