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I completely understand those concerns I’m very much of the opinion Gakpo isn’t a risk at £25m whether you play him as a LW/False 9.The thing is his crossing or creativity means nothing with us right now because we have no one getting on the end of such moves.
Our focus has to be a striker who has presence in the box. If we can afford two forwards great but I do worry about signing the wrong profile.
All good points well made I believe he could be a huge success at United especially in a functional ETH side he’s got all the attributes ETH likes in a wide forward or false 9.I agree that he is a good finisher. But currently he had 7 goals from open play on an npxg of 3,8. 84 % higher than expectation.
The past six season Messi had 124 goals from open play in the league. On an npxg 95,6. That is equal to 30 percent higher than expectation. Lewandowskis ratio is 147 to 141,2. An overperformance of 4 %.
In other words, Gakpo’s numbers, over the past 11 games are likely to regress, when he play more games. Alot.
Consequently, it is interesting to note that his npxg this season is 0,40 (down from 0,42). Malen had an npxg of 0,64, 0,58 and 0,63 at PSV. Bergwijn, prior to his move to Spurs, had an npxg of 0,43 in his last full season for PSV.
What sets Gakpo apart is the creative part of his game. His assists numbers is great (and it is also reflected in his xa). Mostly a reflection of him being a great crosser as you say. But it is worth noting than much of it comes from corners and free kicks. A part of the game he is unlikely to be able to take with him (will he be prefered to Eriksen on corners and free kicks?). If you look at shots and goals created from open play, Bergwijn at PSV actually did better at PSV than Gakpo.
I like Gakpo and I think he will have a more successfull carrier than both Malen and Bergwijn. But I also think he will have to be much better than both to make sense for Man Utd. I’m really not sure that is the case.
Stats are important but having watched him develop over several years I think a few people are sleeping on a potentially great player here.