Samid
He's no Bilal Ilyas Jhandir
Why I will win:
- Martin Crowe vs Ross Taylor. Is this even a debate? Crowe is arguably the greatest New Zealand batsman. The only one who can match Crowe is Williamson. Taylor is comfortably from a tier below.
- Taylor's shocking record in South Africa. He failed against bowlers like Nel and Albie Morkel, what chance does he have against bowlers ten times better?
- Zaheer's impressive record in SA, 40 wickets in 22 games. Zaheer was a different beast in SA. This is comfortably his most favoured country. His average falls from 29 to 21. Economy falls from 4.9 to 4.5 and SR falls from 35 to 28.
- I'm not convinced by de Kock. 7 of his 10 centuries came against England and India, two average bowling units. The seamers he was playing in these games: Mohit, B Kumar, Yadav, Shami, Willey, Topley, Jordan. From these Shami is the only decent bowler that I rate. None of them are in their prime. Hardly anyone of them has a nailed on position in their teams. If he was smashing world class bowlers around the park regularly then sure, massive credit to the guy. But he is smashing inexperienced bowlers that are trying to cement their places in the team. Add to that rapid outfields and 65m boundaries.
- Salim Malik also has a shocking SA record.
- Gibbs' batting at 3 has an average below 30. I can totally see why. Opening the batting and walking in at 3 requires two completely different mindsets. As an opener you can take your time to get settled and don't worry about the scoring rate in the opening overs. You know that it's all in your hands, you can play 50 overs if you want to. Coming in at 3 however you don't know what match situation you will be walking in to. It could be 0/1 in the first over of the match. Or it could be 70/1 after 12 overs. It requires adaptability to different match situations and judging by Gibbs' record at 3 he didn't adapt very well. Personally I think that it's very weird having a guy that has opened for almost 200 games coming in at 3 in a draft.
- I'm backing Joel Garner, the greatest ODI bowler, and Zaheer Khan who has an immense record in SA to get de Kock, Gibbs and Taylor early on. Ganguly and Martyn will offer some resistance but as soon as one of them falls we are down to Malik and the tail. Garner, Morkel and Qadir will have absolutely no problems dismantling 6-11.
- The chase won't be a big problem. He has 3 good bowlers no doubt but they have flaws. Malinga is very leaky while Walsh has an incredibly poor strike rate.
- Greenidge will keep one end safe. On the other side I've got Abbas who has the average and SR that any modern day batsman would be immensely proud of. Then Crowe and Collingwood who also could bat for a lengthy period. At 6 I have arguably the best finisher of all time. Bevan will secure victory.
- If I still need a few runs then Perera at 7 has played some match winning innings. At 8 I have Qadir who was no mug with the bat either.