Plane Crash in South Korea

I've certainly heard the theories about an erroneous shutdown of the wrong engine, or an unfilmed second birdstrike in the other engine, leading to them only having one half-working right engine. Personally I find the video footage inconclusive whether or not the left engine is still delivering any thrust or if it was shutdown already during the landing. It does not have the reversers open, that's for sure, but that might also have been caused by them bellylanding on the nacelles.

But even without engines, I'd still say that it would have been a grave error not to deploy what they could when entering the final with obviously more than enough energy left to reach the runway. Their clean configuration resulted in them floating down the runway for ages, and with the gear out they could have plonked the aircraft down without so much care early on the runway, utilising its entire length. With flaps, they could have landed slower, needing less runway. Landing clean just seems like an overall bad decision if they had any choice to avoid that.

But the original bad decision to me was not following through with the initial approach. Sure, under normal circumstances it is always a good idea to go around if you feel something about your approach ain't right. You're not quite established right on the approach, you're getting windshear, you don't have sight before you hit minimums, whatever - just go around, try again, rather than force anything. But when you've just suffered engine damage and are losing power in one or both engines? And you're already all configured and lined up for the runway, on your final seconds of descending to the runway, and only a little over 2km away? Just go through with it, unless the approach was completely botched already. Nothing gets better from staying in the air longer with engine damage.

But really, I should just shut up and wait at least for the preliminary report.

There have been past cases where in the heat of the moment pilots have gotten confused as to the status of the landing gear, thinking it was down when it was not. Likewise with the flaps. Despite the aircraft blaring warnings they are sometimes missed.

Whatever went on it seems very likely pilot error was a contributing factor, but that is true of almost every accident.
 
A water landing is never going to be safer than an emergency landing onto a Runway.

The "Miracle on the Hudson" has given a false impression of the survivability of ditching a plane onto the water.

Water is way more "grabby" than a rubber coated tarmac surface.
Also if one engine is just a few centimetres lower than the other one it will be engulfed by water and spin the plane in a horrific twisting motion it is unlikely to survive.

Sully's skill in maintaining a very long glide to reduce speed and bringing the plane in absolutely level is incredibly tricky to do.
 
Yeah, the "Miracle on the Hudson" is for once not called that for no reason. It really was a massive display of both skill and luck, and should not be mistaken for the normal result of an emergency water landing. And unlike a river in the middle of a metropolis with boats and helicopters abundant all around, landing somewhere in coastal waters with waves and rescue not just a few minutes away is upping the risk quite a bit, too.

Korean police forces have raided the airport, Jeju Air's company offices as well as the Busan Regional Office of Aviation today.
Not sure if they really have hints that something might be foul, or if it's just actionism, politicians and/or police wanting to display to the public that they are doing something instead of waiting around. Between this raid and the Boeing inspections in S.Korea it kind of feels like the latter to me. The police issued a statement that "The police plan to swiftly and rigorously determine the cause and responsibility for this accident in accordance with the law and principles." - which is plenty weird because air accident investigations aren't their job, it's that of the Aviation and Railway Accident Investigation Board in collaboration with external partners from the USA, Boeing as the manufacturer, the NTSB and the FAA. The acting president seems to display similar need to get uselessly involved rather than letting the actual professionals just do their jobs, ordering the inspection of all 737-800s operated by the country's airlines and issuing a statement: "As there's great public concern about the same aircraft model involved in the accident, the transport ministry and relevant organisations must conduct a thorough inspection of operation maintenance, education, and training,".
A good thing coming out of this is that they seem to have come off their initial defensive stance about the localiser construct used and are now putting the way those are built on their airports under reevaluation. Their first reaction after the crash and voices about the embankment being raised had been along the lines of it being a normal way to build a localiser that is similar to those of other airports in South Korea and worldwide.
 
The speed the aircraft landed at was normal for a no-flaps landing. They had to come in that fast or they would risk a stall. That one is no mystery at all, it's a natural result of the aircraft configuration at the time. Depending on the landing weight you'll end up at around 200 knots with no flaps on a 737. The real question you want to ask is why it was in that configuration. Specifically, what was the state of its engines, hydraulics and electrics.

