tomaldinho1
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- Nov 26, 2015
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It is a little wild admittedly but there's a big element of truth there. DDG is the single biggest issue that we have.
His massive decline in form is detailed in this thread
If you look at our xGA it's roughly the same as Liverpool's (slightly better on understat's model)
https://understat.com/league/EPL
This means that we've been about as open to opposition attacks in term of the quality of chances conceded over the course of the season, so what's the reason for Liverpool's goals conceded column being better than ours?
People have spoken of 'luck' when watching Liverpool this season i.e. the oppostion not taking their chances, which has played some part, but Allison has been one of the very best at outperforming his xGA as a keeper whilst DDG has been below average for the league.
https://www.givemesport.com/1535735-premier-league-goalkeepers-ranked-by-expected-goal-statistics
Oh I agree he's declined but to say we'd be challenging for titles if he was on form is crazy given how big the gap is. The truth is sadly that man for man, Liverpool just have better players than us in almost every position and in the rare cases they don't (on an individual level Bruno, Pogba, maybe Martial on this season's form) the players they have are much better for their system. Add that to them undoubtedly having a better coach and that's why there's a 30+ point gap.
DDG is an issue but even if he was still in God mode, we'd be miles behind Liverpool