NFL 2024 | Playoff Predictions time

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Still has the Dolphins outfit banner. I seriously wonder who's gonna pay his wages if he leaves.
 
The Jags have fired Doug Pederson but have decided to keep Trent Baalke as their GM. Should have fired both.

Giants have decided to keep Daboll for another year.
People around the league are supposedly shocked Baalke survived.

If you’re a hot HC candidate, what do you go with: TLaw and Baalke in a light division bar the Texans or CW, Poles, and the NFC North?
 
Ravens Saturday night, Commanders Sunday night. And we might get more snow next weekend. Could be a fun weekend in Maryland
 
Ravens Saturday night, Commanders Sunday night. And we might get more snow next weekend. Could be a fun weekend in Maryland
You're not kidding. Lived in the DC area for a while and it's shocking how much the white stuff paralyzes that entire area. I was there for snowpocalypse and it was like scenes from the Walking Dead.
 
How in the hell does Brian Daboll get to keep his job? Also, the Bears supposedly being interested in interviewing Mike McCarthy should be very concerning for Chicago fans. Same with the Jets being interested enough to interview Rex Ryan for NY fans. Woodward levels of ineptitude. How do these billionaires consistently get things so wrong?
 
Random question but I’m gonna be in NY this December, so presumably with them sharing the stadium there must be a game on a MetLife every sunday?

What’s the likelihood and potential cost of getting tickets? Anybody know?
I’ve been to a couple games now at MetLife. Very good chance there will be a game. But sometimes both the Jets and Giants are on the road.

Ticket prices really depend of course on where you want to sit, but also what the match-up is. That can swing prices quite widely. Good thing is getting a hold of a ticket is very very easy with the ticket exchange, so you’ll have plenty of options.
 
You're not kidding. Lived in the DC area for a while and it's shocking how much the white stuff paralyzes that entire area. I was there for snowpocalypse and it was like scenes from the Walking Dead.
Yea remember you saying you lived around here for a while. It’s not the Midwest but it’s not the Deep South, there’s enough history of snow they should know how to deal with it. It’s still falling here since 3am and a few more hours to go. They ploughed our road around 7am and nothing since. Worried my wife is expected to go in tomorrow
 


Hmm, bit of a strange move... didn't seem like Zeke had anything left in the tank while in Dallas this year

Also surprised to learn he hasn't turned 30 yet
 
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Hmm, bit of a strange move... didn't seem like Zeke had anything left in the tank while in Dallas this year

Also surprised to learn he hasn't turned 30 yet

One dobbins injury scare and they've got no one. Obviously not a great choice, but I think this shows why Harbaugh should be a legit coach of the year candidate. He's going into a playoff game as favourite with basically a thrown together team of no-name players, and now they are picking up the equivalent of a "warm body" just to make up the numbers.
 
One dobbins injury scare and they've got no one. Obviously not a great choice, but I think this shows why Harbaugh should be a legit coach of the year candidate. He's going into a playoff game as favourite with basically a thrown together team of no-name players, and now they are picking up the equivalent of a "warm body" just to make up the numbers.
Agree that he should get COTY considerarions as he seems to have completely flipped the culture at the team, but “a bunch of no name players” is a bridge too far imo. They’ve got a top 8 QB, a rookie and sophomore 1st round WRs, and stars on defense like Derwin James, Bosa, (aging) Mack and other good players.

To me, playoffs should be the expectation for this team regardless of HC.
 
With coaches getting fired and everything, which team would you say has the toughest rebuild in front of them? Looking at the teams and their cap, I can’t look past the Saints. Severe lack of talent, no QB in sight, they only pick ninth and the cap situation is horrible.
 
With coaches getting fired and everything, which team would you say has the toughest rebuild in front of them? Looking at the teams and their cap, I can’t look past the Saints. Severe lack of talent, no QB in sight, they only pick ninth and the cap situation is horrible.
Jets and Giants. It starts at the top. I'd add the Bears too, but at least they have their QB and plenty of cap space. While Derek Carr isn't top-tier, he's a competent NFL QB when healthy.
 
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Hmm, bit of a strange move... didn't seem like Zeke had anything left in the tank while in Dallas this year

Also surprised to learn he hasn't turned 30 yet


Practice squad.

Chargers fans aren't particularly impressed and view this as validation that Harbaugh thinks Gus' ankle may be more injured than previously thought.

Michigan coach with two Ohio State RBs on his roster. ;)
 
Agree that he should get COTY considerarions as he seems to have completely flipped the culture at the team, but “a bunch of no name players” is a bridge too far imo. They’ve got a top 8 QB, a rookie and sophomore 1st round WRs, and stars on defense like Derwin James, Bosa, (aging) Mack and other good players.

To me, playoffs should be the expectation for this team regardless of HC.
Technically, McConkey was a 2nd round pick (34th overall). Playoffs is a high bar for a team who previously had 5 wins and picked 5th in the draft, but was my expectation for this team due to Harbaugh.
 