As for the emergency services, they simply did not have the time to prepare the runway. The aircraft reported the bird strike at 8:59m and touched down at 9:02 - not nearly enough time for them, if the pilots had even warned ATC that they had no landing gear, something I've not heard a report about yet. The emergency services most certainly were being alerted and getting ready to go, but they would not have been visible in the camera as standard procedure is to wait near the end of runway the aircraft is coming from and then following behind it after it touched down.

There was no correct or incorrect runway. The wind was almost calm and thus did not matter, and as for runway 01 not having an obstacle to crash into... that's not necessarily true. The northern end of the runway and the area beyond it is currently a construction area as they're working on a runway extension. I don't know the exact state of it during the incident, but there's every bit of a chance of there being heavy construction machinery, ditches, mounds of broken-up runway slabs or other material, and other obstacles present at the time. That part of the runway strip and the runway end safety area are specifically noted as being "unavailable" from September 18th to April 30th.
I also don't know if they had already removed the localiser antenna construction at the northern end, because that one's a construction similar to the south end - an earthen embankment with a thick concrete foundation inside and the antennas on top, the very same thing that absolutely shattered the aircraft at the other end of the runway. Maybe a bit lower, but every bit as devastating to an aircraft plowing into it at a hundred knots. Sadly the only video of the crash landing that really showed the northern end was not of a quality that let me see much, too far away and too blurry.
Yeah I'd imagine that was the reason for the approach, but still considering the length of the runway they had no chance of stopping at that speed. As you said the reason why they went with that configuration is key and which systems were in operation at the time. Bird strike taking the taking out the hydraulics would be really misfortunate and very rare occasion. Engines from what I see were working. Even with one engine it should be a protocol landing if other systems were in place.
Also not that familiar with Boeings but reversers activating without weight-on-wheels sensor is it possible, or this is only Airbus thing? 680's you can't deploy them unless you have the three WOW's are on the ground. On 320 it's when the mains are on the ground.

Going by the reports there was an initial failed attempt at landing (I'm assuming everything was ok in terms of configuration and systems were working as there wasn't a distress call), then they ascended again assuming systems were in check. The preflight check showed no issues as well.

Two minutes later the crew sent distress signal and attempted landing at the other runway (ATC gave them clearance), so yeah if they only had 3 minutes to prepare for emergency landing it wouldn't be enough, but that also probably means that the AC was in working condition before the distress signal and considering the first failed landing.

The bird strike isn't confirmed from what I read and a bird taking out hydraulics and electrics as I said is very uncommon and improbable. They happen way too often without losing the entire AC. Hydraulics are independent to engines so even if they did have engine issue that wouldn't have affected the other systems.

The northern part from what i saw was a field so you might be right about construction on site but probably gives them better chance even if the plane breaks apart on the way rather than smashing into the embankment.

CVR is processed from what I read and they are converting it into audio format so most likely investigators will have info pretty soon.
 
So my main question is this: with the benefit of hindsight would a water landing have been a safer option?
Water landing is never a good option unless is favorable conditions and shallow waters.

There are couple of reasons landing on runway reduces the impact of landing by shock absorbing gear and tires. There is always the problem with flare. Landing on land you can more easily determine the height above the ground, whilst glass smooth water makes it harder to determine when to start the flare, if you are too high it's hard impact if it is too low you can dig the nose in.
 
That video is pretty average. Much better aviation channels on YouTube.

What I can say is. There is always a gravity gear extension available to pilots in case of loss of all hydraulics. Secondly. The right (ENG 2) reverser is deployed, which means there must have been some sort of HYD pressure.

My initial instinct says this accident could have been avoided. (Not just the stupid ILS mound design).

What I don’t understand is why they elected to go around in the first case. If I had a bird strike on my ENG and I’m already established for an approach, I’ll just tell the other guy to secure the ENG(normally involves brining thrust to idle and then cutting the fuel source) and then to stop all actions till on the ground.

This one is a very curious incident for me.
 
That video is pretty average. Much better aviation channels on YouTube.

What I can say is. There is always a gravity gear extension available to pilots in case of loss of all hydraulics. Secondly. The right (ENG 2) reverser is deployed, which means there must have been some sort of HYD pressure.

My initial instinct says this accident could have been avoided. (Not just the stupid ILS mound design).

