Title is out of reach. We have 57 points available until the end of this gruelling season. I'd say we'd need high 80s to win it and that's being optimistic.
This would mean we'd need high 40s from the second half of the season i.e. we may be able to lose to Arsenal but we'd need wins away to Spurs and Newcastle. Or we'll need draws in all our remaining hard fixtures and wins everywhere else. Whilst fighting on four fronts with a squad that's thin in quality. And assuming low points total for the title.
It's basically a pipe dream but top 4 is very much within reach which is great.
The title was and is simply not on because of our inability to score goals, if you double the season you get 78 points and 58 goals scored 42 goals conceded. Personally I think the players will have burn out by too many games and the club not having a big enough squad. We lack a true elite number 9 that we can rely on, we are short in MDF area where a club that recruited correctly in the past would have a Casemeiro replacement, an another elite number 8/10 like Milenkosavic.
Here our squad’s half term report;
Goalkeepers 8/10(we have 3, good experience however none are great at building the play)
Defence 8/10(4 good FB options due to coaching, 4 good CB options and Harry and we are now conceding 1.15 goals per game rather 1.56)
Midfield 7.5/10 (Great starting 3, no depth no genuine like for like cover, no game changer from the bench, fatigue will find us out)
Attack 6.5/10( Marcus is carrying the attack(so shame on those who wanted him gone!) , Martial not fit enough, too injury proun, Antony to inconsistent, Jadon gone AWOL, Garnaucho great young talent, Pellistri not given a chance, Ellanga not good enough, Werghost, just joined, squad lacks game changers from the bench and will get thinner as the games mount up)
Realistically with this squad I see us burning out a bit and finishing the last 19 games with something like P19 W11D4 L 4 GS 31 GA17 PTs 37 so combined
P38 W23 D7 L8 GS60 GA38 +22 PTS 76 and I’m predicting 3rd. We will struggle away to Arsenal, Newcastle, Spurs, Liverpool and drop points against Brighton, Leeds, Villa and maybe palace again next week. I think Newcastle will get about 35 so they will end up on 73 points and easily finish in 4th position. There may be a gap
Of 6 or 7 points to 5th. I say this knowing that either united or Newcastle could blow up at any time and Liverpool could and can mount a 13-14 wining game streak where they get 43-45 points in last 19 to go with 29-31 points. I would be very confident that 76 points will allow the club to play champions league football next year and this is our sole aim for new owners coming in.
I hate to say this but I still think City will push Arsenal and end up with 88 points but Arsenal will get 90-92 and be champions.
My only wish is for us to win a cup this season and to finally get rid of the Glaziers.
The new owners need to back ETH give him £250m in the summer and buy 4 key players; an elite number number 9, a world class number 8/10 , another CM and a young quick robust physical CB.
My wish list for me Benzema or Kaine, Maddison or Milinkosavic, Veratti or E Fernandez, J Timber or J Gvardiol
The new owners can set a standard instantly by getting rid of players like Mctominay, Maguire, P Jones, Ellanga, A TUanzebe for hopefully £60m and then buy an elite GK as well with that money to put De Gea under pressure. If all this happens we can mount a serious challenge for PL. Ten years is more than long enough to wait for a club of united size.