Jets and Giants. It starts at the top. I'd add the Bears too, but at least they have their QB and plenty of cap space. While Derek Carr isn't top-tier, he's a competent NFL QB when healthy.
Oh yeah. But the NY teams go beyond a normal rebuild. They need a change in ownership. Especially the Jets.
 
Technically, McConkey was a 2nd round pick (34th overall). Playoffs is a high bar for a team who previously had 5 wins and picked 5th in the draft, but was my expectation for this team due to Harbaugh.
Oh yeah, really thought McConkey was very late first but makes sense obviously since you had the Joe Alt pick. But indeed, the expectations should’ve been kinda like the season they actually had.
 
I think the Patriots rebuild is pretty grim. Not the worst though. We have a young QB who has shown potential, a high draft pick, and a lot of cap space. But damn, our lack of talent is unreal. And when that happens, teams typically go and overpay too much in free agency.
 
I think the Patriots rebuild is pretty grim. Not the worst though. We have a young QB who has shown potential, a high draft pick, and a lot of cap space. But damn, our lack of talent is unreal. And when that happens, teams typically go and overpay too much in free agency.
Maye, Gonzalez and Christian Barmore (who has health issues) That's about it, in terms of top end talent.

Henry, Stevenson, Douglas and Dugger also decent enough. Onwenu had a bit of a down year but the O-line and offense in general just a shower of shit.
 
Maye, Gonzalez and Christian Barmore (who has health issues) That's about it, in terms of top end talent.

Henry, Stevenson, Douglas and Dugger also decent enough. Onwenu had a bit of a down year but the O-line and offense in general just a shower of shit.
We are miles away. And if Drake Maye isn’t “the one” then we are fecked sideways
 
We are miles away. And if Drake Maye isn’t “the one” then we are fecked sideways
Yes we are. I really liked what I saw from Maye though, think he'll kick on well if they put pieces around him.
 
Yes we are. I really liked what I saw from Maye though, think he'll kick on well if they put pieces around him.
Yeah, me too. We just need to be really specific and precise on where we invest this year. Obviously, we won’t be competitive. But, we need to make sure we prioritise in areas which will allow Maye to continue developing otherwise we also risk a year-two slide a bit like Mac Jones had.
 
Going on to wildcard weekend

1) Bills and Ravens should win comfortably
2) Texans vs Chargers is interesting. Texans are underdogs at home for this one which seems kind of right considering the way they have played for the second half of the season. I think chargers will win
3) Eagles vs packers is giving me severe anxiety as an Eagles fan. Packers are a very complete team and I don't think that there's a lot between the two teams. I am hoping for Eagles to win
4) Washington vs Tampa Bay - Tampa Bay have playoff experience but they havd looked very shaky recently. Still think at home they win this
5) Rams vs Vikings - Vikings are the better team and I fancy them to win this one but I still have doubts about Darnold. His throws seem to sail a lot and he could throw a couple of picks to completely flip the game. Still think vikings should win

Basically I have picked 6 favourites which obviously won't happen
 
Going on to wildcard weekend

1) Bills and Ravens should win comfortably
2) Texans vs Chargers is interesting. Texans are underdogs at home for this one which seems kind of right considering the way they have played for the second half of the season. I think chargers will win
3) Eagles vs packers is giving me severe anxiety as an Eagles fan. Packers are a very complete team and I don't think that there's a lot between the two teams. I am hoping for Eagles to win
4) Washington vs Tampa Bay - Tampa Bay have playoff experience but they havd looked very shaky recently. Still think at home they win this
5) Rams vs Vikings - Vikings are the better team and I fancy them to win this one but I still have doubts about Darnold. His throws seem to sail a lot and he could throw a couple of picks to completely flip the game. Still think vikings should win

Basically I have picked 6 favourites which obviously won't happen

My main concern with the Vikings is that Stafford and Nacua absolutely tore them to pieces in the last game (which up until Sunday night was the last game the Vikings lost). Was interesting to hear Brian Flores say in his press conference that they got caught off guard with Nacua playing as the expectation was that he would be out. If they can make steps to sort that out then I'd be a bit more confident.

Not overly concerned with Darnold, he has had bad games and then been able to bounce back but as always, turnovers will be key. If the Vikings can win the turnover battle then that will help.

The other thing the Vikings absolutely need to do is be able to run the ball, minus Aaron Jones they've really struggled to do that and even with him they just can't seem to run the ball effectively in the Redzone.
 
What about what I said about Evans is wrong?
@calodo2003 still interested in hearing why that was a bad take, since you didn't reply.

The current leader in 1k rushing seasons is Najee Harris at 4 by the way. Would you consider him a top player at the position if he did it for a few more years? Like I said, it's a great sign of availability and consistency, and I'm not saying Evans isn't a very good receiver. He's top 10 in receiving TDs and might become top 10 in receiving yards all-time as well if he plays at least two more seasons. But 1k is just a very arbitrary cut-off because it's a number with four digits all of a sudden - averaging 60-80 yards per game is not a sign of a top tier WR for me.

