Jean claude van hire
Full Member
- Joined
- Aug 6, 2013
- Messages
- 659
Got a sneaky feeling Germany will still qualify here, will get 5-1 or thereabouts now.
That went wellGot a sneaky feeling Germany will still qualify here, will get 5-1 or thereabouts now.
I know, that's why I don't be much anymore Mind you for a couple of minutes I thought it was looking goodThat went well
always happens to me too!!I know, that's why I don't be much anymore Mind you for a couple of minutes I thought it was looking good
I went biggest at Leclerc so a bit gutted, but also had few euro on Verstappen at whooping @28.790 so I’m more than covered what a race, whatever the outcome of the investigation - betting against Mercedes proved to be a decent call!Might fancy a cheeky bet against Mercedes during this weekend's Austria GP. They're very strong favorites and prices on Ferrari lads or Verstappen should be high, and I can't see Mercedes winning all the races this season - surely they have to drop some points sooner or later. It will be very hot during the race (36 Celsius forecasted now for Sunday afternoon) and with Mercedes' issues with overheating tires I'm thinking about gambling on their first lose of the season.
I went biggest at Leclerc so a bit gutted, but also had few euro on Verstappen at whooping @28.790 so I’m more than covered what a race, whatever the outcome of the investigation - betting against Mercedes proved to be a decent call!
Not much I fancy tonight, but had a punt on 0-0 Egypt-Uganda(6/1 - both happy with a point), Wolf-Eikrem to score (1/2+) for Molde and o4.5 in Spain - Germany U21's.
Edit; Added a bet on 0-0 in Zimbabwe - Kongo @11.00, games in africa has been generally awful and low on chances/goals, and Kongo yet to score.
Nice couple of winners today. Went with Bate Borisov to win 3-0 @7.00 (all goals came in the first half hour) and for the Uganda v Egypt game, went with Salah to score, Egypt to win by 2+ goals, 10+ match corners and 30+ match booking pts @10.00. This one pretty much came in exactly with Salah scoring, Egypt winning 2-0, 10 corners and 30 booking pts. How often does that happen??
Looking at the Jamaica v Panama and USA v Curacao games but not sure what to go for. Don't think USA have ever faced Curacao before?
Went bed at Half time as knew my bet was lost. USA for some reason didn’t press them and just let Curacao have the ball. Cura are absolutely dreadful defensively and under pressure, ridiculous tactics from the USA. Curacao have decent players but zero real threat going forward and are poor defensively, quite an odd side really. Will watch the 2nd half today and see what I missed though.Did you watch the game @Spiersey? Curacao were the better side with some skilful players. USA couldn't even muster a second goal to at least get your stake back? I swear the USA Women would have beat them.
Looking at some bets for Wimbledon tomorrow;
Putintseva 2.90 to beat Osaka. Beat her easily last week in B'ham, Osaka seems to be in a bad place atm.
Gavrilova, who has been awful for a while vs Svitolina. Svitolina serious injury doubts, could be an early withdrawal.
Hercog vs Kuz; Herc beat Kuz 2-0 in Mallorca, should be a another win on this surface.
Heartbreaking! I’ll be honest, I didn’t have the guts to back against Osaka despite agreeing with you that she had zero form. But when I saw the result I thought of you...now I see this! HahaHercog came through after loosing 1.set, opted out of Gavrilova, which lost. Osaka broke immediately, and looking like herself today, so I'm gonna cash out if I get a possibility.
Edit; got out in 7th @30/30 and 1,52 - Watching Vonda now to see if I bet her 0-1 down
EditII; Ended up buying Osaka @2.45 at 1-1 in 2.set, been very unfortunate on a couple of balls, and hitting a little long from baseline, but quite certain she will come back and win.
EditIII; Osaka struggling with her backhand, got broken and looking to loose now...Too many mistakes.
EditIIII; I truly am the brains behind my own demise! Called it right, ended up swapping and loosing on Osaka as I convinced myself she was looking like herself while she was busy hitting 37 unforced errors in 21 games!
I'm gonna have a small punt on the Lionesses to win to nil tonight. Look solid at the back and they might just be able to cause an upset with a bit of luck.
Agree. We can get 1.90 for USA to win in the 90mins - to me that’s value.Wtf lionesses have you been watching? We look a nervous wreck and are lucky to not concede a few a game. USA will punish us.
Big day for the treble. USA in the final now and Brazil and Mexico both in Semi finals tonight.Staked a treble of Brazil to Win Copa, Mexico to Win Gold Cup and USA to win Womens WC at 16s. Also added in Morocco to win Afcon for a 4fold and then Italy to win u21s for a 5 fold.
