Lebowski
Full Member
I agree Starmer isn’t doing a great job at the moment, and I’d ultimately settle for him doing for labour what kinnock did, bridesmaid if not the bride. That said, this election proves nothing about the current strategy.As someone said, labour was up against a war time type government, an economy about to boom, a very successful vaccination programme, house prices on fire and no real way to cut thru the against,COVID etc. Nobody could win against that. Circumstances favoured incumbents and that’s what we saw across the country.Admittedly labour does have a huge problem with changing demographics, but if there’s one thing we know for sure, it’s the electorate also hated Corbynism. so there’s no answer there.
I think the results in Hartlepool and the rest of 'Super Thursday' tells us loads about the current strategy, namely that it isn't working.
I get that it's an unusual political landscape due to COVID, but I think laying out the factors you did as why it was always going to be an impossible task is way too reductive.
Taking each of your explanations for Labour's failure in turn...
War time government
Starmer let the Tories get away with one of the worst COVID death tolls and worst economic impacts in the world because of his obsession with focus group data suggesting voters don't want a leader to 'play politics' with the pandemic. Meaning none of the death and misery caused by government decisions stuck. He also didn't present any coherent vision for the country post-pandemic. Different circumstances but Atlee beat national hero Winston Churchill in the aftermath of WW2 by telling the British public that whilst Churchill won the war, Labour were best placed to win the peace.
'An economy about to boom'
Britain's economy was damaged more than any other G7 nation and whilst GDP will rebound slightly this year, it's just not true to say the economy is about to boom. We'll be looking at record unemployment, unprecedented SME insolvency and some industries perhaps never returning. I don't think you could imagine a better time to present a more equal, local, new economic system to the electorate than now.
A very successful vaccination programme
Administered by the NHS, unlike the disastrous test and trace plan administered by the private sector. Vote for the party who wants to protect the NHS, not the party trying to sell it off and award health contracts to their incompetent wealthy pals. I mean this stuff basically writes itself!
House prices on fire
Britain has relatively low homeownership so this is irrelevant / a negative thing for a decent chunk of the population, but even for homeowners I don't think the housing bubble is something that is attributed to the Tory government.
Regarding Corbyn and electoral success... Corbynism led us to a terrible election result in 2019 but Corbyn still won this seat twice during his leadership. As much as Brexit is being used as an excuse this time (the Brexit Party vote going to the Tories) his offering managed to turn a larger UKIP vote percent in 2015 back to Labour in 2017 and win with over 50% of the vote.
Your Kinnock comment is interesting unless I am misinterpreting it- you'd settle for Starmer achieving what Kinnock did - a divided party and electoral failure as a price paid to wage a factional battle against the left. If you that's what you hope Starmer does, then why even bother making excuses for the election defeat?
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