1/3 to win now, unsure if price has went too far. Will be 80% cash out at least in most sites if people are on dc/+0.5.
Edit 1/8 now, definitely worth cashing for 95% profit.
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Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
- Thread starter Levo
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1/3 to win now, unsure if price has went too far. Will be 80% cash out at least in most sites if people are on dc/+0.5.
Edit 1/8 now, definitely worth cashing for 95% profit.
Chester a bit stronger than expected, think it'll be a 50/50 game or so. Hopefully people cashed when prices were low if anyone managed on.
Still managed to come in, nice one!
Good result in the end, +0.5 was a good bet still, even game. Hopefully some more bets like this over the next week, will try and find them if I can.
I haven't been able to track down a replay but the penalty looked harsh to me (sat among home fans, 50 yards away, 6 hours of drinking in!).
We're here but have plans. Just Googled it as I didn't think there was another game on Thursday (Dinamo are away). 50 Dons fans expected, haha. Suspect we'll give it a miss as being in a 50,000+ stadium with a few thousand won't be much cop. We've been here for a month but heading home Saturday.
On a side note, any pro gamblers or those who can work from a computer should think about coming out here. You can stay 12 months with no visa, gambling is huge business (so no issues with access) and it is so cheap. It's also really good and I'd highly recommend it.
Ireland being 3/1 to win the test match is good value imo. England need 300 in the second innings and that is not always a guarantee with this team
TDF stage 18 live, decided to wait until break is established as it's so annoying when the wrong breaks go!
Put a small punt live on Izagirre @40/1 to win and 8/1 top 3(Expekt), he is sitting in the established break, and should be the best descender there. Big if, but the stage ends with a 19 km descent, so if he can be within a couple of minutes over the last and 3rd climb he has a decent chance methinks.
Put a small punt live on Izagirre @40/1 to win and 8/1 top 3(Expekt), he is sitting in the established break, and should be the best descender there. Big if, but the stage ends with a 19 km descent, so if he can be within a couple of minutes over the last and 3rd climb he has a decent chance methinks.
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Finally smashed in today after limits got raised in Asia. Hopefully it's syndicates on. -2.25 asian now. Still confident it'll go 3, hopefully strongest side and get an early goal.
I have a medium bet on Alaphilippe to loose the jersey today, 1.8 at Expekt. As Im on Bernal overall I will not bet him today for stage 19, however pretty convinced the altitude(over 2700 meters) favours the columbians, and Bernal at 5/1 seems good value to me, but you always have the risk of a break going.
Porte vs Uran seems good value @2.70, so put a small bet on that. I was the other way yesterday with a big bet on Uran @2.18, but Porte gave me a scare as he actually handled the descent well. He has crashed badly in the past and had a mental block after that, so expected him to be without chance, but finished just behind on same time.
Porte vs Uran seems good value @2.70, so put a small bet on that. I was the other way yesterday with a big bet on Uran @2.18, but Porte gave me a scare as he actually handled the descent well. He has crashed badly in the past and had a mental block after that, so expected him to be without chance, but finished just behind on same time.
Just caught highlights of the game now. Nice comfortable win.
I have a free bet today, anything decent about?
grrrr Peter Wright loses a classic to Gurney to fall one short of winning his quarter @2.75 ( think was as low as 2.25 right before tournament)
Rob cross hit a 170 finish for the 2nd of the tournament, both he and Wright also wired the bull for another. 3 games left probably 90 or so legs, one more needed for the over 2.5 170's @2.0
Good stuff. As with most sports obviously the value is to be had lower down the food chain but i've always found it overwhelming any time i've attempted a start at following and gathering information. Did you at the beginning concentrate one league or country at a time and then broaden out once you felt you had a good basis on that, and so on and so forth?
