2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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Interesting that BBC repeating what CNN are saying - Biden camp not confident about Florida and think it is a toss-up. However, they are very confident about Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona and North Carolina and think they have a chance of Texas.
 
Redplane said:
Indiana gonna Indiana. Think about how much they make fun of us in the Midwest - then think about the fact the Midwest makes fun of Indiana.
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It’s a state that calls Mike Pence its own. That should tell everyone a lot.
 
The IN numbers are from a county which Trump won by +48 in 2016.

+40 is lower.

Massive overfit so ignore
 
Mickeza said:
Interesting that BBC repeating what CNN are saying - Biden camp not confident about Florida and think it is a toss-up. However, they are very confident about Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona and North Carolina and think they have a chance of Texas.
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Basically what Biden's campaign manager said today
 
Florida looks good for Trump.

Texas looks close - mental!

Pennsylvania very blue.

(All on early betting markets - my hobby/job so excuse the constant references to it).
 
owlo said:
Looks very similar to my modeling methodology that I posted the other day (not exactly the same so not copied. - R/D turnout not exactly the same as predicted. Independents almost identical. These are numbers based on today) I got turnout a bit wrong, but effect almost scarily correct.

The data I posted today wasn't really my numbers - It was official numbers which I then extrapolated voting intentions from just to kinda illustrate the counties.
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I see. Thank you.
 
muller said:
That’s the plan.. depends if it gets bleak at any point.
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Same here. Snowflake behaviour perhaps but if Trump wins I'm officially giving up caring about any form of politics.

Been far too invested in it the past five years, especially in American politics.

Would probably benefit from an early night and not botherig with it either way but it's annoyingly fascinating.
 
Pexbo said:
I‘m up for this. My bottle of Lagavulin wasn’t delivered in time so I’m on a bottle of supermarket Talisker and I think shots might be a better way to drink it
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It's back! And line last.time irrelevant counties are reported as KEY RACE ALERTS because they have nothing to report on :lol:
 
OleBoiii said:
Any Europeans pulling an all-nighter for this?
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That's the plan but I'll be surprised if I don't crash at some stage. Unless Trump is doing better than anticipated, then I'll probably not be able to sleep at all out of nerves.
 
Told myself I’d go to bed tonight before all this kicked off but definitely not going to
 
Going to try and stay up. Drinking Ice Tea and been supplied with a 360g bar of Cadburys Milk Chocolate.
 
Caught a few minutes of Hannity radio while driving this evening. He's very optimistic that Trump will win (obviously) and had a few pollsters on his radio talking about the voting today will push them over in all the crucial states leaving it to PA for the winner. He also had that Cahaley clown on his segment.
 
Anyone mind explaining what these exit polls are? Do they take a sample of votes for future predictions?

Certain areas in states are being shown red and blue.

Thanks
 
I'm pretty confident tbh about a Biden win. My main question is, will he get his policies through?
 
I'm going to bed. The world is going to be on fire when I wake up in the morning. America, good luck, we are all counting on you.
 
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