Seriously, who will win the Premier League this season?

Private PeeWee

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<img src="graemlins/devil.gif" border="0" alt="[Devil]" />

1. Manchester 67p - 33/38 matches
1. Liverpool 65p - 32/38 matches
3. Arsenal 63p - 30/38 matches

P.S.: I am SURE this will NOT be the final Premier League table. Arsenal WILL either win it or be second. No doubt about that. But besides that, it is difficult to assume anything.

Arsenal have 63 points, but as we all know have 2 games in hand (30 matches played) when this weekend is over.

And as I type Arsenal face Sunderland home, and Liverpool face Charlton away.

That mean Manchester United can, as with Liverpool, only have 15 more points (5 matches left), and Arsenal can win 21 more points when this weekend is over.

No doubt about it, Arsenal ofcourse have the upper hand mathematically. If they win the rest of their games they will win by at least a 4 point margin to Liverpool, or more, to either Liverpool or us.

What about the fixture-list left for the 3 teams in question? Well, as far as I can see Manchester United certainly have the most tough one.

We will face Leicester (A), Chelsea (A), Ipswich (A), Charlton (H) and Arsenal (H). And you will have to add the matches against Deportivo La Coruna, plus any eventual other team in a possible Semi-final in Champions League. A possible final won't affect the Premier League.

Arsenal have to face Sunderland (H), Charlton (A), Tottenham (H), Ipswich (H), West Ham (H), Bolton (A), Everton (H) and Manchester United (A). And a big bonus for them now is that they don't have to think about the Champions League. The only match that can affect them is the FA Cup Final against Middlesbrough. What we need of them, at least, is a loss and a draw. We will have to make them lose at Old Trafford, so I will not speculate further on where their loss will come. And it is a plus for us that they have had a fair amount of draws, both away and home. Actually Arsenal haven't been stronger at home than away. That gives some hope. They also have lost Pires for the rest of the season, which is another plus for us. And we will probably win over them if it comes to goal-differences.

Liverpool have to face Charlton (H), Sunderland (A), Derby (H), Tottenham (A), Blackburn (H) and Ipswich (H). If we win the rest of the matches, Liverpool only have to have one draw to lose their lead over us. They only have 1 point over us. Their fixture-list, as with Arsenal's, seems more easy than Manchester United's. But it is rather likely that they will at least drop to one draw. Their key-players Owen and Gerrard have often been plagued with injuries, but their team doesn't seem to be that dependant on them to perform against teams left on their Premier League fixture-list. But the Champions League certainly take its' toll on them as with us. So I say we can feel almost comfortable with our chance to denie Liverpool the first place.

Verdict:

IF Manchester United win ALL their matches left in Premier League they WILL be the winners. I am SURE of that. But I am NOT sure Manchester United will do just that. IF United make another draw or loss we are OUT of it. Totally. And then I am sure Arsenal will win it. Liverpool I don't think will win it, but ofcourse they can do so. My brain tells me otherwise, but feck the thinking-machine; let the heart do the job in this bottom-line:

WE WILL EAT THEM ALIVE, ALL OF THEM!!! <img src="graemlins/devil.gif" border="0" alt="[Devil]" />

The expected bad news keeps ticking in now: Arsenal and Liverpool both lead their games 2-0, so there will probably not be any more surprises today. If these results stands we have this table:

1. Liverpool 68p - 33/38 matches
2. Manchester 67p - 33/38 matches
3. Arsenal 66p - 31/38 matches

<img src="graemlins/devil.gif" border="0" alt="[Devil]" />
 
Arsenal are the only side who control their destiny. Win out their remaining games and their champs. We need to win out and hope that either of Arse or Pool lose or draw at least once. Anything short of that will not be enough imo.
 
I honestly can't see the Arse making a balls of it at this stage - I know that's a bit defeatist but if you were betting your house on it, I can't see how you'd back us to win from the current position...

:(
 
Here's how I see it:

United- 82 points
Leicester Win (3)
Chelsea Win (3)
Ipswich Win (3)
Arsenal Win (3)
Charlton Win (3)
United take max 15 points. They will defeat Arsenal, but...

Arsenal- 84 points
Charlton Win (3)
Tottenham Win (3)
Ipswich Win (3)
West Ham Win (3)
Bolton Win (3)
United Loss (0)
Everton Win (3)
Arsenal win 6 of last 7 and take the title by 2 points. Don't be pissed fans. This title is Arsenal's to squander. If they draw one of these matches and United do win out, the Reds take the title. It can happen. But if not, I expect United to return hungrier next season. 2nd Treble?

Liverpool- 80 points
Sunderland Win (3)
Derby Win (3)
Tottenham Loss (0)
Blackburn Win (3)
Ipswich Win (3)
Liverpool's title hopes crash at Tottenham. Just wait scum fans.