If he makes the HOF, the 1k streak will be one of the defining contributors to that, but he wouldn't be a worse WR if he didn't catch that last pass last weekend, or if he didn't catch that last 20-yard pass in 2020 to keep the streak alive, before he left the game injured. He'd be a HOF candidate for me even without the streak. But it's very easy to call someone a HOF candidate without having to decide who is getting left out because of his inclusion. There's a massive WR backlog to get in at the moment, and the next few years include guys like Julio, AB, Fitz, Nuk, Adams, Hill and older ones like Wayne, Holt, Smith Sr., Boldin, ... Are you picking hi mover those guys? Are you including him first ballot when better WRs had to wait several years (not saying you would, but some people actually argue that he should)?

His most important statlines:
836 receptions for 12.684 yards and 105 TDs (never made first team All-Pro)

Compare that to the guys below:
DeAndre Hopkins: 984 receptions for 12.965 yards and 83 TDs (and a streak of 3 first team All-Pros in a row)
Brandon Marshall: 970 receptions for 12.351 yards and 83 TDs (and a first team All-Pro)
Steve Smith Sr.: 1.031 receptions for 14.731 yards and 81 TDs (and two first team All-Pros)

Yet, at least in my experience - I might not get all the debates and media input not living in the States - Evans is regularly being talked about as a surefire HOFer and sometimes even a first ballot one, while the others feel like borderline cases. Solely because of that 1k streak, which to me is weird because it's more of a consistency thing. He'd be the same receiver if he had gotten to 990 yards in a few particular seasons rather than JUST clearing 1.000 yards. And yes, I know he has a SB and others don't, but they didn't have the benefit of getting to play with Tom Brady so that's more down to your QB than anything else imo.

So fine if you disagree with the take, Evans is a HOF candidate for me but definitely shouldn't be considered as lock as far as I'm concerned. And the streak is a nice thing to have but should not be regarded as a reason why he will or won't make the HOF in the end.
 
Wild Card Round
AFC

(1) Chiefs - Bye
(7) Broncos at (2) Bills
(6) Steelers at (3) Ravens
(5) Chargers at (4) Texans

NFC
(1) Lions - Bye
(7) Packers at (2) Eagles
(6) Commanders at (3) Buccaneers
(5) Vikings at (4) Rams

Divisional Round
AFC
(5) Chargers at (1) Chiefs
(3) Ravens at (2) Bills

NFC
(6) Commanders at (1) Lions
(5) Vikings at (2) Eagles

Championship Round
AFC
(3) Ravens at (1) Chiefs

NFC
(2) Eagles at (1) Lions

Super Bowl
Ravens vs Eagles
 
Wild Card Round
AFC

(1) Chiefs - Bye
(7) Broncos at (2) Bills
(6) Steelers at (3) Ravens
(5) Chargers at (4) Texans

NFC
(1) Lions - Bye
(7) Packers at (2) Eagles
(6) Commanders at (3) Buccaneers
(5) Vikings at (4) Rams

Divisional Round
AFC
(5) Chargers at (1) Chiefs
(3) Ravens at (2) Bills

NFC

(4) Rams at (1) Lions
(3) Buccaneers at (2) Eagles

Championship Round
AFC
(2) Bills at (1) Chiefs

NFC
(2) Eagles at (1) Lions

Super Bowl
Bills vs Lions
Josh Allen to finally win it all this postseason.
 
Wild Card Round
AFC

(1) Chiefs - Bye
(7) Broncos at (2) Bills
(6) Steelers at (3) Ravens
(5) Chargers at (4) Texans

NFC
(1) Lions - Bye
(7) Packers at (2) Eagles
(6) Commanders at (3) Buccaneers
(5) Vikings at (4) Rams

Divisional Round
AFC
(5) Chargers at (1) Chiefs
(3) Ravens at (2) Bills

NFC
(6) Commanders at (1) Lions
(5) Vikings at (2) Eagles

Championship Round
AFC
(3) Ravens at (1) Chiefs

NFC
(2) Eagles at (1) Lions

Super Bowl
Ravens vs Eagles
I like this except take out the Eagles in the wild card round. I'd prefer the Vikings or Lions to go all the way to the SB.

This is mostly down to me disliking Sirianni.
 
Josh Allen to finally win it all this postseason.
Was close to picking the same but feel Josh has to do too much by himself to get there

I like this except take out the Eagles in the wild card round. I'd prefer the Vikings or Lions to go all the way to the SB.
Yeah Lions is the obvious pick but being an Eagles fan, am hoping the playmakers finally start playing from the first quarter itself
 
Interesting reddit thread regarding penalty yardage differential and their impact on each teams win probability. Vikings massively out in front, which probably has something to do with DPIs being called on their receivers.

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https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/s/MT48hy4brZ

Also the OP analysed the game altering penalties that swing the win probability by over 10%, showing which teams have most benefited from the big calls.

https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/s/o9NNpCmUrv