These are the reasons that I believe I will win...
@Skills
1. Superior batting
Barring Lara, I don't see how his middle order will build an innings. Hussey's averages drop when he number 4 (46 odd). If my bowlers
(Wasim and Pollock
) can go through Lara and one of his openers, I believe his middle order can be got at. Admittedly, I don't know much about Root.
I've noticed a massive dissonance when people judge matches; Pacy tracks - whoever has the better pacers; spin tracks the better spinners; By the same logic, on the batting surface, you should be opting for a team that has the better batting.
On a batting surface - Greenidge, Jaya, Sachin, Kallis, Border and Laxman will be impossible to get through twice. Yes, he bats deep but so do I - Pollock at number 8 is a legit batsman and Wasim can also bat a bit at 9. So the question is, in 100 iterations, how many times do you see the batting of each team faltering?
2. Pace tracks is not a given for Skills
I'll reiterate, that you need to look at the pace tracks in context of the batting. Whilst my batting has extensive experience and a great track record of batting on pace tracks (Kallis, Border, Greenidge in specific), his seem to struggle against quality swing - Hayden, Hussey, Imran and to an
extent Cook struggle in swinging conditions of England, RSA. Hayden averages 35 in Eng/ RSA; Hussey 31/32; Cook 45/31 and Imran 36 in England. I have 3 swing bowlers - all of whom can swing the bowl either ways.
3. On a batting track...
His bowling of Walsh, Marshall, Imran, Kapil and Swann is adequately matched by Wasim/ Warne/ Pollock and Saqlain (do you even need a 5th bowler in tests; if I need, Kallis averaged 28 in the first 8 years or so of his career). Not to mention that Warne and Saqlain can bowl long spells as spinners.
My team isn't exactly full of plodders either - Greenidge, Jaya, Sachin, Lax have enough flair to do the same.
About taking wickets to win the third match part goes, its not supposed to be that simple. For one, I have Wasim, Warne and Pollock who are absolutely in the top echelons of bowlers themselves - so its not like I have incompetent bowlers. Second, like I mentioned earlier, how is it that all matches are completely determined by the bowlers you have? Pace tracks - see bowlers; spin track - see bowlers; batting track - you have the bowlers?!?