Brazil and Mexico both win easily for me barring big upsets. Both are value for me as 2nd favourites are too short imo. Argentina are massively overrated, they shouldn't be 2nd favourites. They've done nothing to suggest they are the 2nd best side bar have Messi. Colombia and Uruguay have both regressed in recent years and Chile are finished. Home advantage for Brazil also as well as a stupidly easy path to the final.
Mexico also have an easyish route to the final. USA got home advantage but 2nd best player for injured this week and will miss the tournament. Mexico have comfortably the best manager and the best team on paper.
USA is a toss up with France basically, I make it 60/40 in favour of USA so with them being priced 50/50 its the value pick for me currently. They'll meet in the quarters, whoever wins that should win the comp.
Morocco are too big of price for me at 13s, should be 6 or 7/1. They're the best side in Africa for me and the most balanced. They were excellent in the World Cup. The other top sides rely too heavily on one player for me. Egypt are rightly favourites given they're at home though.
Italy is a bit of a toss up really, think they should be favourites for the comp though with the squad they've named and with them being hosts. France squad is strong but they are lazy. England squad lacks balance for me, they're stacked with attack minded midfielders and think they've a few weak areas.
Big day for the treble. USA in the final now and Brazil and Mexico both in Semi finals tonight.
Morocco won their group pretty impressively. Beat Ivory Coast which was the hard game. It’s given them the easy side of the draw now, they’ll play Senegal in the quarters assuming both win. That’ll be a 50/50 game for me, think whoever wins that will go on to win. Egypt haven’t really been impressive to me so far, despite being 3/3.
Italy was an annoying loss. They beat Spain 3-1 in the first game and deservedly so. Spain obviously went on to win the whole thing. Freak loss to Poland killed Italy.
Couldn't believe that one. Crazy result.
Ouch!Yup, big loss for me. If the other 4 outrights win then it cost me another £200k as well
Gone for:
1. White & Morgan to score, under 11 corners and under 40 booking points @17.00 (SkyBet)
2. England W to win and BTTS @9.00 (SkyBet)
3. Rapinoe to score and USA W 2-1 @17.00 (SkyBet)
4. Under 1.5 goals and over 9.5 corners @6.00 (Betway)
5. USA W to win, over 3.5 goals, USA W over 4.5 corners and England W over 1.5 cards @21.00 (Betway)
6. Morgan to score, USA W or England W, under 4 goals, under 12 corners corners, under 5 cards, over 11.5 goal kicks @5.00 (Bet365)
Did either #1 or #5 come off?
Damn. That hurts!Nah, Bright's 86th min red card killed #1 then Parris' 95th yellow killed #6.
Flipping typical! I was just logging in to see what the cash out was as well.
I was going to go Morgan to score and USA W to win 2-1 as well but went for Rapinoe. Didn't realise she was injured.
Big day for the treble. USA in the final now and Brazil and Mexico both in Semi finals tonight.
Morocco won their group pretty impressively. Beat Ivory Coast which was the hard game. It’s given them the easy side of the draw now, they’ll play Senegal in the quarters assuming both win. That’ll be a 50/50 game for me, think whoever wins that will go on to win. Egypt haven’t really been impressive to me so far, despite being 3/3.
Italy was an annoying loss. They beat Spain 3-1 in the first game and deservedly so. Spain obviously went on to win the whole thing. Freak loss to Poland killed Italy.
Wtf lionesses have you been watching? We look a nervous wreck and are lucky to not concede a few a game. USA will punish us.
No worries mate, glad people are on.Hey just a quick thanks as I followed you in on the treble, the quad with Morocco and the 5-timer with Italy U-21, albeit from what I gather at a fraction of your stake. From lurking last season it's clear you know your stuff and I appreciate your posts. Even though the treble was a standout I probably would't have thought to do it had I not read your original post, so cheers. Let's see if the treble gets finished off, will be a fun follow and if it does Morocco even more so.
(and to the thread in general, it's one of the best and most interesting threads to follow from John_Dooh with his winter sports, luke511? dropping a gem now and then and even RedPed with his wacky bet builders haha so hopefully, as I intend to, can get involved and contribute heading into the new season)
Going to do the following crazy bet:
Brazil to win Copa America
Argentina to win Copa America
If Brasil or Argentina reach the final, I can use arb as insurance.
Otherwise, I'm fecked.
Thoughts?