What I don’t understand is why they elected to go around in the first case. If I had a bird strike on my ENG and I’m already established for an approach, I’ll just tell the other guy to secure the ENG(normally involves brining thrust to idle and then cutting the fuel source) and then to stop all actions till on the ground.

This one is a very curious incident for me.
Their approach seems to have been slightly unstable, with both vertical and horizontal deviations from the glide path:


It's very possible that they had already decided to go around due to that when the bird strike occured. That would explain why their landing gear was up the video showing the aircraft coming in from the south with compressor stalls if they had already decided to abandon that approach attempt at the time and begun to reconfigure when the collision occured, but had not reported the go-around yet.
 
Well, shit.
Today the news is making the rounds that both the cockpit voice recorder and the flight data recorder cut out four minutes before the crash, the same time the ADS-B data transmission that is used to track the flight cut out.

This is going to massively complicate the investigation, and mean that rather than having actual data from the aircraft to work with, a lot will be guesswork and assumptions.
 
Well, shit.
Today the news is making the rounds that both the cockpit voice recorder and the flight data recorder cut out four minutes before the crash, the same time the ADS-B data transmission that is used to track the flight cut out.

This is going to massively complicate the investigation, and mean that rather than having actual data from the aircraft to work with, a lot will be guesswork and assumptions.

Whay is the reason of the cut, if it is known?
 
Whay is the reason of the cut, if it is known?
In order for both recorders and the ADS-B cutting out at the same time, the only plausible scenario how that would happen is the loss of both electric generators. The aircraft would then fall back on battery power, and all three systems are not among the list of things supplied by those. On a newer aircraft both recorders would have their own backup batteries, but when this older 737-800 was built this wasn't in the regulations yet and retrofitting them was not made mandatory. It also appears the pilots did not start up the APU in the short time until the crash landing, or else the recorders should have started up again.

Short video with more technical info, if you want to know more:
 
In order for both recorders and the ADS-B cutting out at the same time, the only plausible scenario how that would happen is the loss of both electric generators. The aircraft would then fall back on battery power, and all three systems are not among the list of things supplied by those. On a newer aircraft both recorders would have their own backup batteries, but when this older 737-800 was built this wasn't in the regulations yet and retrofitting them was not made mandatory. It also appears the pilots did not start up the APU in the short time until the crash landing, or else the recorders should have started up again.

Short video with more technical info, if you want to know more:

You put the video words in a more layman terms, thank you. I assume that with the total destruction of the aircraft and this missing 4 minutes is quite plausible that we will never know the entirety of what happened and will go with the more likely assumptions?
 
You put the video words in a more layman terms, thank you. I assume that with the total destruction of the aircraft and this missing 4 minutes is quite plausible that we will never know the entirety of what happened and will go with the more likely assumptions?
It makes knowing the entirety of what happened in the last minutes pretty much impossible. Pretty much everything from that moment on can only be guessed and inferred from what can be seen from the outside, the radar data and videos. It might still help with clearing up what happened directly after the bird strike, depending on how much the recorders still caught. If the pilots really shut down the wrong engine like some people keep suspecting it might still be in those last seconds of data.
 
It makes knowing the entirety of what happened in the last minutes pretty much impossible. Pretty much everything from that moment on can only be guessed and inferred from what can be seen from the outside, the radar data and videos. It might still help with clearing up what happened directly after the bird strike, depending on how much the recorders still caught. If the pilots really shut down the wrong engine like some people keep suspecting it might still be in those last seconds of data.

Thank you so much
 
The Korean Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport announced today that following an investigation of this crash, they have ordered the removal of nine obstructions to aircraft safety at seven airports, including Muan International AIrport where this incident took place. Localiser antennae are to be replaced with a construction in line with international conventions, with the foundations flush with the surrounding ground and the necessary elevation being achieved using lightweight steel structures which do not pose nearly as much of hazard for aircraft running into them.

Furthermore, seven airports have been identified where runway safety areas - a mostly obstruction-free zone at the end of a runway - were below the recommended 240m in length. Those zones will either be lengthened until they reach that value, or receive EMAS (engineered material obstruction systems) designed to arrest an aircraft plowing into them with minimal damage where that extension is not possible.

