Today i will write about 2 transfer budget that will lead to premier league title for United. A top transfer budget and a medium transfer budget. How they will line up in United team. And what they will strength and bring to United.
Let us start with the top budget that will lead to the premier league title in the near future. Which players I think United need to become as complete as a team as possible. A dominate winning team with minimal and few weakness = A complete team.
A top transfer budget:
+ A close to top and world class level of a CB = Kim Min Jae from, Napoli and South Korea. An energetic, athletic, powerful and aggressive top level CB.
His market value = 50 mill euros. He has a 50 mill euros release clause. Starting from 1.July and last in 2 weeks. A top class/level CB is a must. Why? Because Varane is really often injury during a season. And with Martinez out for really long and will miss many months of the start of next season. I can conclude and recommend A top level CB is a must
+ A top level and world class CF = Harry Kane = is a must.
His market value = 90 mill euros.
Potential pay price : Kane is on his last year of contract. And from Spurs point of view. They may argue that United paid around 60 mill £ plus adds on for Casemiro last summer. And Harry Kane is good, important and quality as Casemiro for a team. And I would agree with that. If Casemiro pay price is the standard and comparison we go after.
Casemiro was 30 years of age last year and Kane will become 30 this summer too. So I think the potential pay price for Harry Kane is around 70 mill £ plus adds on, like Kane helping United to premier league title and champion league title. A 70 mill £ is a fair and good price for both parts.
Kane is a goal machine and Alan Shearer and world class level of a CF. Quality costs money. The price shall be at least 70 £ mill on his last year of contract.
If Spurs decide to keep Kane to help them to achieve top 4 and champion league next season. And I am sure Kane will not renew his contract with Spurs. If Pochettino was appointed by Spurs. Kane might renew contract. So I don’t see Kane renew his contract this summer. Then I think United can just a official 70 mill £ for Kane. To show that he is wanted by United. Every football player feel wanted. It will help the negotiation later in January when Kane is free to talk and negotiate with any club.
+ A really/very good and dominate CM player = Declan Rice from West Ham = Not a must have. But with Declan Rice in front of the back line and potential beside Casemiro will make United really hard to beat and score against. Imagine a double CM partnership with Casemiro & Rice plus with super aggressive and solid Kim Min Jae and Martinez behind them. I think the combination Casemiro, Rice, Min Jae and Martinez will make United a lot more stronger, tight and solid than this year defend edition 22/23. Rice his strength is to protect and shield the defend, and with interceptions. But when Rice is first on the run forward with the ball. He is not easy to take the ball from. Because Rice is strong and powerful. And Rice is capable of scoring goals too. Like his attacking abilities is average, is not right. Strong defensive, but good in the attack too.
His market value = 80 mill euros. West Ham and Moyes value him = 120 mill £.
I think potential good pay price for both parts is = around 100 £ plus/minus with adds on. I will not pay 120 £ for Rice. I will consider to pay 100 £ will adds on for him. Because Rice is only 24. Really consistent and on his way to the peak of his career. A leader, has the dominant presence and a player that take responsibility. In others words. A player that you can rely and trust on.
So in today price market. For a quality of Rice level and quality. I think 100 mill £ plus adds on is a fair price
+ Bring squad quality and depth, to central midfield. A versatile and flexible cm player = Kenneth Taylor from Ajax. You can play Taylor all over the midfield area. As central or wide midfield player. He will do a good job. Because he is fast and really good with the ball. He has really high level of basic ball skills and football vision and understanding. Taylor will bring quality and depth to United squad. And will not be to rely on Christian Eriksen creative skills and ability when he is not available.
Taylor’s market value = 14 mill euros. Potential pay price = 20 -25 mill £. Even I think his market value can easily rise over 30 mill euros in the near future. At this moment around 25 mill £ plus adds on is a good price for both parts.
Now. What will those players bring and strength United? The top transfer budget to the premier league title.
First = A really strong central spine and United squad depth will be a lot really stronger = Can handle many games and in 3 important competitions next season.
In short summary:
+ Min Jae & Rice = Concede lesser goals, stronger defend. The hard to beat level and factor will rise a lot.
+ Kane & Taylor = bring creative and more goals to United = strength United attack.
