Top 4 Race 19/20 | duffer: "We [Chelsea] are getting 3rd. Despite what the lunatics in here think, Man United are not all that."

Sort the West Ham game, then a Chelsea defeat at Anfield as goo as sees us through irrespective of the last game

That sounds a lot more positive than at any point over the last few days!
 
Just two games left lads.

Please get it done.

Think we'll have to risk the semi final and play a lot of our backup's.
 
It might be a good thing Liverpool lost. Hope they set that right and get back to winning ways (damn felt so guilty typing that). I don’t care if they draw. Just hope Chelsea don’t win. Liverpool are unbeaten at home in 57 games? Hope that run continues too for now.
 
Chelsea (63 points): Liverpool (A), Wolves (H)
Leicester (62 points): Tottenham (A), Manchester United (H)
Manchester United (62 points): West Ham (H), Leicester (A)

My guess:

Chelsea draw their final 2 (end on 65 points)
Leicester as above (end on 64 points)
Manchester United beat West Ham and draw to Leicester (66 points)

But it can really go any way to be fair.
 
I don't think Chelsea are going to lose at Anfield, the Scousers have lost their drive.
 
Still not confident we'll beat West Ham! They're not in bad shape at the moment!
 
Chelsea (63 points): Liverpool (A), Wolves (H)
Leicester (62 points): Tottenham (A), Manchester United (H)
Manchester United (62 points): West Ham (H), Leicester (A)

My guess:

Chelsea draw their final 2 (end on 65 points)
Leicester as above (end on 64 points)
Manchester United beat West Ham and draw to Leicester (66 points)

But it can really go any way to be fair.

chelski are through IMO. I don't see them losing to the dippers and I think they will beat wolves at home by some jammy 1-0.

Its between us and leicester. First though, west ham at home won't be a walk in the park. They always play us like maniacs (similar to palace) and its no guarantee we get 3 points. We will have to be on top of our game after a gruelling FA cup semi final tie against chelski.
 
So if my maths is right, I think you'd need something like a Spurs 3 - 0 Leicester, and a Man Utd 3 - 0 West Ham to have a scenario where Leicester would need to win the final game by more than 1 goal.

Basically, I think it's 'gonna come down to a winner takes all final game.

This is correct yes
 
Still not confident we'll beat West Ham! They're not in bad shape at the moment!

They will be tough. They always game raise against us.

But their form is pretty poor. Outside of beating norwich, they have basically lost or drawn every match previously since after the lockdown..

Hopefully they will secure safety if they beat watford (or draw?)
 
@TheNewEra you're wrong. If we go into the final game with a GD of 31 and Leicester are on 28, and they are 3 points behind, a 2 goal Leicester win would put them on GD 30 (28 +2) and us on 29 (31-2).
 
If we win 5-1 vs West Ham, Spurs beat Leicester 1-0 and Leicester beats us 1-0, it comes down to a playoff game against Leicester.
 
Let’s ignore the sickness brought on by the nerves for a second.. it’s so fecking exciting.

That last minute Southampton goal still haunts me.
 
We just need to concentrate on our games. We have to scrap to win them.

Let's just see how the other games go, but we have to concentrate on our job. Hope we get it done.
 
@TheNewEra you're wrong. If we go into the final game with a GD of 31 and Leicester are on 28, and they are 3 points behind, a 2 goal Leicester win would put them on GD 30 (28 +2) and us on 29 (31-2).

That would you require you to win your next game by three goals though, and Leicester to lose their next game by three goals. Which is what we said - you need a 6 goal difference swing to have a scenario where Leicester have to score 2 goals in the final game.
 
If we win 5-1 vs West Ham, Spurs beat Leicester 1-0 and Leicester beats us 1-0, it comes down to a playoff game against Leicester.

Was just about to post this,

Say we beat West Ham 4 nil, bring out GD to 32,

Leicester beat spurs 1 nil bringing them to 32

And we draw nil nil against Leicester, what happens then?
 
Youre in La La Land if you think Leicester can win against Spurs and Sheffield United. Theyll lose or draw at LEAST one of those at best. I wouldnt be surprised if they draw or lose both to be honest.
No chance Leicester beat both Spurs and Sheffield United. I’d doubt they will win either at the moment.
I think my original prediction is getting closer. Chelsea on 66. United and Leicester on 65. Draw puts them both through
 
Was just about to post this,

Say we beat West Ham 4 nil, bring out GD to 32,

Leicester beat spurs 1 nil bringing them to 32

And we draw nil nil against Leicester, what happens then?
Leicester ahead on goals scored. H2H only applies as a tiebreaker after points, goal difference and goals scored.
 
chelski are through IMO. I don't see them losing to the dippers and I think they will beat wolves at home by some jammy 1-0.

Its between us and leicester. First though, west ham at home won't be a walk in the park. They always play us like maniacs (similar to palace) and its no guarantee we get 3 points. We will have to be on top of our game after a gruelling FA cup semi final tie against chelski.
Be worth keeping an eye on Wolves. Probably depends on if they need a result to qualify for Europa at the time.
 
Was just about to post this,

Say we beat West Ham 4 nil, bring out GD to 32,

Leicester beat spurs 1 nil bringing them to 32

And we draw nil nil against Leicester, what happens then?
Team which has scored more goals would finish ahead.
 
So no Maddison, Chilwell and Fuchs.....Söyüncü banned for the rest of the season.


With them missing 3 regulars from their defence and their most creative player, you'd surely expect Spurs to get something against them. Especially as Spurs are still pushing for Europe, have only lost once since the restart and have a fit squad again!

Leicester 4-0 Spurs
Vardy x3
Jose OG
 
That would you require you to win your next game by three goals though, and Leicester to lose their next game by three goals. Which is what we said - you need a 6 goal difference swing to have a scenario where Leicester have to score 2 goals in the final game.
He disagreed with you initially and then changed his post. Here's the original which I was replying to.

m4Uf178.png
 
The thought of needing points against West Ham in the season run-in makes me very nervous. They seem to regularly feck us up.
 
If United and Leicester both win their next league game and Chelsea lose. Genuinely, United and Leicester would both take a draw in the last game wouldn’t they?!
 
We will be going into the final round in third I am pretty sure. In that scenario we 'd need a draw to get through and a win to confirm third place.