Birmingham haven't even been attempting to play out from the back in their 352 shape in possession even against teams who give them space in the defensive phase. And believe me there's many teams in the Championship who just sit off and allow the opponent to play out from the back. Birmingham in that scenario were looking to go long towards to their wingbacks who were positioned high and what would then develop was a battle for the first and second balls high up the pitch with Birmingham applying the press and counter press in the event they lose possession. And they were hence losing possession too often which meant there was far more running to do due to not having enough of the ball. I think the players got jaded playing that way and also the opposition figured out Birmingham's tactics which were mainly geared towards getting the ball forward into the box for the likes of Hogan and Deeney. So it was easy to see why they had the worst possession stats in the league.Good review.
Just from BCs perspective, I think it’s a bit false security with the possession numbers since the away team took a 2-0 lease and then gave up possession.
But I 100% agree with your take on HM, his role as a deep lying playmaker is one I wanna see him more in.
What worried me the most was that they came up with a plan that was a desk product without the necessary instructions and ground work to make the game plan work. 100% if someone like Potter took over them, and wanted to play more up field, he would have them focusing on 2-3 plays and make them work. You just cannot expect to achieve anything playing up from the back unless set up so that you always get numerical advantages in certain areas.
Preston sat off from the start but Birmingham changed formation and went with a back 4, and that meant they were playing through their midfield rather than going long towards their wingbacks. And I think it's probably better to strategize with a midfield of Bielik and Hannibal in the build up phase rather than the strikers Hogan and Deeney where a more direct approach was implemented via attempting to win the loose ball with the aid of the press/counter press.
We also have to take into account that Birmingham are struggling financially and have about 8 loan players on their books because they have little to no money with fan protests planned against their ownership.
I honestly think if we had sent any one of our other youngsters on loan to Birmingham they would've struggled. But Hannibal adapted to Eustace's tactics and had the work rate and engine to be a net positive when it came to pressing and counter pressing which was a requirement.
I personally feel Birmingham would likely be a better team if they dropped one of Hogan or Deeney and went with a 433/4231 shape in possession. That would allow a extra player in midfield like either Jordan James or George Hall and give Hannibal more freedom going forward. Because in the last game he was positionally very disciplined and tracked his runner superbly well but the numerical superiority wasn't their in the final third due to the formation imo.
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