Sum of those 2 key factors = stronger in defend/hard to beat + stronger in defend = Will make United more complete as a team. As possible.
And in the end how will this top transfer budget line up?
First I will line up in this season formation 4231 and a alternative formation is 433.
First 4231 formation:
Bissaka/Dalot – Varane/Min Jae/Lindelof – Min Jae/Martinez – Shaw/Malacia
Antony/Sancho – Eriksen/Rice – Casemiro/Taylor/Fred – Rashford/Sancho/Garnacho
Bruno + Kane/Martial/Rashford
433 formation :
Bissaka/Dalot – Varane/Min Jae/Lindelof – Min Jae/Martinez – Shaw/Malacia
Antony/Sancho – Eriksen/Rice – Casemiro/Rice – Bruno/Taylor/Fred - Rashford/Garnacho +
Kane/Martial/Rashford
United next season top level central spine = Top CB, Top CM, Top CF = will lead to premier league in the future.
United central spine next season: Min Jae&Martinez&Varane + Casemiro & Rice + Kane & Bruno + skillful and really quick wingers in Rashford, Sancho, Garnacho and Antony. Plus really side and full backs. = sum of those players and squad = I think is good enough for premier league title in the near future.
And in the end. The sum of the top transfer budget cost?
A top CF : 70 mill £
A top CB : 50 mill £
A really good CM : 100 mill £
A versatile & quality CM: max 30 mill £
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Sum of those 4 players/top transfer budget = 250 mill £
To compare with Manchester City central spine. I think United new central spine is as good as City. Might just need time to gel together.
City strong central spine: Dias&Stones + Rodri&Gundogan&Bruyne + Haaland + They add pace and skill on the wings in Grealish, Foden, Silva and Mahrez. Squad depth in Alvarez.
I think and believe mine top transfer budget recommendation will match City central spine and XI. Just need time to gel together and understand each others.
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That was the top transfer budget. Now we take a look at a medium transfer budget. Of course logically the chance to win the premier league is not high as the top transfer budget. But I do have a strong belief this medium transfer budget can win the premier league in the future too. On a condition that Ten Hag can develop and make those transfer budget player become better and close to top level players as possible.
And here is the medium transfer budget:
+ A top level CB. Kim Min Jae. Since the release clause in his contract is at a really good price. A 50 mill euros release clause. Min Jae will suit into the medium transfer budget too
+ A upcoming, promising and very good CF = Evan Ferguson. Not a top CF yet. But I do see and believe Ferguson has huge potential to become a really good CF in the future. To help United achieve premier league title.
Ferguson is a huge upgrade to Weghorst this season. Why? With the quality players and service behind and for him. I think if he play regular. Ferguson is good enough for 15 goals in the league. But he will battle that CF spot against Martial and Rashford. So competition will keep them on the toes.
His market value = 10 mill euros. Potential pay price = between 30 -40 mill £. For a British upcoming and promising CF. I think and believe Brighton will not demand 10 mill £. But around 40 mill £ plus adds on. And I think and agree 30 – 40 mill £ price for Ferguson is a good price for both parts.
It’s Ferguson first good, and not fully season in premier league. It’s bid hard to argue and demand more than 40 mill £ plus adds on.
+ Like Kim Min Jae i will add Kenneth Taylor in this medium transfer budget too. A versatile, flexible and really good upcoming cm player.
Taylor’s market value = 14 mill euros. Potential pay price = 20 -25 mill £. Even I think his market value can easily rise over 30 mill euros in the near future. At this moment around 25 mill £ plus adds on is a good price for both parts.
+ A really creative and good CM player = Orkun Kokcu from Feyenoord and Turkey. Kokcu is a upcoming cm player and think and believe is a upgrade on Christian Eriksen. And this current moment. I think I rate Kokcu over Eriksen. Why I rate over Eriksen? Because Kokcu is 22. Kokcu is 8 years younger than Eriksen = younger legs = run more than Eriksen. His creative and passing skill is as good as Eriksen. Maybe assist passes and key passes is not as good as Eriksen. I am not sure.
But last season I do recognize that United were struggling a bit while Eriksen was out with injury and with Casemiro absence too.
With Kenneth Taylor and Orkun Kokcu. 2 two really good and creative cm player will add strength, depth and give hard competition for the 2 or 3 cm spots.
