Yeah, pretty clear that if it's on Pogacar's terms, he wins that sprint over the top which is a 6 second swing. You could probably also argue that Rodriguez would not have caught them, and Pogacar would take the stage with Jonas coming second, which would be another 2 second swing in Pogacar's favor, but that's a bit more academic.
Not a great day for Jumbo-Visma, I'd say. They spent the entire day pacing with the team without being able to make it tough enough for Pogacar - he's just too strong. This year UAE has a team that's at least as strong in the mountains.
It's crazy how evenly matched they are. Jonas is very coolheaded in how he defends Pogacar. Just defend for a bit on the initial kick, and then slowly catch up over the remaining climb. He doesn't explode.