In all title races, no matter how well the top team is playing they usually hit a patch where things don't click. Now its a matter of who will be close to them when that happens. We 100% need to beat them at OT too.
Chelsea barely wobbled last season after their 13 wins in a row. Huddersfield, Southampton (home) and West Ham next three for City. That should mean the 8 point lead is intact when we go to face you guys at OT. Even losing there wouldn't be too bad as long as we beat Spurs the following week.
There is a long way to go but atm I think United and Chelsea are the only sides left in the title race and if our lead ever reaches double figures I think we will cruise.
Its huge for United they don't let City get that gap. In reality, United have to better City by 3 wins, Chelsea 3 wins and a draw to pass them this season and atm it looks like that means they'll have to be almost perfect till the end of the season. I genuinely believe you guys can afford maybe 1 more loss and thats it.
I think atm we at City are looking like finishing around 90 points (if we keep this momentum up it will be much more.)
54 points from 26 games will put City on 90. Its not impossible we won't but
I think 18 wins will put us on 90 points. While that is hugely unlikely a record of 16 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses or 17w, 5d, 4l for the remainder of the season is quite probable. I'd be surprised is we finish below 90 points now to be honest.
I think to win the title United will need to pick up 64 points or so from the next 26 games. That is 20 wins 4 draws 2 losses, 21 wins 1 draw 4 losses (hugely unlikely).
Anything less than 20 wins and you can't do it. For example going unbeaten with 19 wins and 7 draws would see you finish on bang on 90 points but I think City will have a far superior goal difference.
Chelsea have to win 21 of their 26 games I feel as 20 wins would mean they can only afford 1 more defeat.
Basically to get to 90 points.
City - 17 wins, 5d, 4l = 56 points to 90 - 2.15 pts per game
United - 20wins, 4d, 2l = 64 points to 90 - 2.45pts per game
Chelsea - 21 wins, 2d, 3l = 65 points to 90 - 2.5pts per game