Rob cross hit a 170 finish for the 2nd of the tournament, both he and Wright also wired the bull for another. 3 games left probably 90 or so legs, one more needed for the over 2.5 170's @2.0
Good stuff. As with most sports obviously the value is to be had lower down the food chain but i've always found it overwhelming any time i've attempted a start at following and gathering information. Did you at the beginning concentrate one league or country at a time and then broaden out once you felt you had a good basis on that, and so on and so forth?
Chaos in the TDF, snow/hailstorms and overall very bad weather caused earthslides down the mountain blocking the road. Finish will probably be
Win and void x2, Bernal was winning, but they called the race in. Bad weather caused earthslides to block roads which were already filled with snow/hail. No race winner, but times up to peak counted, so Bernal now in yellow.
As stated I will not bet Bernal today either due to my overall bet, but would if not for that.
For same reasons todays stage 21 is halved and down to 60 km, most of it a long climb up to the finish Val Thorens @2365 meters. Bernal has shown himself to be the best climber, Pinot is out and Thomas will not attack his teammate in the jersey, so I feel the stage is set for Bernal again. Obviously at 3.25 value can be discussed, but the short distance should reduce the risk of a break going in, and this climb is not the toughest apart from the beginning, but very long, so the profile may suits others like Kruijswijk better.
Some punts, most on b365, in case of a break going all the way: Uran 34/1(bethard), Mollema 151/1, Porte 68/1, De Gendt/Reisenbach/Aru 126/1, Mas 201/1 and Martin (100/1 Coolbet).
Win and void x2, Bernal was winning, but they called the race in. Bad weather caused earthslides to block roads which were already filled with snow/hail. No race winner, but times up to peak counted, so Bernal now in yellow.
As stated I will not bet Bernal today either due to my overall bet, but would if not for that.
For same reasons todays stage 21 is halved and down to 60 km, most of it a long climb up to the finish Val Thorens @2365 meters. Bernal has shown himself to be the best climber, Pinot is out and Thomas will not attack his teammate in the jersey, so I feel the stage is set for Bernal again. Obviously at 3.25 value can be discussed, but the short distance should reduce the risk of a break going in, and this climb is not the toughest apart from the beginning, but very long, so the profile may suits others like Kruijswijk better.
Some punts, most on b365, in case of a break going all the way: Uran 34/1(bethard), Mollema 151/1, Porte 68/1, De Gendt/Reisenbach/Aru 126/1, Mas 201/1 and Martin (100/1 Coolbet).
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Sent you a PM as easier to explain via that.
Cheers.
@Bullhitter. What's your tip for tonight then mate? I quite like the handicap match betting in this format. Both underdogs came in last night due to the generous handicap odds.
I usually do small stakes only for entertainment purposes when it comes to games between top 10/12 players but I will be having some on Rob Cross -2.5 legs (first to 17). Gurney was incredible yesterday but it was way above what he has shown the rest of the week. He averaged 113 last night and his two previous games were 96 and 93. Last night he came to the board 20 times on a 100 or less finish and checked out 16 of them which while remarkable is also unsustainable so I see his level dropping. I could see Cross winning it 17-11 but staying with the -2.5 @1.90
I'm having a speculative 0.1x on a 9 darter in the Cross Gurney game too. Cross had both a 10 and 11 darter last night and just looks like he's flowing great. 9 darter is @34
Durrant v Smith i'm just sitting back and enjoying. i'd love Durrant to win the whole thing though i'd be even more annoyed with myself for not backing him as I already backed him e/w for the World Championship @ 50/1 before he even got his tour card haha. (done the same with Cadby @ 70/1 which as of now isn't ageing as well as the Durrant bet)
Thanks BH, I'm now tempted to have a speculative one on the 9 darter. Always folllowed the darts but I didn't really know too much about Durrant tbh. Seems a nice guy though so I'll be shouting for him to win the whole thing but will probably back Smith on a handicap as a little consolation bet
Hopefully two good matches anyway, really looking forward to it. Ps by 0.1 do you mean a tenth of your usual stake?
