Anyone have any thoughts on tonight's NBA games? I've been staring at these lines for the last 10 minutes and don't like anything.
Football Betting Thread 2017/2018
- Thread starter RedPed
- Start date
Had 200 on United, got lucky.
Pacers & Wizards double for me.
Exactly the same bet as me. Thought my luck had turned with the late Juve winner...waste of time.
Bet on Wizards -6.5
Another hopeless day yesterday. I'm on a terrible run.
I think I will take 15 bets in a row challenge now. If it doesn't help me win, it will at least slow down the rate at which I am losing. It's also probably the only strategy which has ever helped me win money.
Basically, I want to nail 15 bets in a row, be it singles or coupons, at minimum 1.25 per each odds. I will get to minimum 2800 PLN if that happens (starting with 100 PLN).
Bet 1 @ 1.29: Atalanta to beat Apollon Limassol.
I think I will take 15 bets in a row challenge now. If it doesn't help me win, it will at least slow down the rate at which I am losing. It's also probably the only strategy which has ever helped me win money.
Basically, I want to nail 15 bets in a row, be it singles or coupons, at minimum 1.25 per each odds. I will get to minimum 2800 PLN if that happens (starting with 100 PLN).
Bet 1 @ 1.29: Atalanta to beat Apollon Limassol.
This is where I've been most successful. It's my plan for today except I'm starting with £68 winnings from Juve game.
Just picking short odds bets isn't going to make you win. You need to try and find some real value.
Pointless for me as I will inevitably pair that great 2.50 value bet with 1.01 that will lose 6-0.
Besides I don't really want just short odds. Just 15 bets. Can be 1.30, can be 2.50. It's just a coincidence that on the first day the only game I am remotely convinced about is Atalanta at low odds. If it goes according to plan I am putting my winnings on large Thunder handicap.
This is true, mainly. Guy in work doubled 2 x 1/12 shots yesterday with the aim to build cash and one of them didn't come in.
I made £1400 from £120 stake in September on Unders where the favourites liked a goal but played away from home. Plenty of good fortune on that run.
Yup. It's a mug's game I tell ya! Suppose all depends how seriously you take it and how much you're happy for fun and to rely on a bit of luck.
I've been trying that for a while. It's bordering impossible. Can manage to get to 7 or 8 then something stupid happens.
Yep, it's fecking impossible. The probability of hitting 15 bets of odds of 1.25 is 3.5%, if we assume the implied probability of a 1.25 bet is 80%.
I wouldn't say 3.5% is impossible! What are the odds of hitting one streak if you attempt it 15 times?
I have managed to get quite far a couple of times. I usually cash in after certain amount of bets.
I once tried 50 times 1.1, only going for over 0.5 goals on Betfair. I got to 35 or 36 before Sparta Prague drew 0-0 with Ajax.
No one is ever going to win every bet. Stick to a strict bankroll and bet on singles and doubles. In the long the run you will make a profit and if you do it well enough you will make a lot of money.
Terrible return at football bets yesterday. Basketball saved the day, but still got -80€. At least I recoverd most of it.
Today's horrible picks:
Astana - Maccabi Tel Aviv: Astana to win @2.20
Konyaspor - RB Salzburg: Konya win or draw @1.87
Marseille - Guimarães: BTTS @1.91
Ostersunds - Bilbao: Ostersunds @4.25 (small stake); Ostersunds win or draw @1.80
Zorya - Hertha: draw @3.45 (small stake)
AC Milan - AEK: BTTS @1.91; André Silva to score @2.00
Austria Vienna - Rijeka: over 3 @ 2.05 (small stake)
Braga - Ludgorets: Braga @2.30
Dinamo Kiev - Young Boys: Dinamo Kiev HT @2.20
Everton - Lyon: Everton @2.70 (small stake)
Skenderbeu - Partizan: Partizan @2.45 (small stake)
Villarreal - Slavia Praga: BTTS @2.05 (small stake)
Zlin - FC Copenhaga: Copenhaga @2.00 (small stake); under 1.5 @2.060 (small stake)
Panathinaikos - Brose Bamberg: PAO HA-8 @1.75
Milano - Fenerbahce: Milano @2.25 (small stake)
Real Madrid - CSKA Moscow: RM HA-3 @1.80
Today's horrible picks:
Astana - Maccabi Tel Aviv: Astana to win @2.20
Konyaspor - RB Salzburg: Konya win or draw @1.87
Marseille - Guimarães: BTTS @1.91
Ostersunds - Bilbao: Ostersunds @4.25 (small stake); Ostersunds win or draw @1.80
Zorya - Hertha: draw @3.45 (small stake)
AC Milan - AEK: BTTS @1.91; André Silva to score @2.00
Austria Vienna - Rijeka: over 3 @ 2.05 (small stake)
Braga - Ludgorets: Braga @2.30
Dinamo Kiev - Young Boys: Dinamo Kiev HT @2.20
Everton - Lyon: Everton @2.70 (small stake)
Skenderbeu - Partizan: Partizan @2.45 (small stake)
Villarreal - Slavia Praga: BTTS @2.05 (small stake)
Zlin - FC Copenhaga: Copenhaga @2.00 (small stake); under 1.5 @2.060 (small stake)
Panathinaikos - Brose Bamberg: PAO HA-8 @1.75
Milano - Fenerbahce: Milano @2.25 (small stake)
Real Madrid - CSKA Moscow: RM HA-3 @1.80
This. Sometimes you win money, sometimes you loose, but the most important thing is to stick with the budget and hope for the best.
There's a reason there are so few professional gamblers in the betting universe, because the profit margin is very narrow. The only two professionals I know make a margin profit between 3-5%.
I started one today with a treble of over 0.5 goals, 2 of the games finished 0-0 @ 1/10 and 1/12
That Arsenal side looks good enough to win today. Odds of 5/6 looks very nice.
Arsenal letting Nelson take that free kick which is a solid goal scoring opportunity tells me all I need to know. All my other early selections coming in and Arsenal could be about to do me here!
Was dumb enough to play over 1.5 goals in the Arsenal game. One of the shittiest games I've watched this year.
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Vienna Rijeka over 2.5 @1.8
Maybe with the ref's help Arseholes will do something now.
Ok, that goal was nice. Really really nice. /oops, wrong thread, but it's about Arse
Ask and ye shall receive!
You should be quite safe with that...with one eye on Hoffers. Good luck!
Please see it through Lyon.
Oops Kiev 0-1 down.
My mate went big on Locomotiv playing a Moldovan side and they're 1-0 up.
My mate went big on Locomotiv playing a Moldovan side and they're 1-0 up.
Villarreal 
Didn't expect Villarreal to come back into it so fast. Now I need Dynamo Kiev to get their act together and avoid defeat.
I can get out of this with £12 profit right now. Hoffenheim scored but god knows if 'tournament favourites' AC Milan are going to score and Kiev are as likely to go behind again as they are to go in front.
This is absolutely hilarious, Atalanta were 1-0 up, had 16 shots to Apollon's 1 and Apollon have barely crossed the halfway line. What happens next? Equalizer!!
Looking better now!
Horrible injury in the Kiev game, think that's knocked the wind out of it and be very surprised if there's another goal in it now.
I'm on this game with Marseille as well.
Another night where I like none of these NBA lines. Toronto -13 maybe given no Mirotic and the Bulls seem to be selfdestructing before the season has begun. That Lakers moneyline at 2/1 is also calling to me kinda.
Got there in the end!