My assessment of the top four contenders in order of current position.
Arsenal - Highly likely to be in (very small chance of an implosion, but I don't see it happening).
Man City - Definitely in.
Newcastle - Looking likely to also claim a spot. Especially, since they are likely to invest in the transfer window.
Tottenham - Too inconsistent in their performances, but might get dragged their by Conte dark arts, Kane and Son.
Man Utd - Not in unless there is investment in the transfer window. Squad too thin to consistently get results.
Liverpool - Will continue to struggle with midfield quality and defensive woes, but once Diaz is back and Nunez picks up more form, they will get results.
Chelsea - Most likely out. Their squad is underwhelming and Harry Potter will be found out.
Final top four order: 1. Man City, 2. Arsenal, 3. Newcastle, 4. Tottenham