Thanks BH, I'm now tempted to have a speculative one on the 9 darter. Always folllowed the darts but I didn't really know too much about Durrant tbh. Seems a nice guy though so I'll be shouting for him to win the whole thing but will probably back Smith on a handicap as a little consolation bet
Ps by 0.1 do you mean a tenth of your usual stake?
Yes exactly (wrt the stake). That's individual though so depends what your usual stake is or if you even have usual stakes. Obviously if doing for fun and £5 here or there you don't need to only have 50p (though i'm sure many here would recommend always sticking to a stake plan)
I didn't expect Durrant to adapt as quickly as he did thought it would take him deeper into the year. He was still working a full time job four months ago.
A bit dissapointed that Bernal/Thomas were a bit defensive today, but a good day for me as I had a big bet on Bernal overall @3,09 and a small on Nibali to win any stage @3,00.
Hopefully no one got to follow my tip on Bernal and my punts as my post wasn't approved until after start!
Groenewegen to win stage 21 @3.25(Expekt), medium stake(already have a bet on him to win in Paris). Been a bit unlucky/team has missed a bit, still the fastest, close to 50% chance in my book, as Viviani has used more energy for his team in the mountains, Ewan the main opponent normally.
Kristoff said in intervju that he doesnt feel good and has no expectations for tomorrow, so I'll go with that, even if he has a good record in Paris. Viviani has used a lot more than his fellow sprinters to help his team in the mountains, and Stuyven is at least 50% vs Trentin, so a speculative 2/3 system at B365(Expekt slightly better), small stakes:
Matthews vs Kristoff @2,62
Sagan vs Viviani @2,75
Stuyven vs Trentin @2,2
Hopefully no one got to follow my tip on Bernal and my punts as my post wasn't approved until after start!
Groenewegen to win stage 21 @3.25(Expekt), medium stake(already have a bet on him to win in Paris). Been a bit unlucky/team has missed a bit, still the fastest, close to 50% chance in my book, as Viviani has used more energy for his team in the mountains, Ewan the main opponent normally.
Kristoff said in intervju that he doesnt feel good and has no expectations for tomorrow, so I'll go with that, even if he has a good record in Paris. Viviani has used a lot more than his fellow sprinters to help his team in the mountains, and Stuyven is at least 50% vs Trentin, so a speculative 2/3 system at B365(Expekt slightly better), small stakes:
Matthews vs Kristoff @2,62
Sagan vs Viviani @2,75
Stuyven vs Trentin @2,2
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@Jean claude van hire that was a good evening for entertainment at least, you'd have been right to go handicap with both outsiders again. And we got a decent sweat for the 9 darter with Cross getting to a perfect 6 darts twice, that sweat is value on a 33/1 shot I think.
Gurney dropped as expected but Cross never showed until around the 22nd leg really, amazing comeback though, arguably the best ever on the Matchplay stage. wish he'd have done it with Gurney on just one leg less though haha.
Both Cross and Smith hit the 25 for 170 finishes (and Smith who usually never resists one layed up after hitting the two trebles cos Durrant wasn't on a finish) so still looking for one more 170 in the final.
Gurney dropped as expected but Cross never showed until around the 22nd leg really, amazing comeback though, arguably the best ever on the Matchplay stage. wish he'd have done it with Gurney on just one leg less though haha.
Both Cross and Smith hit the 25 for 170 finishes (and Smith who usually never resists one layed up after hitting the two trebles cos Durrant wasn't on a finish) so still looking for one more 170 in the final.
I did ok with the hc betting tonight but obviously there's always that hint of regret when you could have taken more risk. Still, all things considered a good night. The Cross comeback was fantastic it was an absolutely joy to watch that game. Imagine Rob will be favourite but based on tonight's form I honestly think Smith will win so might have a small bet in him. And yes the nine darter looked on a couple of times but sadly wasn't to be.
It's been a great tournament, I hope it gets the final to suit.
Just looked at the head to head and shocked to see it as one sided as it is 12-3 to Cross.
