Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion



I think the tiny kernel of truth here surrounded by outlandish lies is that one eccentric in the UK thinks that, as part of turning towards more sustainable sources of meat, we should start eating the non-native grey squirrels which have supplanted red squirrels in large parts of the UK. But, to paraphrase a United chant, it’s not a case of “they looked in the dustbin for something to eat, they found a dead squirrel and found it a treat”.
 
I read somewhere the fight for Bakhmut now lasts longer than the battle of Stalingrad.
 
The above linked Zeit article quotes the investigation result of a team of six people, a captain, two divers, two diver assistants and one medic who allegedly carried out the attack on a small chartered Polish boat.

So yes, your scenario is plausible in size.

I've not read through this latest stuff, how have they got such specific info?
 
I've not read through this latest stuff, how have they got such specific info?
They quote sources inside the German federal police. Just like the NYT quotes CIA sources. So no official statement yet, but looks a bit like them now having a "leakable" result that will soon be officially confirmed.
 
Seems like the minced meat tactic begins to reap its rewards. More and more such videos are appearing. The next mobilization should be interesting.
 
@harms what do you think of Yudin's commentary?

A quote:
Whom do Vladimir Putin and Russian society resent? The whole world? The West? The U.S.?

[They resent] a world order that seems unfair, and, accordingly, whoever takes responsibility for being “superior” in this world order, meaning the United States of America.

I always remember something Putin said in mid-2021. He said, completely unprovoked, that there’s no happiness in life. It’s a strong statement for a political leader, who of course doesn’t have to bring people into heaven but should in theory make their lives better.

But it’s as if he says: “There’s no happiness in life. The world is a bad, unjust, difficult place, where the only way to exist is to struggle constantly, to fight, and, at the outer limit, kill.”

Resentment of the outside world is deeply rooted in Russia, and it gets projected onto the U.S., which seems responsible for the world. At some point, the United States really did take responsibility for the world — not completely successfully. And we see that the resentment I’m talking about is definitely not only in Russia (where it of course exists in a catastrophic, horrible form).
https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/02/25/russia-ends-nowhere-they-say
 
Great article, but also frightening. How many Ukrainians will die before Russia comes to it's senses? Can we just stay on the sidelines and watch a whole country endure this trauma alone because of a tyrannical dictator and the people who is behind him?
It's always been clear that the line on Russia's imperial delusions must be drawn in Ukraine. It's a slight risk of WW3 today vs a high risk of WW3 in future, if Russia is allowed to bank its wins.
 
Good article indeed, dark fecking shit though. Taken together with some of the comments today that Ukraine is low on artillery shells, makes me think that NATO countries need to really ramp munitions production, for Ukraine and beyond.
That has been the case for months.

Some people believe that NATO has equipped the UA to the point where victory is unavoidable in the near future (possibly this spring in some places). The reality is that the majority of UA's defense and offense have been stalled for months. If you had talked about it weeks ago, you would have been accused of listening to Kremlin propaganda or some bollocks. All of this talk about the casualty ratio is great, but it won't last if the UA doesn't have long-term equipment and eventually has to give in to the outdated 'human wave' tactic. I'm hoping the Russians tire of it first.

And we have those who said, "Well, who cares if the UA loses a nothing town?" But if you lose them one by one, it does not look good for you because your aim is to get most, if not all, territories back. For Bakhmut, Zelensky said the Russians would have an open road through Ukraine if they lost it. Showed how much we know about how the leaders on both sides think or the reality in those places. Nada.

It's a little depressing at the moment.
 
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After the refusal video earlier, here is another strong response from another group. They finally start to understand their worth to the Kremlin. The longer the war goes on, the more problems Putin will have.
 
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After the refusal video earlier, here is another strong response from another group. They finally start to understand their worth to the Kremlin. The longer the war goes on, the more problems Putin will have.

"Like yesterday, one guy went outside, sat on the bench, pointed the gun and blew his brains off."

That's dark. But...they're not necessarily complaining about participating. They're complaining about being assigned assault roles instead of territorial defence, I think?
 
People of Georgia following Ukraines example. Third day of protests, showing no sign of backing down over this 'foreign agent' law. Their president says she'll veto it but not sure what power she actually holds now over the pro-Russian parliament.

 

That's a very nihilistic view of the world from Putin. If power was not concentrated within the Office of the President, one could say this questionable mental status is one major ground for removal from office.

Its also a good reminder that Putin can't be contained. He has to be proactively defeated through a combination of military, economic, informational means.

Yep. While the scale is bigger, the endgame is just as the same as when a lot of things had to be combined to get rid of Slobodan Milosevic for everything he did or allowed to fester.
 
People of Georgia following Ukraines example. Third day of protests, showing no sign of backing down over this 'foreign agent' law. Their president says she'll veto it but not sure what power she actually holds now over the pro-Russian parliament.



Good for them. Let’s hope the crackdown isn’t too bad
 
Great article, but also frightening. How many Ukrainians will die before Russia comes to it's senses? Can we just stay on the sidelines and watch a whole country endure this trauma alone because of a tyrannical dictator and the people who is behind him?
The war will end before Russia will come to its senses, I'd imagine. Hopefully that end (by which I mean Russia's loss) will instigate processes that would lead to Russia rethinking it's both past & present. And guys like Yudin will be needed for that.
 
There's no confirmation of this, but there doesn't need to be once it spreads around social media...


Yikes. This is going to get ugly.

The Kremlin could not send troops to help Armenia in the recent clashes with Azerbaijan. I don't see how they would have troops to spare for Georgia.
 
Yikes. This is going to get ugly.

The Kremlin could not send troops to help Armenia in the recent clashes with Azerbaijan. I don't see how they would have troops to spare for Georgia.

This conflict could spread quickly if other ex Soviet nations have similar uprisings.
 
Good article indeed, dark fecking shit though. Taken together with some of the comments today that Ukraine is low on artillery shells, makes me think that NATO countries need to really ramp munitions production, for Ukraine and beyond.
That has been the case for months.
What I’ve put in bold has also been the case for months. NATO countries are ramping up shell production. You know this, because we talked about it last month, but you keep acting like you don’t. It’s odd.
 
A good point. If the UN continues to be feckless because of security council gridlock then it’s utility as an IO is severely eroded.

 
What I’ve put in bold has also been the case for months. NATO countries are ramping up shell production. You know this, because we talked about it last month, but you keep acting like you don’t. It’s odd.
I believe I bolded "Ukraine is low on artillery shells" and explained why it could complicate the UKR's immediate ability to keep defending and start their own counterattack in the very near future. I have never said there that NATO and the EU were not finding the solution (mid- and long-term).

PS: The article below has some good information. It is not just one or two types of ammunition. It gets more complicated because UKR forces are still using a lot of Soviet-era equipment, and they are running low on those as well.
 
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There's no confirmation of this, but there doesn't need to be once it spreads around social media...


How did this happen in Georgia ? They were very pro-nato, I'd expect the brief war they had with Russia to only intensify this.