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I live in OC. The overall feeling for many Californians is that California is headed in the wrong direction (businesses leaving, expensive housing, crime, homelessness, illegal immigration). Newsom's approval numbers are down as evidenced in a couple polls (UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies and the Public Policy Institute of California)
https://calmatters.org/commentary/2024/09/newsom-california-status-diminished/
https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article284398415.html
https://www.kcra.com/article/poll-c...py-government-state-national-leaders/61115610
https://www.latimes.com/politics/st...voters-disapprove-newsom-performance-governor
The OC is definitely very different from LA County in my experience. It has a much more conservative legacy and institutions. To be honest, I try to avoid stopping in the OC. Most of what I hear about homelessness and crime though I hear more directed locally at the Mayor, and especially at the DA (which is why Gascon got trounced). Another thing though is that its not like any Republican ever has a policy answer to things like housing, crime and homelessness.
For 2028, I see it really mattering who is the best orator. De Santis tried to attack Newsom on all those topics you mention and Newsom annihilated De Santis' arguments. Other than Buttigieg, I can't see any other Democrat that capable of presenting a vision and being able to riposte all those standard GOP attack lines. Long way to go of course but Dems are going to need a direction because clearly being all things to all people failed badly. Campaigning with Dick Cheney while saying you'd give gender transition surgery to prisoners is clearly a failing combo. The Dems will need to have compelling reasons to vote for them on border/immigration, economy, and bring in issues like climate change to have a chance in 2028.