Damning for me means it strongly suggests they're guilty. I don't think listening to it makes me confident they're guilty of attempted rape. Doesn't mean it may not be happening in that audio, just means I'm not convinced or that I have strong feelings it's happening from what I listened to.
Attempted rape is if someone clearly intended to sexually penetrate the victim without consent. As an athlete I imagine Mason is quite strong compared to the accuser too. Listening to that was I convinced I'm listening to someone forcefully attempt to penetrate without consent? I'm not.
There is alot of presuming and believing because its very much alot of guess work. I could use similar language to others and say "he did this/that" but that implies I know - I don't. You've presented other possible explanations yourself with "may have", "could have", "may believe", "may have asked them to". I think we're aligned in terms of the language we used as neither of us know.
I don't think I have presented the parents statement as fact though as you've literally just spoken about the language I've used when giving possible explanations. I was challenging this for people who have decided a verdict because they've obviously processed this when coming to a decision and either dismissed it as not being instrumental or came to a conclusion thst collaborates with their verdict.
In terms of the investigation I did do a bit more research into it last night and came across some interesting points I didn't notice before. I'll raise this at the end of the post.
I would agree that he's chosen to be vague and stay silent on the matter.
I think I've expanded on why I don't think I'm listening to rape earlier in this post. I think if the audio alone was enough evidence then the case could have proceeded? I'm not convinced that the case dropping was solely down to a statement being withdrawn either. Which I'll expand on at the end. And a statement provided by the CPS or Man Utd (I'll find it and provide it) did say the audio was part of a longer recording. I presume the content in this longer recording may also offer reasoning and an explanation for the decisions made from the investigation.
The Myers Briggs us probably a poor example. Honestly I find that stuff interesting and I remember it discussing thr different thinking methods in the past. I googled it and found the first result discussing the difference in the way people think. I then quickly jotted down the shortest explanation I could as it wasn't meant to be a big part of the post. It may be a shit point. But an autistic person compared to someone with alot of emotional intelligence will process this differently. Whether that makes a big difference in terms of wider population and how they process it I'm not sure. I'm quite mathematical and logical myself and I prefer black and white over subjective topics. So I presume due to how my mind works thst my thinking is likely a factor. I don't think my method of thinking is better or makes me better equipped than anyone else in analysing this. But it may explain a difference in how we reach our conclusions.
See that's interesting because I'd be the other way round and think there's more chance of domestic abuse over rape. But that's just from how I've read it.
In terms of the investigations. There are things surrounding it which add further questions for me.
Richard Arnold said, "The alleged victim requested the police to drop their investigation in April 2022"
Mason Greenwood was charged in October 2022. I can't find anything online which says when the witness withdrew their statement. Could there statement have been withdrawn in April 2022 before charged or does anyone have a source which says when it was?
When the case was dropped we were told by the CPS:
"“In this case a combination of the withdrawal of key witnesses and new material that came to light meant there was no longer a realistic prospect of conviction. In these circumstances, we are under a duty to stop the case."
Key witnesses is plural. So someone aside from the accuser also withdrew a statement. I think that's a key bit of info. In addition it says "and new material came to light".
Unless the new material was instrumental in changing the decision it wouldn't have been mentioned. So this is a key piece of evidence in the case.
Going back to the key witnesses comment. Again I can see the accuser tried to stop the investigation in April 2022 - is that when their statement was also withdrawn or is there anything else which gives an indication when it was withdrawn?
Then between October and February new material and removal of a secondary witness (and potentially the accusers witness statement if it wasn't revoked when they tried to cancel the investigation in April 2022) found the case dropped? Either way the case was never dropped solely due to the accuser removing their statement like many try to imply. It was dropped due to multiple witnesses removing their statement and new evidence.
As for the new evidence, Richard Arnold did say:
"We were provided with alternative explanations for the audio recording, which was a short excerpt from a much longer recording, and for the images posted online."
So that's confirmation that the audio was cropped in black and white there. So no I cannot be confident that a short exert I listened to was an attempted rape. Especially upon learning that additional evidence, possibly this longer recording, came to light which stopped the case alongside witness(es) removing their statements.
Now unless of course the CPS is lying about additional evidence influencing their decision. And if Richard Arnold is also lying about the recording being an exert from a larger recording. Then I can't help but think what is on this longer recording is critical in whether or not attempted rape is happening. That alongside my doubts from listening to the recording is enough for the evidence to not be damning in my eyes.
Thank you for actually explaining yourself and engaging.
I don't really want to go into detail on why I disagree with your definition there - but it does make me understand your reasoning. I think we should leave that there on such a sensitive topic.
I agree, and my point is it shouldn't be such guess work if he's clean enough to warrant returning. I think we're in agreement there's a lot of unknowns and for you that means you can't say he's guilty, but for me that means he is in no position to be seen as innocent until it's explained properly. I'm not condemning him to prison.
I just don't think you can use that as a challenge, if you say "you can't be certain of what you've heard" as a rebuttal. Someone can say they can't be certain back for any of your points?
I'll refer to my first point.
I do get what you're exploring, I'd just be wary of trying to over analyse on this. Unless you're planning to refer to specific examples, you're in danger of talking very generically and also reaching conclusions without a lot to base them on.
Again, I get your opinion and It's a fair point on the longer excerpt
if that is the new evidence the CPS is talking about. The longer excerpt doesn't necessarily mean the whole recording either. I don't know who the original witnesses are, could the extra one could have been a family member? Again if they were witnesses they were originally being used to prosecute Mason, so two people originally were going on record against him and now they're not? What's changed? This is why the lack of detail is damaging for everyone. It could absolve him as much as it could incriminate him or her.
I think I understand your point of view, I personally need far more explanation of what's gone on, before I can ever be confident supporting someone like Mason.