Just on this, the financial implications on cancellation aren’t an excuse. At some point football will resume. For that resumption to be successful the financial health of the sport is imperative for the sustainability of dozens and dozens of football clubs and their employees.
Based on the Athletic podcast there are two obvious options:
- Restart current season when it’s safe which would avoid financial and legal chaos;
- Start a brand new season when it’s safe which would bring about financial and legal chaos.
Which option will the authorities go for?
The fact of the matter is that somewhere a serious financial hit is going to have to be taken and there are also going to be some seriously unhappy clubs, no way around it.
That then leaves the following real questions, which are;
1) When does saving this season cost more than saving next season.
And;
2) Which option(s) will satisfy the majority.
At this moment in time, I think the football authorities are still clinging to the hope that they do not have to lose this season. I say this, because they are notorious for living in a bubble and they are working in an industry that is underpinned by very tight margins. Thus, the lack of decision is money motivated because the financial impacts of any stoppage is huge. For instance, how the hell are Barca going to even cover their £480m player wage bill that represents 70%+ of their turnover alone if they even take a 5% hit to finances?
However, at some point they need to realise that are going to have to compromise because the reality is that football is going to have to make some sort of decision. This then becomes a question of what decision causes the least pain. The least convoluted of these seems to be;
A) Finish this season and cut parts of next season with domestic cups being the least painful.
Or;
B) Cancel this season and save as much of next season as possible.
In my opinion, option A is at this moment in time probably the one that still carries the lower financial hit, however this balance in its favour is decreasing steadily every day. Where the point option B becomes less financially hard is open to question but it will come.
As for teams perspective, lets be honest and say that around 60% do not really have anything riding on this season (no chance of a cup/league/relegation etc), so they will just make a decision on what is financially best. After that you have 40% that have skin in the game so to speak. The problem here however, is that for every club that would financially benefit from an extension (teams with a chance of silverware) there is another who is running the risk of financially suffering (relegation). This then makes around a 80%/20% split on teams when the saving of this season will cost more than going to next season and that is when a voiding will happen. The saving the season option has a limited shelf life that is quickly expiring.