No problem, I got you!
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
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No problem, I got you!
Municipal vs Petapa, Municipal -2 and to score first @ 2.34
As Spiersey tipped last week, Petapa are having to play their U20's team (assuming this is still the case), haven't managed a shot on target and lost their last three games 4-0, 3-0, and 6-0, the latter against pretty much one of the worst sides. Municipal are 5th and Petapa are a distant last.
If you just go -2, bet is capped at £115 (at least with Paddy). However, while adding Municipal to score first doesn't really give any added value, it's so likely to happen and allows you to put on double that stake.
Any real reason not to stay on this @Spiersey ?
As Spiersey tipped last week, Petapa are having to play their U20's team (assuming this is still the case), haven't managed a shot on target and lost their last three games 4-0, 3-0, and 6-0, the latter against pretty much one of the worst sides. Municipal are 5th and Petapa are a distant last.
If you just go -2, bet is capped at £115 (at least with Paddy). However, while adding Municipal to score first doesn't really give any added value, it's so likely to happen and allows you to put on double that stake.
Any real reason not to stay on this @Spiersey ?
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Nah should be good, isn't as good as Guasta -1.5 was though, so got a smaller stake on. CSD and Petapa are from the same City so not much travel compared to a couple hours midweek for the Guastatoya game. Guastatoya are better than their league position suggested as well. Think it'll be 4-0 or something today again. They opened on a -1.5 (at 1.8) on foreign bookies, annoying it didn't last long.
A good days racing the day with the flat being back at Doncaster, no bad meeting at kempton on the AW and of course World Cup night over at Meydan
Done a double today -
Sucellus (4/6) kempton
Muntahzah 8/11) Meydan
Both should win
Don’t believe that, pish
Done a double today -
Sucellus (4/6) kempton
Muntahzah 8/11) Meydan
Both should win
Don’t believe that, pish
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Well that was a close one! Got it at 2.06 at Nordic in the end too!
Brighton - S'hampton, BTTS @ 2.00.
Very good today. 11 out of 12 bets beat the closing line for an average EV of 10%. 9 out of 12 won, plus 1 push.
Yea, I’ve won twice this season, £7k so far from that one. Today’s one wasn’t too far either.
Won this one comfortably.
Sorry mate, bit of a silly question. I know about simple handicap betting when it's +1, -1 etc.
When it's -.25, what exactly does that mean? I noticed on skybet you can't get those odds really, so guessing it's on other sites.
I tried to follow through with the tips you posted but thought -0.25 meant -1, but I don't think it did so just for future reference.
Was some good tips though! Close games.
Crazy bro. You should cash out some of these bets
No cash out option on those ones.
-1.25 is both -1 and -1.5 combined. Let’s say the score is 1-0. You would get half your stake refunded because it’s a void bet and the other half you lose. To win the bet on a -1.25 you need a clear 2 goal margin basically.
On the other hand -1.75 if it was 1-0 you would lose both bets (-1.5 and -2.0) if it’s 2-0 on that scenario you get half your stake on the win on the -1.5 but half your stake back on the -2. You need a 3 goal winning margin for the -1.75.
Only a Brigthon goal away from all bets going in yesterday, with Utd result a push, so good day yesterday.
Sogndal ML @ 1,75 vs Sandnes 1800 CET: Sandnes will be struggling in bottom half, changed a lot of players and no-one good coming in. Sogndal good team and normally strong at home. Only worry is first match of season.
Liverpool-Spurs BTTS @ 1.70 - Liverpool looking a lot more suspect defensively after christmas, Spurs poor form and shaky of late. Oh and still going with Monaco -1.5.
Sogndal ML @ 1,75 vs Sandnes 1800 CET: Sandnes will be struggling in bottom half, changed a lot of players and no-one good coming in. Sogndal good team and normally strong at home. Only worry is first match of season.
Liverpool-Spurs BTTS @ 1.70 - Liverpool looking a lot more suspect defensively after christmas, Spurs poor form and shaky of late. Oh and still going with Monaco -1.5.
CSD played 4 u20s last night, might be a cause for concern going forward as I assume other teams may do similar. CSD youth really strong though so wasn't really an issue but might be if some of the poorer sides decide to do similar.
Cheers for that mate.
how do you choose your games? just pot luck?
