ha_rooney
Correctly predicted France to win World Cup 2018
- Joined
- Dec 13, 2008
- Messages
- 39,210
Game over. Terrific game.
It's the Seahawks, of course it was...Was it kicking off then?
Antonio Cromartie is going to be a dad yet again. Even after the Jets star underwent a vasectomy!
Cromartie — famed for fathering 10 kids from eight women in six states — and his wife Terricka told Us Weekly she’s pregnant with twins, which came as a total shock. The Jets’ All-Pro cornerback reportedly got a vasectomy late in the 2011 season with his 10th child on the way, The Post previously reported.
He needs to have a paternity test done.
18 years 18 years..
Rams moving to LA because the NFL is the worst.
We want pre-nup! We want pre-nup!18 years 18 years..
We want pre-nup! We want pre-nup!
Bill Barnwell said:This year, it was not going for two after the Hail Mary. Kickers hit 94.2 percent of their extra points this year; that figure rose to 97.6 percent indoors, and Crosby was 36-for-36 this year, so let's just be kind and say that Crosby's going to tie the game 98 percent of the time. (Vikings fans will tell you that no kick is automatic.) So 2 percent of the time, the Packers lose without ever getting to overtime.
If the Packers do go to overtime, they're going to be underdogs. The Cardinals were seven-point favorites heading into the contest; after taking out the vig, the implied odds from the Vegas money line suggested that the Packers had a 26 percent chance of winning the game. Green Bay had certainly played better than they had during Arizona's regular-season blowout in the previous matchup, but they had lost Randall Cobb and needed two Hail Mary completions to tie the game.
It's almost always better for the underdog to try to turn the game into a shorter contest. Taken to an extreme, if you're playing Steph Curry one-on-one and you start with the ball, it's better to play to one than 11, because you might fire off a jumper and get lucky, but you're not going to hit 11 shots over Steph without giving him the ball.
Even an aggressive estimate would suggest that the Packers had, say, a 40 percent chance of winning the game if it went into overtime. Factor in the aforementioned possibility of a missed Crosby extra point and you're down to a 39 percent shot if you kick the extra point. The chances of the Packers converting their two-pointer are almost definitely better than 39 percent. The league has converted 48.1 percent of its attempts over the past three years, with the Packers going 5-for-9. Give the Cardinals credit for a tough defense and take into consideration that the Packers don't have a great running game. You're still going to find it difficult to come up with a scenario in which the chances of winning the game heading into overtime are better than converting a two-pointer.
And if you really want, pretend for a moment that the percentages are tied. There's also the small matter of the M-word. If you believe that momentum is a meaningful concept in terms of how teams win and lose football games -- and I am admittedly skeptical -- why would you ever let the game slip into overtime? Having knocked the Cardinals onto the ropes with one of the more stunning sequences in playoff history and with a minute to figure out which play you wanted to run while referees reviewed the touchdown, why wouldn't McCarthy think that his chances of winning the game were better with one immediate play?
McCarver is one of the best in the biz.The only thing worse than Nantz/Simms is Buck/McCarver.
McCarver is one of the best in the biz.
His delivery isn't the best but, like Collinsworth, his insight is spot on. There's no one better at their respective sports.get the feck out
His delivery isn't the best but, like Collinsworth, his insight is spot on. There's no one better at their respective sports.