Just looked at the head to head and shocked to see it as one sided as it is 12-3 to Cross.
A bit dissapointed that Bernal/Thomas were a bit defensive today, but a good day for me as I had a big bet on Bernal overall @3,09 and a small on Nibali to win any stage @3,00.
Hopefully no one got to follow my tip on Bernal and my punts as my post wasn't approved until after start!
I jumped on Nibali @ 11 the moment he started accelerating from the rest of the breakaway, just about got on it. A couple of seconds later it got suspended and he dropped to 5. Happy that the GC lads took it easy although that final km seemed like it lasted forever with Nibali completely dead and the Movistar guys chasing like madmen
@madRedDevil07 any thoughts on Sunday's T20 action?
I jumped on Nibali @ 11 the moment he started accelerating from the rest of the breakaway, just about got on it. A couple of seconds later it got suspended and he dropped to 5. Happy that the GC lads took it easy although that final km seemed like it lasted forever with Nibali completely dead and the Movistar guys chasing like madmen
Was great entertainment, I was so sure they would catch him I when I saw 11% climb I was scrolling through my bookies for odds until 200 meters left of the race, luckily it was suspended!
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I will go with Yorkshire to win @ 1.66.
If Joffra plays, I will go for Sussex as well.
Spiersay is just too good, why are people trying to pick their own?
I suppose it is because of the fun aspect, not everyone bets to win money.
I suppose it is because of the fun aspect, not everyone bets to win money.
Small stakes for entertainment tonight again, going to have to side with Cross @1.8 -Dominant head to head record over Smith 12-3. Smith never won a major and this is his fourth final in one, in the previous three he didn't play well in two of them and in the third he missed a few match darts.
I like NO 180 in first leg @1.8 too. Cross usually eases into games and think Smith will be nervous.
The 9 darter isn't value per se but I will be raging if it hits after being on it for the semi haha so another 0.1x there @26
Hopefully one of them hits a 170 to get the over 2.5 for the tournament in. They've had 12 attempts between them so far with 7 of the 12 hitting both trebles. Cross has hit one already and both have wired the bull for one too as well as Smith laying up once after hitting the two trebles. 5/1 to be hit in the final is a fun value bet if you want an interest I would say.
Had forgotten I had double 18 as the winning double @11 before the tournament. it's rising in popularity with Cross loving it as his go to so decent chance that lands if it's him with match darts.
Cheers.
I like NO 180 in first leg @1.8 too. Cross usually eases into games and think Smith will be nervous.
The 9 darter isn't value per se but I will be raging if it hits after being on it for the semi haha so another 0.1x there @26
Hopefully one of them hits a 170 to get the over 2.5 for the tournament in. They've had 12 attempts between them so far with 7 of the 12 hitting both trebles. Cross has hit one already and both have wired the bull for one too as well as Smith laying up once after hitting the two trebles. 5/1 to be hit in the final is a fun value bet if you want an interest I would say.
Had forgotten I had double 18 as the winning double @11 before the tournament. it's rising in popularity with Cross loving it as his go to so decent chance that lands if it's him with match darts.
Cheers.
Where is that 7/4 deal Ole will still be in the job come the end of the season?
Had some on Gzira win at 2/1 in the Europa league on Thursday.
Two reasons for this bet. 1) I think it’s a good bet anyway; gzira have improved, they didn’t deserve to lose 4-0 away, we’re the better team FH and could easily have been 2-0 up. Kone up top is really good as well, he should get chances.
2) it could easily be fixed for them to win. Ventspils used to fix loads in the past but the stopped over the last year or two. However, they fixed last round against Teuta. They won 3-0 at home and lost on purpose away. With it being 4-0 on aggregate I wouldn’t be surprised to see them fix again and lose here.
Odds didn’t collapse until in play against Teuta so not expecting a big movement pre game. Hoping it’ll drop a lot after kick off though.
Worth a small bet for me anyway at the price.