And in the end. Kokcu is really good to dictate from the deep cm area and set up the tempo of the passing and build up play. His basic ball skill and ability is really high. Like Kenneth Taylor.
Kokcu’s market value = 30 mill euros. Potential pay price : 40 mill £ is fair and good price for both parts I think.
In short summary:
Ferguson & Kokcu & Taylor will add and strength the creative and goals to United = strength the offensive and attack part of the game.
While like above. Kim Min Jae and Taylor high working and running ability will help to strength United defend. Make United harder to beat and concede lesser goals.
And how will I line this medium transfer budget up? First in a 4231 formation. Then a 433 formation:
4231 formation :
Bissaka/Dalot – Varane/Min Jae/Lindelof – Min Jae/Martinez – Shaw/Malacia +
Antony/Sancho - Eriksen/Kokcu – Casemiro/Taylor/Fred - Rashford/Sancho/Garnahco +
Bruno + Martial/Rashford/Ferguson
433 Ajax and Dutch formation :
Bissaka/Dalot – Varane/Min Jae/Lindelof – Min Jae/Martinez – Shaw/Malacia +
Antony/Sancho - Eriksen/Bruno - Casemiro/Kokcu/Taylor – Taylor/Kokcu/Bruno/Fred – Rashford/Sancho/Garnacho +
Martial/Rashford/Ferguson
Like we can see. In those 2 formations. United will be really good double covered in each positions. It means really strong and quality squad depth with this medium transfer budget to the premier league title in the future.
+ Now the total sum of this medium transfer budget to the premier league title in the future.
A top CB : 50 mill £
A versatile & really good CM: 30 mill £
A new promising CF: 40 mill £
A high creative CM : 40 mill £
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Sum of the medium transfer budget = A top CB + 3 new and really good upcoming quality players = 160 mill £
Now we compare the top transfer and against a medium transfer budget.
A top transfer budget = Top level players vs A medium TB = Upcoming really good and quality football players.
Of course if I have money I would go for the top transfer budget. Players that have held a high high top level in many years. Like the goal machine Harry Kane. Rice consistent ton top level in many years as CM player for West Ham and England.
But the alternative to the top transfer budget. Or you can combine from those 2 TB.
The chance to win the premier league is higher with the top TB. But the players from the medium TB I think in the future. Under the development of Erik Ten Hag. Can become and develop to the top level as football player and in theirs best position.
In the end I will talk a bit about United opponents teams. Against which teams. Which players I think and believe will work and be most effective.
Like Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal. Teams at current moment I think and believe will push United more back deep. Most of the minutes in game. Have most ball possession.
Then United need CM player like Declan Rice who is really good with interceptions. United have that kind of player in Scott McTominay too. But running with the ball forward I think and rate Rice better than ST.
Having both Casemiro and Rice will help to break up City and those teams attack. And when those 2 win the ball. United have really quick wingers to counter attack. And both Casemiro & Rice & Min Jae will help to make United a lot harder to beat and break. A more tight and solid defend. To concede lesser goals, during a season.
Compare against teams United will dominate most of the time and try to break and open up theirs tight defend. Then you need a cm player like Orkun Kokcu or Taylor. Who is more creative and quicker with the ball. You line the team up with more creative and offensive players. To help to open up tight and parking bus defend.
Or like against Brighton. United shall try to dominate more against Brighton. This season. Brighton if I am not wrong. Won both league matches and dominate the ball possession more than United. Having Kokcu and Taylor will rise the chance to dominate more against Brighton. Then naturally more dominate against other teams too.
So yeah. It depend against which teams and opponent. Some specific players I think and believe will suit more. But logically. The top transfer budget with Kane versus Ferguson.
Kane is on Alan Shearer and world class level vs a new upcoming really promising CF. In a short term. Kane will pay more off and will be a more safe and lesser risk choice. But in 5 years time. You never know what Ferguson will bring to the game. I think Evan Ferguson has huge potential. Under Ten development and with really good and quality teammates. The chance for him to reach the top level is there.
I think those are mine last and final decision on what you need and mine recommendations to United. To strength United both defensive and offensive. To make United complete as team as possible. A team without and with few weakness. To compete and to win premier league title and champion league in the future.
A strong and top central spine is crucial and really important.