In all honesty, we are not very likely to compete in earnest with best-in-the-world caliber teams in Manchester City and Liverpool over the next couple of years (even from an optimistic perspective). As it stands, those clubs are much further along in their developmental curve: battle-hardened and confident in their own abilities, brimming with quality in practically every segment of the pitch, and the principles of Guardiola and Klopp are fully entrenched (with only a bit of fine-tuning needed here or there to optimize things or nullify particular oppositions). With all of that in mind, maybe we should target the next cycle of success and prioritize center forwards who might be raw at the moment but boast the potential to reach a good level in 2—3 years, rather than those who are producing at a higher rate right now but don't have a lot of room for improvement and will have to be upgraded upon (or replaced) before long?
In terms of skill set and overall profile, the likes of Benjamin Seško at Salzburg (10 goals and 7 assists in roughly 1500 minutes before turning 19, during a down year of sorts) or Hugo Ekitike at Reims (11 goals and 3 assists in toughly 1400 minutes before turning 20) seem to have a lot going for them — and with consistent coaching, hard work and regular playing time, they could conceivably take big developmental strides and emerge as significant goal-scorers. Like Darwin in the season gone by for Benfica (from 13 goals and 12 assists in roughly 2700 minutes to 34 goals and 4 assists in roughly 2800 minutes, before securing his move to Liverpool), Vlahović at Fiorentina (from 8 goals and 2 assists in roughly 1900 minutes to 21 goals and 2 assists in roughly 3100 minutes and then in the ballpark of a goal per game, before securing his move to Juventus), et cetera.
Of course, there are a couple of key issues...
- Football management is a doggy-dog world, and ten Hag might not want to put himself in jeopardy by baby-sitting a youngin in the crucial focal-point-of-the-attack role.
- There's no guarantee that those two (or others of their ilk) are going to have high level breakout seasons or develop into difference-makers. You might be foolishly sacrificing the short and medium term, while chasing an impossible dream.
- One could argue that the sheer pressure of playing for a big club would crush them (and they would benefit from continuing at Salzburg/Reims, or transferring to an intermediate level club for a few years).
It's an inherently risky strategy. And once upon a time, I thought signing
Adolfo Gaich would have been a good idea.