Source: https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20250122007200320?section=national/politics


All good decisions, and definitely better than the kneejerk reactions that followed in the days immediatly after the accident.
 
The preliminary report was released today. I'm not even going to bother linking it because frankly, it offers no new information, it just rehashes what has already been reported everywhere, such as the number of victims, the aircraft type and age, the pilot and copilot's experience, etc. It is overall a very short read with quite little information.

The only slightly new information it provides is that it confirms that indeed both engines have blood, feathers and other traces of bird collision. The birds have been identified as being Baikal teals, a duck species weighing about a pound on average. While that is not very large, the amount of birds might have well made up for their individually rather low weight. The area is well known for its bird habitats and the large swarms that can occur there. It's far from impossible that the each engine has been hit with numerous birds in short succession. What that can look like has been rather impressively shown by a recent UPS cargo flight, where an MD-11 crossed paths with a large-ish flock but was able to continue without major damage:
gee8xxz458fe1.jpeg
 
The preliminary report was released today. I'm not even going to bother linking it because frankly, it offers no new information, it just rehashes what has already been reported everywhere, such as the number of victims, the aircraft type and age, the pilot and copilot's experience, etc. It is overall a very short read with quite little information.

The only slightly new information it provides is that it confirms that indeed both engines have blood, feathers and other traces of bird collision. The birds have been identified as being Baikal teals, a duck species weighing about a pound on average. While that is not very large, the amount of birds might have well made up for their individually rather low weight. The area is well known for its bird habitats and the large swarms that can occur there. It's far from impossible that the each engine has been hit with numerous birds in short succession. What that can look like has been rather impressively shown by a recent UPS cargo flight, where an MD-11 crossed paths with a large-ish flock but was able to continue without major damage:
gee8xxz458fe1.jpeg
Jeez. Like a bigger version of insects on a windshield.
 
The preliminary report was released today. I'm not even going to bother linking it because frankly, it offers no new information, it just rehashes what has already been reported everywhere, such as the number of victims, the aircraft type and age, the pilot and copilot's experience, etc. It is overall a very short read with quite little information.

The only slightly new information it provides is that it confirms that indeed both engines have blood, feathers and other traces of bird collision. The birds have been identified as being Baikal teals, a duck species weighing about a pound on average. While that is not very large, the amount of birds might have well made up for their individually rather low weight. The area is well known for its bird habitats and the large swarms that can occur there. It's far from impossible that the each engine has been hit with numerous birds in short succession. What that can look like has been rather impressively shown by a recent UPS cargo flight, where an MD-11 crossed paths with a large-ish flock but was able to continue without major damage:
gee8xxz458fe1.jpeg

What it does confirm is that both engines had some degree of trouble, the second engine was only speculation before.

That makes quite a difference as both engines out would disable automatic landing gear deployment. Unreliable thrust indications would also require you to keep flaps up until you were absolutely certain of making the runway.

I'd bet money at this point they lost (or thought they'd lost) both engines, took a shortened approach circuit, left flaps and gear up and then in the confusion at the very last minute ran out of time to do the manual gear release.
 
What it does confirm is that both engines had some degree of trouble, the second engine was only speculation before.

That makes quite a difference as both engines out would disable automatic landing gear deployment. Unreliable thrust indications would also require you to keep flaps up until you were absolutely certain of making the runway.

I'd bet money at this point they lost (or thought they'd lost) both engines, took a shortened approach circuit, left flaps and gear up and then in the confusion at the very last minute ran out of time to do the manual gear release.
We know from the images that they still had at least partial thrust on the right engine, and we know that the pilots knew that since they opened the thrust reversers on that side.
 
We know from the images that they still had at least partial thrust on the right engine, and we know that the pilots knew that since they opened the thrust reversers on that side.

Partial thrust could be anything, though. And you cannot discount muscle memory from opening the reversers in such a situation.

The thrust reverser opening means at least one hydraulic circuit was operating, btw.
 
What it does confirm is that both engines had some degree of trouble, the second engine was only speculation before.

That makes quite a difference as both engines out would disable automatic landing gear deployment. Unreliable thrust indications would also require you to keep flaps up until you were absolutely certain of making the runway.

