The 5th/6th final bid was 3 weeks ago but there are very strong rumours that what was reported was not accurate and the bid was nearer to £5.4/5.5bn due to a £200m bonus for a quick conclusion, it seems this was originally considered and maybe tentatively accepted but then Joel and Avram looked at the new accounts with predicted record revenues and then wanted more.
They may even have convinced other siblings to wait and draw it out so they can get there £6bn yes for the last time, this is what they want $7.5bn between 6 of them minus the club debt which is in the Glazer name as they leveraged the club.
This is not the full sale price. The Greedy glazers want £6bn($7.5bn) together where each and every sibling would get at least £1bn to walk away.
People keeping asking how can this be when they own 69% of B shares or 113m and then 6.9m A class of the 50m minority shares. They conclude that even at a ridiculous premium of $40 that would only be $4.5bm, for the last time they want another $3bn on top of that to relinquish control ?
Their arguments are as follows ;
1. The club owns land, some 43 acres near the stadium that with the right type investment could be worth $2bn
2. The Club is on the up with record revenues and more future opportunities like FIFA Club World Cups which will increase revenue exponentially plus the CL qualification for the PL will become top 5 and united have only missed the Top 5 twice in 20 years.
3. They have future Broadcasting revenues contracts worth millions and they are only going to increase in Asia and North America.
4. They have a waiting list of 360,000 fans and a new state of the art 100,000 all seater stadium will increase future Match-day income by at least 50% so basically it pays for itself over 10 years even at £1bn investment.
They have control of the club and to walk away collectively they want the extra legacy and enterprise future premium payments to compensate them for future lost revenue and growth of the club.
So assuming it’s true that the last bid for SJ was an incredible £5.4bn then the debt would have to come off that figure so they would receive approx £4.85bn($6.1bn) just for the Glazers, that’s currently more than twice the market cap for their shares and it’s still not enough.
Looking on from the outside it seems that SJ/Qatar quickly realised they were bidding against themselves and got fed up and probably hypothesised that if the Glazers were selling that it could only be to them, so they dropped this bid thinking that must surely do it. Fast forward three weeks and now the Goblins Are bickering amongst themselves after record revenue in a Europa League season, they are strongly considering staying and some minority investment.
Simple conclusion, the Goblins want £6.bn, just for themselves and it’s a last hand in their last game of poker, should they turn the current rumoured bid down, they will get unmeasurable abuse from fans, a vote of no confidence from the board and maybe still legal challenges from huge minority shareholders who would have lost out on potential sell out at $38 enterprise share sale.
The reality is no one knows, but my guess is if SJ and 92 Foundation are not announced in the next 2 weeks, the Glazers will stay with minority investment propping them up and making the club the laughing stock of the sporting world.
It might actually take all United fans not turning up at our first home game at old Trafford, literally not be so only the away fans are in the stadium, Of course fans have already paid for season tickets so highly unlikely but it might take something like this to finally push them out