Two reasons for this bet. 1) I think it’s a good bet anyway; gzira have improved, they didn’t deserve to lose 4-0 away, we’re the better team FH and could easily have been 2-0 up. Kone up top is really good as well, he should get chances.
2) it could easily be fixed for them to win. Ventspils used to fix loads in the past but the stopped over the last year or two. However, they fixed last round against Teuta. They won 3-0 at home and lost on purpose away. With it being 4-0 on aggregate I wouldn’t be surprised to see them fix again and lose here.
Odds didn’t collapse until in play against Teuta so not expecting a big movement pre game. Hoping it’ll drop a lot after kick off though.
Worth a small bet for me anyway at the price.
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Dammit, Ewan before Groene again, who again got a less than optimal finish.
2 for 3 on the H2H, so a nice profit, but so close to 3 for 3 with Stuyven 8th behind Trentin in 7th!
Decent night of it. Cross @1.8 won as did the NO 180 in the first leg at the same price of 1.8
Could have been a really good night as Cross missed the bull for a 170 finish AND missed a match dart at D18 to land the 10/1 pre tournament shot.
Happy he won.
Had a bit, seems value either way.
Dammit, Ewan before Groene again, who again got a less than optimal finish.
2 for 3 on the H2H, so a nice profit, but so close to 3 for 3 with Stuyven 8th behind Trentin in 7th!
Unlucky with the third H2H but good stuff again.
Worth monitoring betting sites for this game over the next 24 hours. https://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/bolivia/division-profesional/royal-pari-blooming-EyhVLx50/
1xbet randomly priced Pari as 1/50. 1xbet price the game and then every other bookmaker followed the incorrect odds. It got pulled pretty quickly but is a chance that some more sites will follow tomorrow with similar odds. Blooming 16/1 is a huge bet, 6/4 is the correct price and they will kick off around that. Not sure if it will appear but figured was worth mentioning just in case. I think 1xbet have a rogue employee who is making prices deliberately wrong so that he can bet it on other sites once he follows, I need to keep an eye for more of these as they've started appearing a couple of times a month recently. Similar occasion happened on the 6th of Feb with Nacional Potosi v Always Ready. Didn't appear on bet365 until a couple of hours before kick off, will probably be similar tomorrow but other sites might have good prices.
1xbet randomly priced Pari as 1/50. 1xbet price the game and then every other bookmaker followed the incorrect odds. It got pulled pretty quickly but is a chance that some more sites will follow tomorrow with similar odds. Blooming 16/1 is a huge bet, 6/4 is the correct price and they will kick off around that. Not sure if it will appear but figured was worth mentioning just in case. I think 1xbet have a rogue employee who is making prices deliberately wrong so that he can bet it on other sites once he follows, I need to keep an eye for more of these as they've started appearing a couple of times a month recently. Similar occasion happened on the 6th of Feb with Nacional Potosi v Always Ready. Didn't appear on bet365 until a couple of hours before kick off, will probably be similar tomorrow but other sites might have good prices.
Few sites priced it up overnight. Betfred had 25/1. 365 priced it an hour ago with Blooming at 6/5.
Elfsborg vs Kalmar @2.30 today in swedish Allsvenskan, several Kalmar players doubtful, medium stake.
On Hyde Win tomorrow at 2.2. Rochdale sending kids. 5 first year scholars, think they're 16. 2 2nd year scholars then a couple of 18 year olds. Think it'll be a big score.
Edit : 365 just changed it to a 'Rochdale XI' now, prices dropped. Worth checking other sites.
Edit : 365 just changed it to a 'Rochdale XI' now, prices dropped. Worth checking other sites.
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This one come in, who knows how. I'd given up on it only to check my account and found it had come in!!
Followed your tip on the Gzira bet Spiersey and the cash out has already exceeded my stake by about 20% which is very interesting indeed! On that basis I will probably have a look at Hyde as well if I can get a decent price.
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