I'd bet money at this point they lost (or thought they'd lost) both engines, took a shortened approach circuit, left flaps and gear up and then in the confusion at the very last minute ran out of time to do the manual gear release.
yeah that's my read of the situation as well. Shame with missing FDR data we would never be sure what exactly happened, but traces of birds doesn't mean it took both engines out. They might thought they lost thrust and keep the flaps up not to come short to the runway, although they did overshoot the landing spot and with all the chaos in the cockpit they might have came late to deploy the landing gear and set the flaps in correct position upon landing.

As you said they had hydraulics of some sorts from images the right reversal was deployed so it means they had flight controls (from the right hydraulics system), brakes and of course the reversal upon landing. The engine visually also had some thrust (even partial), which means the rest of the systems should've been operating at the time.

So in summary most likely they might had false indicators or concerned about thrust, went for the short approach, didn't have time to follow the procedure or got overwhelmed and touching down at the middle of the runway with that configuration and with the obstruction in their path there is little that could be done to save the aircraft.
 
As you said they had hydraulics of some sorts from images the right reversal was deployed so it means they had flight controls (from the right hydraulics system), brakes and of course the reversal upon landing.
Not how that works. Not every hydraulics system powers every system:
I1tjgY9.gif

The right thrust reverser being open only means that they either had system B or the standby reservoir available. Depending on which of the two was used it can mean different things as for what other systems they had available, with the standby system obviously resulting in far less options than system B. In that case they'd only have had the reversers, the rudder and the leading edge slats/flaps.

The engine visually also had some thrust (even partial), which means the rest of the systems should've been operating at the time.
We know that this was not the case because at the very least the electric system had failed / fallen back to battery power at most, as shown by the loss of ADS-B, the flight data recorder and the cockpit voice recorder, as well as the external lights looking to have been inoperable. And as said above, even if system B was in operation, that does not mean that the rest of the systems were as well as system B only powers some of them. Hydraulic gear deployment or ground spoilers for example would not have been available on that system.


As said before, the loss of the recorders might well mean that there will never be a definitive answer on what the pilots did or did not have available to them, and how overwhelmed by the situation they might have been. I am not that deep into accident forensics that I'd know how much they can still gain from this thoroughly crashed and burnt-out wreckage, but I'd not hope for too much and am rather expecting a case that will never be satisfyingly clear.
 
Not how that works. Not every hydraulics system powers every system:
I1tjgY9.gif

The right thrust reverser being open only means that they either had system B or the standby reservoir available. Depending on which of the two was used it can mean different things as for what other systems they had available, with the standby system obviously resulting in far less options than system B. In that case they'd only have had the reversers, the rudder and the leading edge slats/flaps.

We know that this was not the case because at the very least the electric system had failed / fallen back to battery power at most, as shown by the loss of ADS-B, the flight data recorder and the cockpit voice recorder, as well as the external lights looking to have been inoperable. And as said above, even if system B was in operation, that does not mean that the rest of the systems were as well as system B only powers some of them. Hydraulic gear deployment or ground spoilers for example would not have been available on that system.


As said before, the loss of the recorders might well mean that there will never be a definitive answer on what the pilots did or did not have available to them, and how overwhelmed by the situation they might have been. I am not that deep into accident forensics that I'd know how much they can still gain from this thoroughly crashed and burnt-out wreckage, but I'd not hope for too much and am rather expecting a case that will never be satisfyingly clear.

FDR and CVR are on transfer buses and not on standby power as they are not deemed critical systems, so you are drawing that conclusion from losing AC transfer 1 and 2 I take it?

However the 737 has EECs which is type of FADEC and there is a backup alternator on the accessory drive gearbox that powers up when N2 is over 15% even when there is no transfer bus power. Hydraulic gear deployment might not be available but it can be manually released and locked into position. Flaps can be extended by AC transfer bus assuming it was operable and leading edge can be extended via the standby hydraulic system.

The loss of power however doesn't mean that the pilots didn't pull circuit breakers trying to shut down the engine or assuming electrical fire. From the videos it was N2 that seems to have compressor stall but with the latest reports and given that N1 also sustained damage it might very well mean that smoke entered the cabin as it supplies the left pack. If they sensed electrical fire it could also possibly explain shutting off electrical power trying to control it.

Either way even if they lost AC transfer 1 and 2 that plane still could landed safely assuming they locked up the gear manually.