Could be the difference...
I'm pretty confident myself stilll, though.
We've stocked up on good cover where needed, so I honestly can't see where we'd buy big next summer, other than either a creative or "destructive" centre-mid, depending on what SAF thinks we need (apparently neither at the moment, and with the likes of Cleverly, Pogba, Morrison and Tunnicliffe all at various stages in the pipeline, who's to say that will change?).
So, I reckon there will only be a maximum of one 8 figure signing, and then it is down to whether that player costs more than £28m (give or take other minor buying and selling) and whether he puts pen to paper by end of June.
I could see a left back being signed. Also, we had been very close to signing Varane (centre-back) for c. £10m in addition to Jones and you'd have to put a bit of a question mark over Rio's future beyond this season due to his injury problems.
It's very possible that Giggs will retire next Summer so you'd have to say a centre midfield signing would be very likely (although admittedly we've thought that for the last two years!). As you say the development of the likes of Cleverley and Pogba will be crucial but if they do progress as hoped then I can honestly say that I won't mind losing our bet because of it!