India's been in good ODI form off late. They need to sort their bowling out though, if they're to win the World Cup.
Aussies have a good attack and if Ponting's in form, they'll probably win it for the third year in a row. However, they're no longer as invincible as they once seemed to be.
South Africa's got a really good chance as well, with them being showing great grit and determination. After the turbulent World Cup in 2003, they've sorted things out, got a good batsman and captain in Graeme Smith and are a really good ODI side. Winning the match against the Aussies a few weeks back stands testimony to the same.
England have a great test side, but their ODI side hasn't been that special. Granted a few key members of the squad were missing during the tour of India, but even prior to that their ODI side hasn't looked spectacular/formidable.
Pakistan's another team with a good chance to win the World Cup. Again, their skipper will be the key man.
All said, my money's on South Africa.... So, cutting a long story short, the Indian guy wasn't sensible, or was just sprouting utter tosh.