Monday:
Almere v Helmond, Helmond 1.25 @ 1.98
Ajax II v Cambuur, Cambuur 1 @ 2.07
Roda v Utrecht II, Utrecht II 1.25 @ 2.08
Feirense v Setubal, Feirense 0 @ 1.96
Osnabrück v Lotte, Osnabrück @ 1.89
Almere v Helmond, Helmond 1.25 @ 1.98
Ajax II v Cambuur, Cambuur 1 @ 2.07
Roda v Utrecht II, Utrecht II 1.25 @ 2.08
Feirense v Setubal, Feirense 0 @ 1.96
Osnabrück v Lotte, Osnabrück @ 1.89
Well ultimately it’s all luck really, but I try to apply method. So many factors go into it. Whether the teams like to attack, how balanced the two teams are (like City are never conceding 2 corners in each half, you will be lucky to get near their box, especially at home), who is at home (if an attacking, but good/mid-table team is at home vs a better side, you can trust the quality of the better side to push on, but also know the home side has the quality to have a go. Like, I might do Everton vs City at Goodison but never at Etihad). You also pick up trends across different leagues too. I like the National League and lower Scottish teams. I’ve won so much money on different bets with those guys, although I’ve never seen them play or know what their kits look like! They are all shite teams though, and poor standard of football is good for goals and corners. Like, you will never see a 0-0 Sunday League game.
I've had a couple of quid on a 2+ corners each half bet...test the waters...
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
St Etienne vs Nimes
Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden
Zaragoza vs Gimnastic
In for a penny, in for for £1,485 off £3...
** Disclaimer - I'm well aware that now I've posted this, it's never going to happen.
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
St Etienne vs Nimes
Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden
Zaragoza vs Gimnastic
In for a penny, in for for £1,485 off £3...
** Disclaimer - I'm well aware that now I've posted this, it's never going to happen.
That went well
That went well
I’m intrigued though! These are definitely worth a punt now and again.
I’m intrigued though! These are definitely worth a punt now and again.
I've had a few of those come off in the past. Billy Hill do some nice multi-match combo bets.
That went well
I dont get the odds, can you explain it ?
Becouse Nimes only got 1 corner in first half yesterday?
And what betting firm have these kind of odds?, couldnt find it on bet365
It's on Skybet
Tiger Roll for the National? Hard not to really fancy it but 4/1 in such a lottery is so short. The win at Cheltenham was unbelievable though, made it look so easy.
Yeah it lost spectacularly
it needs both teams to have 2 or more corners in each half, which is harder than it sounds I got it on SkyBet.
Roma v Fiorentina, Roma -0.5 @ 2.05
Venezia v Cittadella, Cittadella 0 @ 1.9
Pescara v Palermo, Palermo 0 @ 2.06
Emmen v Ajax, Emmen 2.5 @ 1.99
Heracles v Willem II, Willem II 0.25 @ 1.97
Villareal v Barcelona, Barcelona -1 @ 2.23
Wolves v Man Utd, Wolves 0.25 @ 2.31
Garching v Heimstetten, Garching -0.5 @ 2.09
Venezia v Cittadella, Cittadella 0 @ 1.9
Pescara v Palermo, Palermo 0 @ 2.06
Emmen v Ajax, Emmen 2.5 @ 1.99
Heracles v Willem II, Willem II 0.25 @ 1.97
Villareal v Barcelona, Barcelona -1 @ 2.23
Wolves v Man Utd, Wolves 0.25 @ 2.31
Garching v Heimstetten, Garching -0.5 @ 2.09
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Short of another horse bringing him down (which is a possibility in a field of 40) I can't see another winner. Just looked in total control at Cheltenham.
One of the best performances I can remember really, ever.
So that Wolves price shortened to 1.84 in the last 45 minutes which is in line with previous closing prices and very close to where I have it. I guess it's a reaction to them playing their strongest team. Don't know why people were expecting otherwise really. They pretty much said they would. Not often you get a 25% value bet in the Premier League.
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Wolves @3.5 anyone?
A lot of Syndicates don’t gamble without confirmed teams (they often get it early from sources at the clubs though).
Still strange as anyone who's been watching Wolves this season should know how they would approach this and them resting players wasn't going to happen. Also the league route (i.e. 7th place) into Europe is much promising for them than winning the FA cup with City still in it. So it's not like they have nothing but pride to play for tonight.
Anyway, Barcelona resting Messi has wiped all that away. Swings and roundabouts.
Had over 2 goals, over 2 cards and over 7 corners in both Watford and Wolves matches @10.00 with Billy Hill. Not sure it's eased the pain much though from that shocking result.
Orenburg v Samara, Samara +0.25 @ 1.94
Don't think I'm gonna chance it at the odds but there is a 25/1 offer at redbet for Tiger Roll which I'm gonna get as not joined them yet. Then will have a few each way pops elsewhere. I backed Anibale Fly in the Gold Cup so might back again and also like Vintage Clouds.
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