First thought - Joga was expecting Albert to play and he had changed his set-up to minimize his influence, but he didn't even start.
Hey, like I said, you got one over me on that one but I don't mind it at all. You simply do not have a goal-threat here.
Nedved had a 1 in 5 goalscoring average throughout his career for both national and club team with 1 solitary goal in 12 Euro appearances. Iniesta had a 1 in 10 general record (0 goals in 12 Euro appearances) and hardly poses a goal threat. Throw in your midfield duo of Xavi-Monti and your goalscoring threat is almost non-existent with all the eggs in one basket - Baros shouldering all the burden against a concrete wall commandeered by one Bobby Moore. Even van basten without adequate support offensively might find it tough to break through my defense.
Simply put, you are not going to score here with only Baros as your sole goal threat against the likes of Moore, Desailly and Bergomi. Nice tactical manoeuvre but I don't see how you've helped yourself with that change.
- Does Aldo have enough goalthreat to break Joga's defence? I think that this maybe too much for Baros. What's Iniesta's and Nedved's goalscoring records on Euro's? I'm too lazy to check myself.
- Will ultra-defensive Joga be capable of taking the ball to his forwards efficiently?
I don't have an opinion yet, I'll wait to hear what the managers will have to say about that.
He simply doesn't as opposed to say Rummenigge, Sindelar and Elkjaer who are much much more threatening than his entire attack and midfield combined. He has put all his eggs in one basket and it is only going to backfire here, he doesn't even have a goalscoring midfielder and just one solitary striker who had a good Euros but is simply up against better defenders here.
On the second point, we will be playing slightly deep-ish as he will have the edge in possession. With the long passing capablitlies of Moore and Effenberg in particular, we can get the ball to my forwards efficiently. Keep in mind that Monti will also be frequently dropping deep and getting on the ball to spray it around.
The biggest thing to talk about right now is that Joga has prepared for the wrong opposition. That may not seem something huge on paper, but in any game, a big tournament KO game no less, misjudging the opponent to this extent can lead to the team being surprised early on in the game and that could give my team a quick start. As it is we were a lot more prepared than the opponent and made no such drastic misjudgements.
Yes, I actually don't mind this opposition at all with you playing a team with zero threat on the left flank, everything coming centrally against a jam-packed central core of mine and with just one player shouldering your scoring burden - Baros...
and Baros here has zero burden of anything but scoring.
He simply has the most burden on the pitch. If he doesn't deliver, and he is up against Bergomi-Moore-Desailly here, your team is simply not going to pose a threat. You've just transferred the most important tactical component title from Albert to Baros of all people, and I don't mind that at all.
Demyanenko as right wing back? Thought he was a leftie. Did he play there in the Euros? How was his performances there? Also don't like Maldini in a wing back role. It's a defensive overkill. He should drop Desailly for a midfielder, if he's any on the bench.
I think this will be a draw. Aldo doesn't have the threat to break Joga defence, but will dominate possession and deny opponent too.
He did play as a RWB. His team's sole wing-threat is Kaltz (with Nedved playing centrally now and he has to provide the sole central thrust, dynamism, ball carrying which is necessary in the middle with the absence of Albert) who is up against Maldini here. Take into account that Elkjaer-Rummenigge-Sindelar as opposed to Baros is much much more threatening on a whole different plane. Watch the videos in the OP and you'll see how deadly they were and how they could rip anyone a new one on a quick transition/counter with the likes of Moore, Effenberg and Sindelar providing the ammunition.
1 forward, who isn't even that threatening (there are at least 3-4 unarguably better players in Aldo's team)
Are you referring to Sindelar?
He played as a withdrawn forward with Bican frequently making runs forward bursting his gut to get forward. You can bank both the indefatigable Rummenigge and the electric Elkjaer to do just that. Also keep in mind that he scored 7 goals in 11 CEIC games and has 26 goals in 43 caps in general.
The question is - do you have enough goalthreat besides Baros here?
He simply does not and there is no way he is scoring here. Like I've stated in the OP even a MvB without adequate support could struggle to break down my defense.
Will he be able to help against Iniesta who had a good Euro? Or will Bergomi be expected to step up. Do you see any advantages for Aldo?
He most certainly would but with Iniesta playing fairly centrally now, he'd most likely be in Bergomi's zones more often than not and there is no one better for this job. Anyway I'll post Demyanenko's individual highlights (gifs) from both the semi-finals and final in a while in the main thread. I'd expect him to pin down Lahm (he is an inferior FB to Lahm but a significantly, and I mean this, better wing-back than a LWB Lahm) and remove a crucial width outlet for Aldo. Keep in mind that Kaltz is up against Maldini as well.